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published in Blogs
Jul 30, 2024

The Oil Refining/Marketing segment ($CVX, $XOM, $CVI, $DK, $MPC, $HEP) Surge by +12.24%

The Oil Refining sector has experienced a significant increase of +12.24% in its performance over the past month.
Tickers in sector - $HEP$TRGP$PSX$PBF$UGP$NS$CVI, $XOM$CVX, $MPC$VLO.
Trend Trader, Long Only: Valuation & Hurst Model (TA&FA)
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The Oil Refining/Marketing segment has experienced a remarkable surge of +12.24%, indicating a strong positive momentum in the market. This surge is underpinned by a range of indicators and metrics that suggest a favorable outlook for stocks within this sector. In this article, we delve into the important factors driving this surge and highlight key themes and notable tickers within the Oil Refining/Marketing segment.

Positive Outlook Supported by 15 Indicators

The Oil Refining/Marketing stocks are currently enjoying a positive outlook, as indicated by the 15 Indicator Stock Fear & Greed Index. This sentiment is further affirmed by Tickeron's positive outlook for this group, predicting a potential increase of over 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 73%. Moreover, the ratio of advancing to declining volumes over the last month was a strong 1.97 to 1, reflecting strong market interest in these stocks.

Momentum Indicator Reinforces Positivity

Six stocks within the Oil Refining/Marketing segment exhibit a similar positive trend according to the Momentum indicator, with an average likelihood of 73%. This alignment in momentum signals suggests a collective strength in the upward movement of these stocks.

Notable Companies

The most notable companies within the Oil Refining/Marketing group include Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:XOM), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), BP plc (NYSE:BP), MARATHON PETROLEUM Corp (NYSE:MPC), Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX), Valero Energy Corp (NYSE:VLO), and Targa Resources Corp (NYSE:TRGP). These companies are pivotal in refining crude oil into various petroleum products and are significant players in the downstream operations of the oil business.

Theme Description

The Oil Refining/Marketing segment encompasses companies engaged in refining crude oil into various petroleum products and marketing these products to end-users. These businesses are positioned within the downstream operations of the oil industry, focusing on post-production processes. Notably, during periods of low oil prices, downstream businesses are relatively less affected or may even benefit, as their procurement costs for crude oil decrease. Some of the leading U.S. oil refining/marketing companies include Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation, and Valero Energy Corp.

Market Capitalization Insights

The average market capitalization across the Oil Refining/Marketing Theme is $82.2 billion. Within this group, market caps range from $232.6 million to $447.7 billion. Exxon Mobil (XOM) boasts the highest valuation within this segment at $447.7 billion, while Targa Resources Corp (TREC) holds the lowest valuation at $232.6 million.

Price Growth Highlights

Across all stocks in the Oil Refining/Marketing Theme, the average weekly price growth is 2.19%. The monthly and quarterly average price growth rates are notably higher at 12.24% and 10.51%, respectively. The highest weekly price growth was experienced by HEP at 8.73%, while NS saw a decline of -10.18%.

Notable Price Movements

  • NuStar Energy (NS, $15.53) suffered a substantial weekly loss of -10.61%, signaling a potential downtrend reversal.
  • Chevron (CVX, $161.82) emerged as a top weekly gainer, surging by +5.46%.
  • BP (BP, $37.18) also exhibited strong growth, with a +5.27% jump in the same week.

Volume Dynamics

The average weekly volume growth for stocks within the Oil Refining/Marketing Theme stood at -10.49%. Over a monthly period, the average volume growth rate was -6.08%, while the average quarterly volume growth reached -39.83%.

Momentum Indicator Insights

  1. Exxon Mobil (XOM): The Momentum Indicator turned positive on August 10, 2023, signaling a potential new upward trend. Historical analysis indicates a 68% chance of a higher move following this indicator shift.

  2. CVI Positive Uptrend: CVI exhibited a +4.11% uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on July 31, 2023. This upward movement has an 80% likelihood of continuing.

  3. HEP's Bullish Moving Averages: HEP's 50-day moving average crossed bullishly above its 200-day moving average on July 11, 2023, suggesting a positive long-term signal for the stock's upward trajectory.

Summary

The surge of +12.24% in the Oil Refining/Marketing segment is driven by robust indicators and positive momentum across various stocks within the theme. The positive outlook, reinforced by the Momentum indicator and Tickeron's predictions, suggests a potential for continued growth. Notable companies like Exxon Mobil, Chevron, and BP are playing key roles in this segment's positive movement. Investors should closely monitor these trends for potential opportunities in the dynamic Oil Refining/Marketing sector.

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