Walmart (WMT, $139.53) beats fiscal Q2 expectations
Walmart posted its fiscal second quarter earnings that exceeded analysts’ expectations, even amidst cooling off of consumers’ demand for discretionary items,
The big box retail giant’s adjusted earnings came in at $1.77 per share, well above the $1.62 expected by analysts’ polled by Refinitiv.
Revenue of $152.86 billion was also higher than analysts’ expectations of $150.81 billion.
The company’s same-store sales in the U.S. grew +6.5% year-over-year in the second quarter, excluding fuel, compared with the year-ago period, beating estimates of 5.9% growth that analysts expected, according to StreetAccount.
E-commerce sales climbed +12% from the year-ago period.
CFO John David Rainey told CNBC the Walmart’s reputation as a discounter is attracting more middle- and high-income shoppers. About three-quarters of Walmart's market share gains in food was attributed to customers with annual household incomes of $100,000 or more.
However, inflation is still be a headwind for the company. "We expect inflation to continue to influence the choices that families make and we're adjusting to that reality so we can help them more," CEO Doug McMillon mentioned to analysts on a conference call Tuesday (as reported in CNBC).
Walmart expects same-store sales for Walmart U.S. growth of about +3%, excluding fuel, for the second half of the year, or about +4% for the full year. It predicts adjusted earnings per share decline between 9% and 11% for the full year.
WMT's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for WMT turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where WMT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on WMT as a result. In 45 of 74 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
WMT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for WMT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Following a +2.28% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WMT advanced for three days, in 210 of 373 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 183 of 359 cases where WMT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 51%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WMT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 37%.
WMT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 58, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. WMT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: WMT's P/B Ratio (9.682) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.628). WMT has a moderately high P/E Ratio (43.282) as compared to the industry average of (23.925). WMT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.175) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.171). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.169) is also within normal values, averaging (1.008).
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a retail discount department store
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