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Jan 07, 2019
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Match Group is Having a Hard Time Breaking Its Downtrend

Match Group is Having a Hard Time Breaking Its Downtrend

Internet dating website operator Match Group (Nasdaq: MTCH) has really strong fundamental indicators, and those strong fundamentals helped push the stock higher in recent years. The stock was trading under $10 in early 2016 and rose to a high of $58.01 in September.

The company has seen its earnings grow by an average of 17% per year annually over the last three years. The EPS jumped by 105% in the most recent quarterly report and analysts expect earnings to grow by 122% in the current year. Sales have grown by 18% annually and they grew by 29% in the most recent quarter. Match Group has a return on equity of 39% and a profit margin of 24.6%.

Despite those fundamental strengths, the stock has dropped significantly as the overall market has declined. Unfortunately for shareholders, Match has dropped more sharply than the market.

From the high in September to the low in December, Match dropped over 45%. The stock has bounced back from that low, but it could be facing some resistance at this point.

You can see on the daily chart that a trend-line has formed that connects the highs from October, November, and December. That trend-line is in close proximity to the 50-day moving average at this time and that could be a lot for the stock to overcome.

Related Ticker: MTCH

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


MTCH in -6.97% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on October 28, 2026

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where MTCH declined for three days, in 250 of 327 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MTCH as a result. In 62 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MTCH turned negative on October 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 58 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 42 of the 58 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 72%.

MTCH moved below its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for MTCH's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The 10-day moving average for MTCH crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

Following a +8.33% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTCH advanced for three days, in 180 of 277 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

MTCH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 123 of 185 cases where MTCH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 66%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 8 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MTCH's P/B Ratio (-37.281) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.066). P/E Ratio (12.833) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-46.875). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.329) is also within normal values, averaging (17.274). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.984) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.148) is also within normal values, averaging (71.888).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 32 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MTCH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MTCH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), Spotify Technology SA (NYSE:SPOT), Nebius Group N.V. (NASDAQ:NBIS), Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU), Tencent Music Entertainment Group (NYSE:TME), Pinterest (NYSE:PINS), Snap (NYSE:SNAP), Zillow Group (NASDAQ:Z).

Industry description

Companies in this industry typically license software on a subscription basis and it is centrally hosted. Such products usually go by the names web-based software, on-demand software and hosted software. Cloud computing has emerged as a major force in this space, making it possible to save files to a remote database (without requiring them to be saved on local storage device); as long as a device has access to the web, it can access the data and the software programs to run it. This has in many cases facilitated cost efficiency, speed and security of data for businesses and consumers. Alphabet Inc., Facebook, Inc. and Yahoo! Inc. are some well-known names in the internet software/services industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Software/Services Industry is 124.65B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 107 to 3.42T. GOOGL holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.42T. The lowest valued company is STBXF at 107.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Software/Services Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -0%, and the average quarterly price growth was -16%. GIBO experienced the highest price growth at 36%, while RDDT experienced the biggest fall at -30%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Software/Services Industry was -4%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 20% and the average quarterly volume growth was -53%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 42
P/E Growth Rating: 65
Price Growth Rating: 64
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: 12 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of dating products

Industry InternetSoftwareServices

Industry
Internet Software Or Services
Address
8750 North Central Expressway
Phone
+1 214 576-9352
Employees
2209
Web
https://www.mtch.com
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Match Group is Having a Hard Time Breaking Its Downtrend