Ralph Lauren's (RL, $109.81) Q4 earnings exceed expectations, but North American sales decline
Ralph Lauren’s fourth-quarter earnings beat analysts' estimates, but its North American sales experienced a year-over-year decline. The report sent the the clothing brand's shares down -5% Tuesday.
The company reported earnings of $1.07 per share for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of 89 cents per share (based on FactSet poll). The figure marks a +20% climb from the year-ago quarter.
Total revenue of $1.5 billion also came in higher than analysts’ estimates of $1.48 billion. But it had a year-over-year decline of -1.5%. Even as sales from Europe and Asia increased +4% and +6% respectively, North American revenue plunged -7%.
Ralph Lauren hiked its quarterly dividend by +10% to 69 cents per share. The next dividend is scheduled to be paid out on July 12, to shareholders of record on June 28.
RL in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on July 13, 2026
RL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 34 cases where RL's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 54 cases where RL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RL advanced for three days, in of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for RL moved out of overbought territory on June 16, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RL as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for RL turned negative on June 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
RL moved below its 50-day moving average on July 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for RL entered a downward trend on July 20, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. RL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.886) is normal, around the industry mean (6.300). P/E Ratio (24.916) is within average values for comparable stocks, (31.264). RL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.167) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.127). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.023) among similar stocks. RL's P/S Ratio (2.890) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.925).
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General Information
a manufacturer of men's and women's apparel, accessories and skin care products
Industry ApparelFootwear
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