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Nov 14, 2026
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Under Armour (UAA) Holds Near $4.91 as Turnaround Narrative Persists

Under Armour (UAA) Holds Near $4.91 as Turnaround Narrative Persists

Key Takeaways

  • UAA traded near $4.91 in mid-November 2026, essentially flat over the trailing 30 days (up about 0.6%) despite sharp swings around its fiscal second-quarter earnings report.
  • Under Armour reported fiscal Q2 (ended September 30, 2026) revenue of $1.24 billion, down about 7% year over year, while adjusted EPS came in at breakeven, slightly ahead of consensus expectations.
  • Management cut its full-year gross margin expansion outlook to 170–220 basis points and raised its estimated Middle East conflict impact to roughly $45 million.
  • The company guided fiscal Q3 revenue down 8–9% with an adjusted loss of $0.01–$0.03 per share, below Street forecasts.
  • Frasers Group disclosed a passive 8.78% stake in Under Armour's Class A shares, a notable vote of confidence in a multi-year turnaround led by founder and CEO Kevin Plank.
  • For deeper detail on Under Armour's valuation and expectations, explore its Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast pages.

Current Market Snapshot

Under Armour's Class A shares (UAA) closed around $4.91 in mid-November 2026, a level that is roughly unchanged from a month earlier even as the stock endured a volatile stretch. The shares rallied into the company's early-November earnings report, fell sharply in premarket trading after management issued cautious guidance, and then partially recovered before settling near the lower end of their recent range. Elevated short interest—reported at more than 40% of the float as of mid-October—underscores the market's divided views on the brand's recovery, while the stock continues to trade well below its historical highs and reflects a multi-year reset in strategy and valuation. From what I see, this stability after the swings suggests investors are still weighing the longer-term story.

Under Armour Business Overview and Competitive Position

Under Armour, Inc. is a Baltimore-based developer, marketer, and distributor of branded athletic performance apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women, and youth. Founded in 1996 by Kevin Plank, the company operates through four geographic segments—North America, Europe/Middle East/Africa, Asia-Pacific, and Latin America—and sells through both wholesale partners and direct-to-consumer channels, including its e-commerce sites and owned stores. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.

The company competes directly with industry leaders such as Nike (NKE) and Adidas (ADDYY), as well as a growing field of specialized performance brands. Under Armour uses a dual-class share structure: UAA is the Class A common stock (one vote per share), while the Class C stock trades under a separate ticker, and founder Kevin Plank retains majority voting control through Class B shares. Investors follow the stock closely because of its iconic brand, its ongoing turnaround under Plank's renewed leadership, and its sensitivity to consumer spending and supply-chain dynamics.

Recent Developments Driving UAA

Several verified events shaped Under Armour's trading during the period. In early October, a regulatory filing revealed that Frasers Group, the UK retail conglomerate controlled by Mike Ashley and owner of Sports Direct, had taken an 8.78% stake in Under Armour's Class A shares. Filed as a passive Schedule 13G, the position was framed as a strategic, long-term investment rather than an activist push.

Late in October, UBS reiterated a Buy rating on the stock ahead of earnings while trimming its price target, citing expectations that tariff-cost relief and cost-reduction efforts would support results even amid soft sales.

On November 6, Under Armour reported fiscal second-quarter results. Revenue fell about 7% to $1.24 billion, slightly above consensus, and adjusted earnings came in at breakeven versus a projected loss. However, the company lowered its full-year gross margin expansion target to 170–220 basis points from a prior 220–270 basis points and increased its estimated Middle East conflict impact to about $45 million. Guidance for the fiscal third quarter—revenue down 8–9% and an adjusted loss of $0.01–$0.03 per share—was weaker than analysts had anticipated, driving an initial double-digit premarket decline.

2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch

Looking ahead, Under Armour's trajectory will likely hinge on whether its North America business can stabilize and whether the company's premiumization strategy—reducing promotions and focusing on full-price selling—translates into stronger brand economics without sacrificing too much volume. Key factors to monitor include progress on inventory normalization, the impact of freight and fuel costs on gross margin, the duration of Middle East supply-chain disruptions, and any tariff-related refunds that may support profitability.

Investors will also watch demand trends in footwear, where sales have lagged, and the competitive environment shaped by discounting across the athletic apparel sector. The response to new product launches and the company's ability to defend market share against larger rivals remain central to the turnaround narrative into 2026 and beyond. I’m watching this closely as the execution on these fronts will determine if the recent stake from Frasers Group proves prescient.

My Take on AI-Driven Insights

In my research process, I often review Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page to compare how different automated strategies are positioned across thousands of tickers. The curated selection highlights top-performing bots with varying approaches, timeframes, and metrics, which helps me cross-check my own views on names like UAA without replacing fundamental analysis. This side-by-side view adds a useful layer when evaluating recovery plays amid sector headwinds.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: UAA

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Allana's AvatarAllana|Expert

Financial analyst and market blogger with expertise in equity research, fundamental analysis, and macroeconomic trends. I regularly publish coverage on individual stocks, ETFs, and sector developments — combining rigorous financial analysis with clear, engaging writing for a broad investment audience.


UAA's RSI Indicator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for UAA moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 24 of the 30 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 80%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UAA as a result. In 60 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UAA turned negative on November 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 76%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UAA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

UAA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

UAA moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for UAA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 03, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

Following a +10.12% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UAA advanced for three days, in 185 of 277 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 140 of 213 cases where UAA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 66%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 31 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.588) is normal, around the industry mean (2.911). P/E Ratio (-4.591) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.016). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.083) is also within normal values, averaging (0.686). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.328) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.434) is also within normal values, averaging (0.827).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UAA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UAA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are VF Corp (NYSE:VFC), G-III Apparel Group Ltd (NASDAQ:GIII), Canada Goose Holdings (NYSE:GOOS), Lakeland Industries (NASDAQ:LAKE).

Industry description

Apparel/footwear might be slightly more ‘cyclical’ in the largely non-cyclical category of non-durables. While digital giants like Amazon have been rapidly expanding their presence, traditional clothing/footwear retailers have also been bulking up their online presence in recent years, to milk the burgeoning trend of online shopping among consumers across the globe. The apparel and footwear retail market was valued at around $ 360 billion in 2018, and this figure was expected to reach about $386 billion by 2020 (according to a Statista report). NIKE, Inc, V.F. Corporation and Under Armour, Inc. are some of the companies with the largest U.S. stock market caps in this segment.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Industry is 3.03B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.66K to 25.98B. HMRZF holds the highest valuation in this group at 25.98B. The lowest valued company is SQBGQ at 1.66K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 13%. JXG experienced the highest price growth at 33%, while XELB experienced the biggest fall at -23%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Industry was -27%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -10% and the average quarterly volume growth was 4%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 51
P/E Growth Rating: 46
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: 18 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a designer of branded performance products for men, women and youth

Industry ApparelFootwear

Industry
Apparel Or Footwear
Address
101 Performance Drive
Phone
+1 410 468-2512
Employees
14100
Web
https://www.underarmour.com
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