Tellurian (TELL, $5.40) stock rose, on 10-year deal with Vitol
Shares of Tellurian climbed, following news of natural gas company finalizing a 10-year deal to provide energy trader Vitol with LNG from its proposed liquefaction facility terminal in Louisiana.
The deal, valued at at about $12 billion in revenue over the deal period, is for 3 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) of LNG.
Last week, Tellurian also inked a 10-year agreement with commodity trader Gunvor Group for 3 MTPA of LNG. The LNG would be delivered from the proposed liquefaction facility Driftwood LNG, near Lake Charles, Louisiana in the U.S. Gulf Coast.
TELL in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on May 05, 2022
TELL moved below its 50-day Moving Average on May 05, 2022 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 23 of 25 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Throughout the month of 04/12/22 - 05/13/22, the price experienced a -27% Downtrend. During the week of 05/06/22 - 05/13/22, the stock fell -5%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 18, 2022. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TELL as a result. In 70 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TELL turned negative on April 11, 2022. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 38 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 79%.
The 10-day Moving Average for TELL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 09, 2022. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TELL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
The Aroon Indicator for TELL entered a downward trend on May 13, 2022. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TELL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 29 of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +9.61% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TELL advanced for three days, in 224 of 286 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
TELL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 83%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1 to 1.34.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TELL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 66 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.570) is normal, around the industry mean (9.224). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (33.275). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (0.838). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.058) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.889) is also within normal values, averaging (165.466).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TELL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
The average market capitalization across the Oil & Gas Production Industry is 3.4B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 91 to 133.1B. COP holds the highest valuation in this group at 133.1B. The lowest valued company is TRSI at 91.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was -4.1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.02%, and the average quarterly price growth was 29.89%. HUML experienced the highest price growth at 279.54%, while PHYRF experienced the biggest fall at -95.68%.
- 4/22/22 6:40 AM: Tellurian (TELL, $5.2) was a top loser this week, declining -15.99%
- 4/9/22 5:29 AM: Tellurian (TELL, $5.75) was a top loser this week, declining -9.31%
- 3/15/22 5:19 AM: Tellurian (TELL, $3.64) was a top loser this week, declining -11%
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was -3.53%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -4.76% and the average quarterly volume growth was 56.19%
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Stocks in the group have a Positive Outlook today, backed by the BollingerBands Indicator. Tickeron has a positive outlook on this group and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 54%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.33 to 1.
32 stocks in the group of tickers exhibit a similar positive trend based on the Stochastic indicator with an average likelihood of 76%.
The most notable companies in this group are Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:XOM), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), BP plc (NYSE:BP), Petroleo Brasileiro Sa-Petrobras ADS (REP 1 Common Share) (NYSE:PBR), Suncor Energy (NYSE:SU), APA Corp (NASDAQ:APA), Chesapeake Energy Corp (NASDAQ:CHK), Tellurian (NASDAQ:TELL), YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE:YPF).
The average market capitalization across the group is 31.9B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.3M to 375.5B. XOM holds the highest valuation in this group at 375.5B. The lowest valued company is TDNT at 1.3M.
- 5/10/22 5:36 AM: Exxon Mobil (XOM, $84.46), market cap dropped by $30.6B
- 4/22/22 6:39 AM: PetroChina (PCCYF, $0.47), market cap jumped by $45.2B
- 4/5/22 5:37 AM: PetroChina (PCCYF, $0.53) saw a $58.2B market cap increase this week
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the group was -5.08%. For the same group, the average monthly price growth was -8.58%, and the average quarterly price growth was 21.17%. GBBLF experienced the highest price growth at 33.33%, while ARSEF experienced the biggest fall at -47.79%.
- 5/14/22 4:23 AM: INVICTUS ENERGY (IVCTF, $0.15) was a top loser this week, declining -34.05%
- 5/12/22 5:38 AM: Exxon Mobil (XOM, $86.79) was a top loser this week, declining -5.35%. Expect a Downtrend reversal
- 5/12/22 5:38 AM: BP (BP, $30.22) was a top loser this week, declining -5.12%. Expect a Downtrend reversal
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the group was 298.07%. For the same stocks of the group, the average monthly volume growth was 463.44% and the average quarterly volume growth was 400.08%
- 4/30/22 5:53 AM: The volume for National Fuel Gas stock increased for one day, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 292% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
- 3/19/22 4:44 AM: The volume for Hess Midstream stock increased for a consecutive 5 days, with an average daily gain of 274%
- 3/18/22 7:08 AM: The volume for Hess Midstream stock increased for four consecutive days, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 97% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows