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Aug 22, 2026
Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) +6.7% in a Month: Value Rotation and Income Focus

Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) +6.7% in a Month: Value Rotation and Income Focus

Key Takeaways

  • Positioning: SCHD is a passively managed exchange-traded fund (ETF) that tracks the Dow Jones U.S. Dividend 100 Index and holds roughly 103 U.S. dividend-paying companies.
  • Performance: The fund rose approximately 6.7% over the trailing month and about 8.6% over the trailing three months through mid-August 2026.
  • Portfolio character: Sector exposure is concentrated in health care, consumer staples, energy, and financials, with a smaller technology allocation than broad market indexes.
  • Income and cost: The expense ratio is 0.06% and the trailing 12-month yield is roughly 3.3%, keeping the fund cost-competitive against both equity and fixed-income alternatives.
  • Principal watch points: Federal Reserve policy, long-term Treasury yields, energy prices, and rotation between growth and value are likely to remain the dominant influences.

SCHD Overview and Holdings

The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF is a passively managed exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the total return of the Dow Jones U.S. Dividend 100 Index. The underlying index screens for U.S. companies with established dividend records and ranks candidates using measures of cash flow, profitability, yield, and dividend growth. The fund generally invests at least 90% of its net assets in stocks included in the index.

SCHD held about 103 stocks as of mid-2026, with top positions that have recently included Abbott Laboratories (ABT), Amgen (AMGN), Merck (MRK), Coca-Cola (KO), UnitedHealth Group (UNH), Home Depot (HD), Procter & Gamble (PG), Chevron (CVX), Verizon Communications (VZ), and PepsiCo (PEP). Sector allocation is anchored in health care and consumer staples—each roughly 20% of assets—followed by energy, industrials, financials, information technology, consumer discretionary, and communication services. Utilities represent only a marginal weight.

The fund’s 0.06% expense ratio and approximately $100 billion in assets under management make it one of the largest and lowest-cost dividend-focused ETFs. This structure produces a value-and-income portfolio: the index emphasizes current income and financial strength rather than high-growth technology leadership, which helps explain the fund’s relatively measured, dividend-supported return pattern. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the holdings compare across similar dividend strategies.

Industry and Thematic Landscape

The market environment around SCHD has been defined by rotation rather than a single dominant theme. Mega-cap technology and artificial intelligence leadership cooled in mid-2026, while value, energy, and income-oriented segments attracted more attention. Longer-term Treasury yields have stayed elevated, with the 10-year yield near 4.7%, making dividend-paying equities compete more directly with bonds for investor capital.

Inflation has remained above the Federal Reserve’s long-term objective, and the central bank has maintained a cautious, data-dependent stance. That backdrop has supported cash-generative sectors with pricing power, including parts of health care, consumer staples, and energy. Energy exposure has been a particularly important swing factor: firm crude prices and geopolitical risk in the Middle East have supported upstream earnings, while short-term oil price pullbacks have periodically weighed on the sector.

Health care and consumer staples—SCHD’s largest sector blocks—have offered relatively steady demand and strong balance sheets. Financials have benefited from higher interest margins, while utilities and real estate, two rate-sensitive income groups, have faced more pressure. SCHD’s near-zero utility allocation has limited that drag.

Performance and Positioning Snapshot

Through mid-August 2026, SCHD rose about 6.7% over the trailing month, moving from roughly $32.34 to $34.52 based on closing prices. The advance was gradual, with the fund establishing higher lows rather than a sharp vertical move. Over the trailing three months, the fund gained approximately 8.6%, extending a broad advance from mid-May.

The fund’s recent performance reflects its sector mix. Energy, industrials, and information technology holdings delivered strong year-to-date contributions into mid-2026, while health care and financials improved over the latest three-month stretch. Consumer staples have provided steadier, less dramatic performance. Because SCHD is underweight mega-cap technology relative to the broad market, it has not fully captured AI-led rallies; however, that same structure has made its returns less dependent on a narrow group of growth stocks and more tied to earnings durability, dividends, and valuation.

2026 Outlook and Key Factors to Monitor

For the remainder of 2026, the most important factors for SCHD are likely to be monetary policy and the direction of long-term yields. If inflation remains sticky and the Federal Reserve keeps policy restrictive, dividend equities will face continued competition from fixed income; if rate expectations ease, income-oriented stocks may become relatively more attractive.

Energy prices, Middle East supply risks, and the earnings trajectory of large integrated oil holdings will remain key swing factors. Health care policy, drug pricing headlines, and the resilience of managed care and pharmaceutical earnings will influence the fund’s largest sector exposure. Consumer staples companies must demonstrate that pricing power and input costs remain manageable.

Investors should also monitor dividend ETF flows, value-versus-growth rotation, and the payout growth of major holdings. Risks include an economic slowdown that pressures cyclical energy and financials, a sharp rise in long-term rates, or a return to narrow mega-cap technology leadership that leaves dividend-oriented portfolios lagging. No single catalyst is likely to dominate; the fund’s path will depend on the balance among these themes.

AI Tools in Portfolio Research

In my own workflow, I occasionally turn to Tickeron’s AI Screener when comparing dividend ETFs like SCHD against peers. The platform lets users apply technical indicators, fundamentals, volatility measures, and AI-generated signals to scan and filter thousands of securities efficiently. It has helped me surface comparable holdings and assess sector momentum without manual data crunching. Explore the AI Screener to refine your ETF and equity research workflow.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: SCHD

Contributor

My name is Jimmy, and I’m a financial analyst focused on identifying compelling opportunities across the ETF market. Each day, I analyze hundreds of ETFs to uncover potential trading and investment opportunities using a broad range of market factors. For short-term trading, I rely heavily on technical analysis, including price channels, momentum indicators, support and resistance levels, trend patterns, and other market signals. At the same time, I dedicate significant attention to evaluating ETFs from a long-term investment perspective. My objective is to build a well-balanced ETF portfolio that combines core investment holdings with more tactical and speculative positions. The goal is to create a portfolio that can participate effectively in market rallies while also remaining resilient during periods of volatility and market corrections.


SCHD in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026

SCHD moved below its 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 42 of 53 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SCHD moved out of overbought territory on August 26, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 31 of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 74%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SCHD as a result. In 56 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SCHD turned negative on August 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 76%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SCHD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.

The Aroon Indicator for SCHD entered a downward trend on September 18, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +1.03% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SCHD advanced for three days, in 278 of 326 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

SCHD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ABBVIE (NYSE:ABBV), Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), Coca-Cola Company (NYSE:KO), Merck & Co (NYSE:MRK), Home Depot (NYSE:HD), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN), Verizon Communications (NYSE:VZ), PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP).

Industry description

The investment seeks to track as closely as possible, before fees and expenses, the total return of the Dow Jones U.S. Dividend 100™ Index. To pursue its goal, the fund generally invests in stocks that are included in the index. The index is designed to measure the performance of high dividend yielding stocks issued by U.S. companies that have a record of consistently paying dividends, selected for fundamental strength relative to their peers, based on financial ratios. The fund will invest at least 90% of its net assets in these stocks.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) ETF is 52.96B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 426.43M to 466.45B. ABBV holds the highest valuation in this group at 466.45B. The lowest valued company is OXM at 426.43M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) ETF was -1%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 13%. DINO experienced the highest price growth at 7%, while VRTS experienced the biggest fall at -15%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) ETF was 184%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 120% and the average quarterly volume growth was -42%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 33
P/E Growth Rating: 43
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 42
Profit Risk Rating: 56
Seasonality Score: -10 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

Category LargeValue

Profile
Details
Category
Large Value
Address
Schwab Strategic Trust101 Montgomery StreetSan Francisco
Phone
1-800-435-4000
Web
www.csimfunds.com.
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