Target (TGT, $78.51) crushes Q1 estimates, on strong growth in same-store & digital sales
Target Corp. earnings surpassed analysts’ expectations for the first quarter. The retail behemoth also reiterated its guidance for the full-year.
Adjusted earnings for the three months ending in April came in at $1.53 per share, which represents a +15% surge from the same period last year and is higher than analysts’ estimates of $1.43 per share (based on Refinitiv data).
Total revenue increased just under +1% to $17.63 billion, exceeding analysts' estimates of $17.52 billion. The +4.8% growth in same-store sales, beating estimates of +4.2%, marked the company’s ninth consecutive quarterly increase.
Target’s comparable digital sales soared +42% year-over-year. Online sales now account for 7.1% of Target’s retail sales, up from 5.2% a year ago.
For full fiscal year 2020 (ending in early January), Target expects low to mid-single digit growth for same store sales. It projects both adjusted and GAAP earnings of $5.75 to $6.05 per share for the year, in line with its earlier expectations.
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
TGT's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TGT turned positive on July 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where TGT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TGT advanced for three days, in of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 219 cases where TGT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TGT moved out of overbought territory on August 25, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 26 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TGT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TGT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. TGT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.225) is normal, around the industry mean (6.975). P/E Ratio (17.213) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.382). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.611) is also within normal values, averaging (2.759). TGT has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.028) as compared to the industry average of (0.014). P/S Ratio (0.702) is also within normal values, averaging (1.029).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TGT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 64, placing this stock worse than average.
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a department and discount store
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