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Aug 17, 2026
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Why Is Oddity Tech Ltd. (ODD) Stock Down -9.84% Today?

Why Is Oddity Tech Ltd. (ODD) Stock Down -9.84% Today?

Key Takeaways

  • Shares of ODD were down 9.84% intraday Monday at $11.82, a decline of $1.29 from the prior close of $13.11.
  • The selling extended a prolonged repricing tied to elevated customer-acquisition costs following a February “dislocation” with the company’s largest advertising partner.
  • First-quarter results underscored the pressure: revenue fell 26% year over year and the company swung to a net loss.
  • Wall Street sentiment remains cautious after downgrades and price-target cuts, while securities class action filings add legal overhang.
  • Traders are now watching the company’s second-quarter earnings release, scheduled for September 9, 2026.

Opening Summary

Oddity Tech Ltd. (ODD), the digital-first beauty and wellness company behind the IL MAKIAGE and SpoiledChild brands, saw its shares fall sharply during Monday’s session. The stock traded at $11.82, down $1.29, or 9.84%, from Friday’s closing price of $13.11, extending a months-long decline that has kept investor sentiment firmly negative. The immediate driver cited by markets was continued concern over the company’s customer-acquisition model, which has been under pressure since management disclosed a disruption with its largest advertising partner earlier this year.

Customer-Acquisition Dislocation Remains the Central Concern

The core issue weighing on ODD dates back to February, when the company disclosed that an algorithm change at its largest advertising partner had diverted advertisements to lower-quality auctions at abnormally high costs. The resulting jump in customer-acquisition costs forced management to warn that first-quarter revenue would decline roughly 30% year over year, triggering a historic single-day selloff.

That pressure was confirmed in the company’s first-quarter results. Revenue fell 26% year over year to $197.9 million, and the company swung to a net loss of $21.4 million. Management also guided for a 25% to 30% year-over-year revenue decline in the second quarter, signaling that the disruption has not yet fully normalized. While the company has pointed to a sequential improvement in IL MAKIAGE customer-acquisition costs in May, investors remain unconvinced that a durable recovery is underway.

Cautious Wall Street Stance and Legal Overhang

The decline has been reinforced by a cautious sell-side view. Several analysts have downgraded the stock or reduced price targets, reflecting low visibility on the timing of a recovery in customer-acquisition efficiency and repeat-purchase behavior. The broader consensus on ODD has shifted to a guarded posture, with firms citing execution risk even as they acknowledge early signs of stabilization.

Separately, securities class action filings tied to the company’s disclosures about its advertising platform have added a layer of uncertainty. The legal overhang, combined with the operational reset, has made it difficult for the shares to sustain any meaningful bounce.

Market Context and Trading Activity

The move in ODD reflects company-specific pressures rather than a broad shift in the personal-care sector. The stock has been highly volatile, consistent with its elevated beta, and Monday’s decline pushed it deeper below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, reinforcing a bearish technical setup. Over the past year, the shares have lost roughly three-quarters of their value, underscoring how dramatically the market has repriced the company’s growth outlook since the advertising dislocation emerged.

What Comes Next for ODD

The next major catalyst for ODD is its second-quarter earnings report, scheduled for September 9, 2026. Investors will focus on whether customer-acquisition costs continue to normalize, whether the company can stabilize first-order trends, and whether newer initiatives such as the METHODIQ medical telehealth brand can gain traction. Management has said it expects positive adjusted EBITDA for the full year, but execution risk remains elevated. Legal proceedings, advertising-platform dependence, and the broader consumer environment all remain key uncertainties heading into the report.

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Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: ODD

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


ODD sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for ODD moved above the 200-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +4.90% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ODD advanced for three days, in 130 of 181 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 85 of 111 cases where ODD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 77%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ODD moved out of overbought territory on October 21, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 20 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 14 of the 20 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 70%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 27, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ODD as a result. In 50 of 60 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ODD turned negative on October 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 22 of the 28 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 79%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ODD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

ODD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ODD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 94 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.021) is normal, around the industry mean (20.672). ODD has a moderately high P/E Ratio (84.840) as compared to the industry average of (16.840). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.518). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.521) is also within normal values, averaging (1.902).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ODD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE:PG), Colgate-Palmolive Company (NYSE:CL).

Industry description

Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Household/Personal Care Industry is 24.66B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 60.48K to 379.9B. PG holds the highest valuation in this group at 379.9B. The lowest valued company is EOSS at 60.48K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Household/Personal Care Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 7%. SLSN experienced the highest price growth at 11%, while FRTT experienced the biggest fall at -26%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Household/Personal Care Industry was 169%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 148% and the average quarterly volume growth was 27%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 73
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: 18 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

Industry HouseholdPersonalCare

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N/A
Address
8 Haharash Street
Phone
+972 52 501 4724
Employees
658
Web
https://www.oddity.com
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