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Jul 21, 2023

Robotic Trader Masterclass: NIO Gains +4.23% in Just One Week

The "Swing Trader: Long-Short Equity Strategy (TA&FA)" bot accessible via Tickeron's platform. Over the previous week, this advanced AI-powered bot managed to achieve an impressive +4.23% gain while trading NIO, a popular electric vehicle manufacturer. This article analyzes the recent earnings results and how the bot utilized the Aroon Indicator to capitalize on a bullish signal.

The Aroon Indicator's Bullish Signal

On July 19, 2023, the Aroon Indicator for NIO triggered a bullish signal, catching the attention of Tickeron's A.I.dvisor. The Aroon Indicator measures the strength of a trend and consists of two lines - the AroonUp (green line) and AroonDown (red line). When the AroonUp line crosses above 70 and the AroonDown line remains below 30, it suggests a potential bullish move in the stock's price.

The A.I.dvisor analyzed 216 past instances where the Aroon Indicator exhibited a similar pattern for NIO. Out of these instances, in an impressive 184 cases, the stock price moved higher in the days that followed. This statistical evidence led the A.I.dvisor to predict an 85% probability of a price increase in this particular situation. Armed with this insight, the trading bots were well-positioned to capitalize on the bullish opportunity.

Earnings Report Highlights

The last earnings report for NIO, released on June 09, indicated earnings per share (EPS) of -250 cents, surpassing the estimated -263 cents. This positive earnings surprise reflects a better-than-expected financial performance for the company, which likely contributed to the overall bullish sentiment around the stock.

With 10.49 million shares outstanding, NIO's current market capitalization stands at 18.72 billion dollars. The company's market capitalization represents the total value of its outstanding shares, providing investors with an idea of the company's overall worth in the stock market.

AI Trading Bots - A Game Changer

The success of Tickeron's "Swing Trader: Long-Short Equity Strategy (TA&FA)" bot highlights the increasing role of AI in trading decisions. These AI-powered bots can process vast amounts of data, detect patterns, and execute trades with incredible speed and precision, outperforming many human traders. By leveraging advanced technical and fundamental analysis techniques, these bots aim to achieve consistent returns in various market conditions.

Conclusion

AI trading bots have become an integral part of modern financial markets, offering sophisticated strategies and swift execution to maximize returns. Tickeron's "Swing Trader: Long-Short Equity Strategy (TA&FA)" bots proved their mettle by securing a +4.23% gain while trading NIO during a week characterized by a bullish Aroon Indicator signal. This achievement underscores the power of AI in making data-driven decisions and reinforces the idea that AI trading bots are here to stay. As technology continues to advance, it is likely that these bots will play an even more significant role in shaping the future of trading and investment strategies.

Related Ticker: NIO

NIO sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

NIO saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 19, 2023. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 18, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NIO as a result. In of 73 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

NIO moved below its 50-day moving average on August 18, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for NIO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 25, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NIO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for NIO entered a downward trend on September 21, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NIO advanced for three days, in of 290 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

NIO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.918) is normal, around the industry mean (6.793). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.824). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (5.678). NIO has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.040). P/S Ratio (2.183) is also within normal values, averaging (52.270).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. NIO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NIO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F), General Motors Company (NYSE:GM), NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO).

Industry description

Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Motor Vehicles Industry is 34.7B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.49M to 833.46B. TSLA holds the highest valuation in this group at 833.46B. The lowest valued company is EVTGF at 2.49M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 124%. GKIT experienced the highest price growth at 49%, while VLCN experienced the biggest fall at -38%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Motor Vehicles Industry was -8%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -12% and the average quarterly volume growth was 18%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 68
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 66
Profit Risk Rating: 85
Seasonality Score: -33 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of electric cars

Industry MotorVehicles

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Motor Vehicles
Address
No. 56 AnTuo Road
Phone
+86 2169082018
Employees
26763
Web
https://www.nio.com
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NIO and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NIO has been closely correlated with XPEV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NIO jumps, then XPEV could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To NIO
1D Price
Change %
NIO100%
-4.20%
XPEV - NIO
79%
Closely correlated
-2.81%
LI - NIO
68%
Closely correlated
-0.80%
NIU - NIO
61%
Loosely correlated
-2.70%
RIVN - NIO
54%
Loosely correlated
-3.91%
LCID - NIO
49%
Loosely correlated
-5.14%
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