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Oct 14, 2020
Wells Fargo (WFC, $23.51) misses Q3 earnings estimates

Wells Fargo (WFC, $23.51) misses Q3 earnings estimates

Wells Fargo third-quarter earnings fell short of analysts' expectations, on net interest income drop.

The bank’s  the third quarter earnings came in at 42 cents a share, for, vs. declining from the year-ago quarter’s  92 cents a share. The figure is lower than the 44 cents a share expected by analysts at FactSet.

Net interest income of  $9.4 billion was below analysts' forecasts of $9.6 billion. Non-interest income was $9.5 billion, down $891 million. Average deposits was $1.4 trillion, up + 8% year-over-year.

Revenue came of $18.9 billion was lower than the year-ago period’s $22 billion. However, it managed to beat FactSet estimates of $18 billion. 

Commercial loans were down $30 billion year-over-year, suggesting  lower loan demand as well as loan pay-downs, Wells Fargo said.

According to Tickeron, WFC in -5.03% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on September 23, 2020

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where WFC declined for three days, in 176 of 307 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.

Current price $23.53 crossed the support line at $23.60 and is trading between $23.60 support and $22.59 support lines. Throughout the month of 09/11/20 - 10/13/20, the price experienced a +2% Uptrend. During the week of 10/06/20 - 10/13/20, the stock enjoyed a +2% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

WFC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 08, 2020. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 05, 2020. You may want to consider a long position or call options on WFC as a result. In 45 of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for WFC just turned positive on October 05, 2020. Looking at past instances where WFC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 23 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.

WFC moved above its 50-day Moving Average on October 07, 2020 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day Moving Average for WFC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 12, 2020. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.

Following a +4.63% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WFC advanced for three days, in 126 of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 43%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 87 of 214 cases where WFC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 41%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 52%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.86 to 1.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. WFC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. WFC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 16 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.64) is normal, around the industry mean (0.83). WFC's P/E Ratio (28.28) is considerably higher than the industry average of (10.97). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.15) is also within normal values, averaging (4.45). Dividend Yield (3.57) settles around the average of (2.75) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.15) is also within normal values, averaging (1.57).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 10 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Related Ticker: WFC

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


WFC in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on August 20, 2026

WFC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 38 cases where WFC's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The 50-day moving average for WFC moved above the 200-day moving average on August 06, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WFC advanced for three days, in of 329 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 253 cases where WFC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 18, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on WFC as a result. In of 75 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for WFC turned negative on August 17, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

WFC moved below its 50-day moving average on August 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for WFC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WFC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 19, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. WFC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.559) is normal, around the industry mean (1.896). WFC has a moderately low P/E Ratio (12.350) as compared to the industry average of (15.170). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.606) is also within normal values, averaging (1.610). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.068) is also within normal values, averaging (3.905).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM), Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC), HSBC Holdings PLC (NYSE:HSBC), Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE:WFC), Citigroup (NYSE:C), Barclays PLC (NYSE:BCS).

Industry description

Major banks are among the biggest companies in the world, often times with global reach and market capitalizations in the multi-billions. Large banks often have multiple arms spanning different disciplines, from deposits, to investment banking, to wealth management and insurance. The biggest banks often have key competitive advantages over smaller players in the industry in terms of brand recognition, cost of capital, and efficiency. Think J.P. Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Major Banks Industry is 214.38B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.04M to 941.58B. JPM holds the highest valuation in this group at 941.58B. The lowest valued company is BACRP at 1.04M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Major Banks Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 22%. BNS experienced the highest price growth at 8%, while FRBT experienced the biggest fall at -2%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Major Banks Industry was -5%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 5% and the average quarterly volume growth was -50%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 67
P/E Growth Rating: 32
Price Growth Rating: 41
SMR Rating: 7
Profit Risk Rating: 19
Seasonality Score: -17 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: BANKS
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General Information

a major bank

Industry MajorBanks

Profile
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Industry
Major Banks
Address
420 Montgomery Street
Phone
+1 866 249-3302
Employees
226000
Web
https://www.wellsfargo.com
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