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AA
Price
$44.02
Change
+$2.81 (+6.82%)
Updated
Nov 15 closing price
59 days until earnings call
CENX
Price
$22.62
Change
+$1.50 (+7.10%)
Updated
Nov 15 closing price
95 days until earnings call
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AA vs CENX

Header iconAA vs CENX Comparison
Open Charts AA vs CENXBanner chart's image
Alcoa
Price$44.02
Change+$2.81 (+6.82%)
Volume$11.26M
CapitalizationN/A
Century Aluminum
Price$22.62
Change+$1.50 (+7.10%)
Volume$2.7M
CapitalizationN/A
AA vs CENX Comparison Chart
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AA
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if shorted
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CENX
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if shorted
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VS
AA vs. CENX commentary
Nov 18, 2024

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AA is a Sell and CENX is a Sell.

COMPARISON
Comparison
Nov 18, 2024
Stock price -- (AA: $44.02 vs. CENX: $22.62)
Brand notoriety: AA: Notable vs. CENX: Not notable
Both companies represent the Aluminum industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: AA: 211% vs. CENX: 238%
Market capitalization -- AA: $11.37B vs. CENX: $2.1B
AA [@Aluminum] is valued at $11.37B. CENX’s [@Aluminum] market capitalization is $2.1B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Aluminum] industry ranges from $54.35B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Aluminum] industry is $8.67B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

AA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileCENX’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).

  • AA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • CENX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
According to our system of comparison, CENX is a better buy in the long-term than AA.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

AA’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CENX’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • AA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
  • CENX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, AA is a better buy in the short-term than CENX.

Price Growth

AA (@Aluminum) experienced а -1.70% price change this week, while CENX (@Aluminum) price change was +2.35% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aluminum industry was -2.64%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.01%.

Reported Earning Dates

AA is expected to report earnings on Jan 15, 2025.

CENX is expected to report earnings on Feb 20, 2025.

Industries' Descriptions

@Aluminum (-2.64% weekly)

Aluminum is widely used in the industries like construction, packaging and automotive sector. The segment has seen increased demand for the lightweight variety in automobiles in improving fuel efficiency. The U.S. aluminum industry generates nearly $71 billion a year in direct economic impact (according to The Aluminum Association). Arconic, Inc, Alcoa Corp and Kaiser Aluminum Corporation are major aluminum companies in the U.S.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
AA($11.4B) has a higher market cap than CENX($2.1B). CENX YTD gains are higher at: 86.326 vs. AA (31.000). AA has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 659M vs. CENX (337M). AA has more cash in the bank: 1.31B vs. CENX (41.3M). CENX has less debt than AA: CENX (480M) vs AA (2.93B). AA has higher revenues than CENX: AA (11B) vs CENX (2.11B).
AACENXAA / CENX
Capitalization11.4B2.1B543%
EBITDA659M337M196%
Gain YTD31.00086.32636%
P/E RatioN/A7.18-
Revenue11B2.11B522%
Total Cash1.31B41.3M3,179%
Total Debt2.93B480M611%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
AA vs CENX: Fundamental Ratings
AA
CENX
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
8345
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
16
Undervalued
81
Overvalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
6546
SMR RATING
1..100
8922
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
3935
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
9266
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
8585

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

AA's Valuation (16) in the Aluminum industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CENX (81). This means that AA’s stock grew somewhat faster than CENX’s over the last 12 months.

CENX's Profit vs Risk Rating (46) in the Aluminum industry is in the same range as AA (65). This means that CENX’s stock grew similarly to AA’s over the last 12 months.

CENX's SMR Rating (22) in the Aluminum industry is significantly better than the same rating for AA (89). This means that CENX’s stock grew significantly faster than AA’s over the last 12 months.

CENX's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Aluminum industry is in the same range as AA (39). This means that CENX’s stock grew similarly to AA’s over the last 12 months.

CENX's P/E Growth Rating (66) in the Aluminum industry is in the same range as AA (92). This means that CENX’s stock grew similarly to AA’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
AACENX
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
75%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
73%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
83%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
74%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
82%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
79%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
86%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
82%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
83%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
82%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
85%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
80%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
82%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
82%
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
83%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
76%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
89%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
89%
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AA
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if shorted
Show more...
CENX
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if shorted
Show more...
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CENX and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CENX has been closely correlated with AA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CENX jumps, then AA could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To CENX
1D Price
Change %
CENX100%
+7.10%
AA - CENX
78%
Closely correlated
+6.82%
NHYDY - CENX
55%
Loosely correlated
+7.62%
KALU - CENX
51%
Loosely correlated
-0.90%
NHYKF - CENX
41%
Loosely correlated
+13.42%
CSTM - CENX
38%
Loosely correlated
+1.06%
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