Novavax (NVAX, $24.500 to get up to $388 million in funding for COVID-19 vaccine candidate

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 21, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NVAX as a result. In 66 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NVAX just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where NVAX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 40 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

Following a +1.79% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVAX advanced for three days, in 183 of 232 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 93 of 116 cases where NVAX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 80%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 47 of 49 cases where NVAX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVAX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

NVAX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NVAX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (32.467) is normal, around the industry mean (26.780). P/E Ratio (3.140) is within average values for comparable stocks, (43.395). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (9.059). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.000) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.759) is also within normal values, averaging (438.009).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NVAX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.