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Apr 25, 2019

UPS (UPS, $105.27) falls shy of expectations on earnings and revenue

United Parcel Service (UPS) earnings and revenue missed analysts’ estimates.

The package delivery/supply chain management company reported adjusted earnings of $1.39 a share, below analysts’ estimates of $1.42 a share (based on FactSet poll). The figure is also lower compared to the year-ago quarter’s $1.55 a share.

Apparently, the winter weather set back profit by about $80 million (or 7 cents a share), as indicated by the company.  

UPS shares declined more than -5.5% in early trading Thursday.

Related Ticker: UPS

UPS's RSI Oscillator ascends from oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for UPS moved out of oversold territory on February 06, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 33 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 14, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UPS as a result. In of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UPS just turned positive on February 15, 2024. Looking at past instances where UPS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UPS advanced for three days, in of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

UPS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 63 cases where UPS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

UPS moved below its 50-day moving average on January 30, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for UPS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on January 31, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UPS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for UPS entered a downward trend on February 14, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UPS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.294) is normal, around the industry mean (17.357). P/E Ratio (18.982) is within average values for comparable stocks, (21.311). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.313) is also within normal values, averaging (11.032). Dividend Yield (0.044) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.400) is also within normal values, averaging (1.107).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS), FedEx Corp (NYSE:FDX), C.H. Robinson Worldwide (NASDAQ:CHRW).

Industry description

The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Air Freight/Couriers Industry is 10.79B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.6M to 126.24B. UPS holds the highest valuation in this group at 126.24B. The lowest valued company is PTNYF at 2.6M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Air Freight/Couriers Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10%. CYRX experienced the highest price growth at 13%, while SGLY experienced the biggest fall at -28%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Air Freight/Couriers Industry was 44%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -23% and the average quarterly volume growth was 46%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 62
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: 1 (-100 ... +100)
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UPSDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of global package delivery and supply chain management solutions

Industry AirFreightCouriers

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Air Freight Or Couriers
Address
55 Glenlake Parkway
Phone
+1 404 828-6000
Employees
500000
Web
https://www.ups.com
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UPS and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UPS has been closely correlated with EXPD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if UPS jumps, then EXPD could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To UPS
1D Price
Change %
UPS100%
-0.13%
EXPD - UPS
67%
Closely correlated
+0.87%
XPO - UPS
64%
Loosely correlated
+0.23%
FDX - UPS
51%
Loosely correlated
-0.95%
LSTR - UPS
50%
Loosely correlated
-1.82%
GXO - UPS
48%
Loosely correlated
-1.60%
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