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Oct 07, 2026
LEVI vs SHOO: Weighing Momentum in Denim and Footwear Stocks

LEVI vs SHOO: Weighing Momentum in Denim and Footwear Stocks

Key Takeaways

  • Both LEVI and SHOO are consumer discretionary names posting accelerating results, but they compete in different categories — denim and apparel versus fashion footwear and accessories.
  • Levi Strauss raised its fiscal 2026 outlook on broad-based growth and improving cash flow, while Steven Madden raised its own guidance on resurgent flagship-brand momentum.
  • SHOO is growing faster and carrying stronger near-term momentum, while LEVI trades at a more modest valuation relative to its historical range.
  • Both stocks face tariff and freight cost pressures, though the sources of risk differ across the two businesses.
  • Analyst consensus currently places both names at a "Hold," reflecting balanced risk-reward after recent rallies.

Why These Two Names Stand Out

Investors following the consumer discretionary sector often look at LEVI and SHOO side by side. Both are well-known, brand-focused apparel and accessories companies that have been showing better fundamentals even as they deal with ongoing cost pressures from outside factors. Levi Strauss & Co. is a global leader in denim and apparel that is pushing a direct-to-consumer strategy, while Steven Madden, Ltd. runs a multi-brand portfolio in fashion footwear and accessories that includes names like Kurt Geiger and Dolce Vita. The comparison matters for growth-focused investors tracking momentum and for those looking at valuation and market positioning.

Levi Strauss Recent Results

Levi Strauss & Co. has been building on a direct-to-consumer approach that moves more sales into higher-margin owned channels and supports international growth. In the latest quarter, adjusted earnings came in ahead of expectations, with revenues up about 8% year over year and organic growth spread across regions, channels, and categories. Management raised its fiscal 2026 revenue and earnings outlook, pointing to steady progress in both the Levi's and Beyond Yoga lines. Shares of LEVI have moved higher over the past three and twelve months, though the stock now sits above its five-year median forward earnings multiple. An approximate 60% rise in adjusted free cash flow and a 14% dividend increase have helped sentiment, even as tariff exposure, foreign exchange moves, and higher selling, general, and administrative costs stay on the watch list. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.

Steven Madden Recent Results

Steven Madden, Ltd. has seen its core brand pick up speed, helped by on-trend footwear and handbag selections plus the addition of the premium Kurt Geiger label. Revenues in the most recent quarter rose roughly 19% year over year, and adjusted earnings more than doubled, supported by a 460-basis-point improvement in adjusted gross margin from higher average selling prices, less tariff impact, and lower private-label mix. Management lifted its fiscal 2026 guidance to 11%–13% revenue growth and an adjusted EPS range of $2.05–$2.15. Shares of SHOO gained about 22% over a recent one-month period, backed by double-digit direct-to-consumer growth and a 20% rise in branded wholesale revenue. Offsetting factors include freight and supplier-cost inflation linked to geopolitical issues, an expected slowdown in gross-margin gains, and a valuation now above the five-year historical median.

Head-to-Head Business and Valuation View

The business models differ in clear ways. LEVI centers on one flagship brand that is shifting toward owned retail and e-commerce, with international markets making up about 60% of revenue. SHOO runs a wider set of owned brands, licensed lines, and private-label sourcing, which spreads exposure across footwear, handbags, and accessories. Growth profiles also contrast: SHOO shows faster top-line gains and stronger near-term momentum, while LEVI delivers more steady, margin-driven improvement and stronger free cash flow. On valuation, LEVI trades near 15.5 times forward earnings, closer to its historical norm, whereas SHOO trades around 20 times forward earnings, above its five-year median. Risk factors vary too—LEVI faces more tariff and foreign exchange swings in its global supply chain, while SHOO contends with freight and supplier-cost inflation tied to Middle East shipping issues and higher air-freight use.

AI Perspective on the Pair

From what I see, Tickeron’s AI would likely lean toward LEVI on a stability-adjusted basis because of its steadier margin path, better cash generation, dividend growth, and more reasonable valuation relative to history. At the same time, SHOO shows stronger trend momentum and quicker growth, which could suit strategies that focus on near-term price strength. The setup points to LEVI offering a more balanced risk-reward profile for consistency, while SHOO carries a higher-momentum, higher-valuation stance with greater sensitivity to execution and external costs.

Exploring Tickeron Trending AI Robots

When comparing names like LEVI and SHOO, I find it useful to review automated strategies that highlight current market conditions. Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page surfaces algorithmic approaches that are performing well right now across sectors, including consumer discretionary. Each robot follows its own style and timeframe, with clear performance stats, so it is straightforward to see which signals align with the momentum and valuation differences between these two stocks.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: SHOO, LEVI

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Momentum Indicator for SHOO turns positive, indicating new upward trend

SHOO saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on September 22, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 87 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 67 of the 87 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 77%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SHOO's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 16 of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SHOO just turned positive on September 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where SHOO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

SHOO moved above its 50-day moving average on September 25, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SHOO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

Following a +2.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SHOO advanced for three days, in 184 of 268 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SHOO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

SHOO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for SHOO entered a downward trend on September 24, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 20 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.497) is normal, around the industry mean (2.589). P/E Ratio (22.450) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.101). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.470) is also within normal values, averaging (0.949). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.022) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.086) is also within normal values, averaging (1.777).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 39 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SHOO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SHOO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock better than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Nike (NYSE:NKE).

Industry description

Companies in this industry handle the wholesale shipments for the manufacturer of a product. They have warehouses and distribution centers, and they ship products directly to the retailer. Digitization, increasing competition, emerging customer demand, and product innovation are some of shifts that the industry has been facing in recent times – something that is potentially creating needs/opportunities for business model revisions or transformations. Data, analytics, and technology are becoming increasingly important for whole distributors in anticipating and analyzing consumer needs, and therefore planning their business strategies accordingly. Fastenal Company, W.W. Grainger, Inc., Genuine Parts Company and Pool Corporation are some of the largest names in the business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Wholesale Distributors Industry is 6.65B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 22K to 53.98B. NKE holds the highest valuation in this group at 53.98B. The lowest valued company is JALA at 22K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Wholesale Distributors Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 8%. VRA experienced the highest price growth at 19%, while FMFC experienced the biggest fall at -16%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Wholesale Distributors Industry was 48%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 89% and the average quarterly volume growth was 76%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 39
P/E Growth Rating: 73
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 62
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: 51 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of footwear brands for women, men and children

Industry WholesaleDistributors

Industry
Apparel Or Footwear
Address
52-16 Barnett Avenue
Phone
+1 718 446-1800
Employees
6300
Web
https://www.stevemadden.com
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