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Aug 18, 2020
Walmart (WMT, $135.27) crushes Q2 earnings expectations

Walmart (WMT, $135.27) crushes Q2 earnings expectations

Walmart Inc.  reported second quarter earnings that beat analysts’ estimates, on solid digital sales.

The retail giant’s adjusted earnings for the three months ending July surged +22.8% year-over-year to $1.56 per share, well ahead of the Street consensus expectation of $1.25 per share.

Revenue increased +5.6% year-over-year to $137.7 billion, which is higher than the Street estimate of  $135.37 billion.

Walmart’s e-commerce sales performed solidly well amid the covid-19 pandemic, with a +97% growth the year-ago period.

Comparable sales in the U.S. climbed +9.3%. The growth is nearly +10%, after removing fuel sales .

Tickeron's analysis shows: WMT's in Uptrend: Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram crosses above signal line

This is a Bullish indicator signaling WMT's price could rise. Traders may explore going long on the ticker or buying call options. In 27 of 52 cases where WMT's MACD histogram became positive, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 52%.

Current price $135.27 is above $130.14 the highest support line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 07/16/20 - 08/17/20, the price experienced a +3% Uptrend. During the week of 08/10/20 - 08/17/20, the stock enjoyed a +3% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on August 12, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 48 of 94 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 51%.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WMT advanced for three days, in 169 of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 51%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 126 of 306 similar cases where WMT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 41%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 21 of 49 cases where WMT's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 43%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 78%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1 to 1.04.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. WMT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 40 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: WMT's P/B Ratio (5.63) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.13). P/E Ratio (25.79) is within average values for comparable stocks, (42.18). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.28) is also within normal values, averaging (0.63). Dividend Yield (1.85) settles around the average of (1.13) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.65) is also within normal values, averaging (0.46).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Related Ticker: WMT

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


WMT's RSI Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for WMT moved out of oversold territory on August 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 15 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 12 of the 15 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 80%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +1.06% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WMT advanced for three days, in 211 of 374 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

WMT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 195 of 363 cases where WMT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 54%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on WMT as a result. In 27 of 75 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 36%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for WMT turned negative on September 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 16 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 33%.

WMT moved below its 50-day moving average on September 24, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WMT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 37%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 63, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. WMT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 96 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.780) is normal, around the industry mean (7.191). P/E Ratio (39.395) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.397). WMT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.175) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.171). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.169) is also within normal values, averaging (1.008).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Walmart (NASDAQ:WMT), Costco Wholesale Corp (NASDAQ:COST), Target Corp (NYSE:TGT), Dollar General Corp (NYSE:DG), Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR).

Industry description

Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Discount Stores Industry is 158B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 8.91K to 862.64B. WMT holds the highest valuation in this group at 862.64B. The lowest valued company is BIGGQ at 8.91K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Discount Stores Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 7%. OLLI experienced the highest price growth at 2%, while DG experienced the biggest fall at -4%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Discount Stores Industry was -1%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 14% and the average quarterly volume growth was -43%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 77
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 48
Profit Risk Rating: 63
Seasonality Score: 53 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a retail discount department store

Industry DiscountStores

Industry
Specialty Stores
Address
1 Customer Drive
Phone
+1 479 273-4000
Employees
2100000
Web
https://stock.walmart.com
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