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May 24, 2019
Oil hit with year's biggest drop as trade war sparks demand worries - Seeking Alpha

Oil hit with year's biggest drop as trade war sparks demand worries - Seeking Alpha

Crude oil suffered its worst trading session of the year, as losses mounted throughout the day amid a burst of pessimism over U.S.-China trade tensions that pushed investors away from risky assets. 

Related Ticker: XOM

Momentum Indicator for XOM turns positive, indicating new upward trend

XOM saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on September 09, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 90 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 58 of the 90 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 64%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XOM just turned positive on September 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where XOM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.

Following a +1.07% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XOM advanced for three days, in 234 of 374 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 192 of 310 cases where XOM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 62%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for XOM moved out of overbought territory on August 24, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 29 of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 71%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XOM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 43%.

XOM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 18, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 26, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. XOM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 63 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.589) is normal, around the industry mean (2.018). P/E Ratio (21.019) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.687). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.399) is also within normal values, averaging (1.602). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.911) is also within normal values, averaging (4.019).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation (NYSE:XOM), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), Petroleo Brasileiro Sa-Petrobras ADS (REP 1 Common Share) (NYSE:PBR), BP plc (NYSE:BP), Suncor Energy (NYSE:SU), YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE:YPF).

Industry description

Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Integrated Oil Industry is 129.22B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39.76K to 671.56B. XOM holds the highest valuation in this group at 671.56B. The lowest valued company is PGAS at 39.76K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 8%. SKYQ experienced the highest price growth at 21%, while SLNG experienced the biggest fall at -11%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was -2%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 42% and the average quarterly volume growth was -63%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 39
P/E Growth Rating: 48
Price Growth Rating: 39
SMR Rating: 55
Profit Risk Rating: 25
Seasonality Score: 27 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a distributer of crude oil, natural gas and petroleum products

Industry IntegratedOil

Profile
Details
Industry
Integrated Oil
Address
22777 Springwoods Village Parkway
Phone
+1 972 940-6000
Employees
57900
Web
https://www.corporate.exxonmobil.com
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Oil hit with year's biggest drop as trade war sparks demand worries - Seeking Alpha