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Nov 04, 2026
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FXD vs PEZ: Two Distinct Paths to Consumer Discretionary Exposure

FXD vs PEZ: Two Distinct Paths to Consumer Discretionary Exposure

Key Takeaways

  • FXD and PEZ both target U.S. consumer discretionary stocks, but they use fundamentally different construction methods: a multi-factor smart-beta approach versus a pure price-momentum strategy.
  • FXD holds roughly 119 stocks with a modified equal-weight design, while PEZ is far more concentrated, holding around 30–40 names weighted by relative strength.
  • Both funds carry a 0.60% net expense ratio, but PEZ has a materially higher gross fee and a much smaller asset base and trading volume.
  • Concentration risk is markedly higher in PEZ, whose top holdings can exceed 4–5% each, versus roughly 1.5–2% for FXD's largest positions.
  • Tickeron AI Verdict: FXD is the preferred choice, reflecting its broader diversification, deeper liquidity, and more balanced factor exposure relative to the concentrated momentum profile of PEZ.

Setting the Stage for These ETFs

Consumer discretionary is among the most economically sensitive corners of the U.S. equity market, making it a natural focal point for investors gauging the health of household spending. FXD and PEZ both offer exposure to this segment, yet they are not direct substitutes. FXD applies a multi-factor, tiered equal-weighting methodology designed to tilt toward growth and value characteristics, while PEZ isolates stocks exhibiting the strongest recent price momentum. Comparing the two clarifies how structural design—rather than sector label alone—shapes risk, return drivers, and relative positioning in the current environment.

Understanding FXD

FXD seeks to track the StrataQuant Consumer Discretionary Index, a smart-beta benchmark that selects stocks from the Russell 1000 Index using First Trust's AlphaDEX methodology. The approach ranks constituents on growth factors such as price appreciation and sales growth, alongside value factors including book value to price, cash flow to price, and return on assets. The fund holds approximately 119 positions and weights them using a modified equal-dollar scheme, which limits single-stock dominance and tilts exposure toward mid-cap names alongside large-caps. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the ETF compares to others in the industry.

Top holdings have recently included Dillard's (DDS), Gap (GAP), Fox (FOXA), SharkNinja (SN), Lyft (LYFT), Macy's (M), Mattel (MAT), Thor Industries (THO), Duolingo (DUOL), and Penske Automotive (PAG), with no single position exceeding roughly 2% of assets. Sector allocation is dominated by consumer discretionary, complemented by communication services and industrials. The fund carries a 0.60% net expense ratio and is reconstituted and rebalanced quarterly.

Understanding PEZ

PEZ tracks the Dorsey Wright Consumer Cyclicals Technical Leaders Index, a benchmark that identifies companies in the consumer discretionary and cyclicals universe showing powerful relative strength, or momentum. The fund typically holds between 30 and 40 securities selected and weighted on the basis of price momentum rather than fundamentals, and it is rebalanced and reconstituted quarterly. This design intentionally concentrates exposure in whatever names are currently exhibiting the strongest upward price trends.

Holdings shift with momentum conditions, and recent top positions have included Cardinal Health (CAH), Cheesecake Factory (CAKE), Marriott (MAR), Five Below (FIVE), Figs (FIGS), Hilton (HLT), Garmin (GRMN), Hasbro (HAS), eBay (EBAY), and Aramark (ARMK). Consumer discretionary is the largest sector weight, followed by communication services and industrials. PEZ reports a 0.60% net expense ratio but a higher gross fee, and its asset base and average daily trading volume are considerably smaller than FXD's.

Industry and Thematic Context

Consumer discretionary performance remains tightly linked to the trajectory of inflation, wage growth, and interest-rate expectations, because durable goods, travel, and leisure spending are highly sensitive to financing costs and real household income. In recent market cycles, resilient employment and consumer balance sheets have supported spending on services and experiences, even as higher rates have pressured big-ticket, credit-sensitive purchases. Retail and automotive names—heavily represented in both funds—have also been shaped by inventory normalization, discounting pressures, and shifting e-commerce dynamics. The sector's cyclicality means that both ETFs carry elevated beta relative to the broader market, and their fortunes often hinge on the same macro catalysts even when their holdings differ.

Performance and Positioning Insights

Over recent weeks and months, the two funds have exhibited distinct behavior tied to their construction. FXD's multi-factor, equal-weight approach tends to moderate single-stock volatility and produce more balanced participation across large- and mid-cap discretionary names. PEZ's momentum engine, by contrast, can amplify both upside and downside, concentrating gains in a smaller set of high-relative-strength stocks and reacting more sharply to trend reversals. In an environment of sector rotation and choppy consumer data, PEZ's concentration and higher turnover can introduce greater whipsaw risk, while FXD's broader, value-and-growth blend has tended to provide more stable relative positioning. Liquidity differences also matter: FXD's larger asset base and higher volume support tighter execution, whereas PEZ's thinner trading can widen effective costs for larger orders.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron’s AI would likely favor FXD over PEZ in the current environment. FXD offers a materially broader, more diversified portfolio that reduces idiosyncratic single-stock risk, a more balanced blend of growth and value signals rather than pure momentum, and a comparable net cost with meaningfully deeper liquidity and a larger asset base. PEZ's concentrated relative-strength strategy can deliver strong returns during clean uptrends, but its higher turnover, smaller footprint, and heavier exposure to any single holding elevate drawdown and execution risk. On a risk-adjusted, structural basis, the AI would assign the higher probability of durable, well-diversified sector exposure to FXD, while acknowledging that PEZ may outperform during pronounced, uninterrupted momentum regimes.

AI Tools in My Research Process

In my view, Tickeron’s AI Screener stands out as a practical way to compare ETFs like FXD and PEZ side by side. It lets me apply filters for technical patterns, fundamentals, and performance metrics to quickly surface how these funds stack up against peers or within the sector. This kind of structured scan has helped refine my positioning without replacing core analysis.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: FXD, PEZ

Momentum Indicator for FXD turns positive, indicating new upward trend

FXD saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 79 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 71 of the 79 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FXD just turned positive on September 29, 2026. Looking at past instances where FXD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

FXD moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for FXD crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

Following a +1.13% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FXD advanced for three days, in 237 of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 196 of 254 cases where FXD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 77%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The 50-day moving average for FXD moved below the 200-day moving average on October 08, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FXD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

FXD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Costco Wholesale Corp (NASDAQ:COST), Home Depot (NYSE:HD), Walt Disney Company (The) (NYSE:DIS), McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD), TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Lowe's Companies (NYSE:LOW), Spotify Technology SA (NYSE:SPOT), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX).

Industry description

The investment seeks investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield (before the fund's fees and expenses) of an equity index called the StrataQuant® Consumer Discretionary Index. The fund will normally invest at least 90% of its net assets (including investment borrowings) in the securities that comprise the index. The index is a modified equal-dollar weighted index that seeks to objectively identify and select stocks from the Russell 1000® Index in the consumer discretionary sector that may generate positive alpha relative to traditional passive-style indices through the use of the AlphaDEX® selection methodology.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund (FXD) ETF is 68.19B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.06B to 2.7T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.7T. The lowest valued company is WHR at 2.06B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund (FXD) ETF was 31%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 51%, and the average quarterly price growth was 86%. CROX experienced the highest price growth at 29%, while BFAM experienced the biggest fall at -26%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund (FXD) ETF was 20%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was -12% and the average quarterly volume growth was -26%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 66
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 48
SMR Rating: 49
Profit Risk Rating: 71
Seasonality Score: 26 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

Category ConsumerDiscretionary

Category
Consumer Cyclical
Address
First Trust Exchange-Traded Alphadex Fd120 East Liberty Drive, Suite 400Wheaton
Phone
N/A
Web
www.ftportfolios.com
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