AA
Price
$34.40
Change
-$2.85 (-7.65%)
Updated
Feb 21 closing price
Capitalization
8.91B
52 days until earnings call
CENX
Price
$17.38
Change
-$2.66 (-13.27%)
Updated
Feb 21 closing price
Capitalization
1.62B
66 days until earnings call
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AA vs CENX

Header iconAA vs CENX Comparison
Open Charts AA vs CENXBanner chart's image
Alcoa
Price$34.40
Change-$2.85 (-7.65%)
Volume$7.22M
Capitalization8.91B
Century Aluminum
Price$17.38
Change-$2.66 (-13.27%)
Volume$5.25M
Capitalization1.62B
AA vs CENX Comparison Chart
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AA
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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CENX
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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AA vs. CENX commentary
Feb 23, 2025

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AA is a Hold and CENX is a Hold.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Feb 23, 2025
Stock price -- (AA: $34.40 vs. CENX: $17.38)
Brand notoriety: AA: Notable vs. CENX: Not notable
Both companies represent the Aluminum industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: AA: 152% vs. CENX: 345%
Market capitalization -- AA: $8.91B vs. CENX: $1.62B
AA [@Aluminum] is valued at $8.91B. CENX’s [@Aluminum] market capitalization is $1.62B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Aluminum] industry ranges from $54.35B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Aluminum] industry is $9.44B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

AA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileCENX’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).

  • AA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • CENX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
According to our system of comparison, both AA and CENX are a bad buy in the long-term.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

AA’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CENX’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • AA’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
  • CENX’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, AA is a better buy in the short-term than CENX.

Price Growth

AA (@Aluminum) experienced а -5.08% price change this week, while CENX (@Aluminum) price change was -17.00% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aluminum industry was -1.19%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.60%.

Reported Earning Dates

AA is expected to report earnings on Apr 16, 2025.

CENX is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2025.

Industries' Descriptions

@Aluminum (-1.19% weekly)

Aluminum is widely used in the industries like construction, packaging and automotive sector. The segment has seen increased demand for the lightweight variety in automobiles in improving fuel efficiency. The U.S. aluminum industry generates nearly $71 billion a year in direct economic impact (according to The Aluminum Association). Arconic, Inc, Alcoa Corp and Kaiser Aluminum Corporation are major aluminum companies in the U.S.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
AA($8.91B) has a higher market cap than CENX($1.62B). AA has higher P/E ratio than CENX: AA (132.31) vs CENX (5.28). CENX YTD gains are higher at: -4.610 vs. AA (-8.947). AA has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 659M vs. CENX (440M). AA has more cash in the bank: 1.31B vs. CENX (32.6M). CENX has less debt than AA: CENX (486M) vs AA (2.93B). AA has higher revenues than CENX: AA (11B) vs CENX (2.1B).
AACENXAA / CENX
Capitalization8.91B1.62B549%
EBITDA659M440M150%
Gain YTD-8.947-4.610194%
P/E Ratio132.315.282,505%
Revenue11B2.1B523%
Total Cash1.31B32.6M4,028%
Total Debt2.93B486M603%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
AA vs CENX: Fundamental Ratings
AA
CENX
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
1820
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
18
Undervalued
79
Overvalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
6956
SMR RATING
1..100
9117
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
6254
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
6183
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
n/a50

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

AA's Valuation (18) in the Aluminum industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CENX (79). This means that AA’s stock grew somewhat faster than CENX’s over the last 12 months.

CENX's Profit vs Risk Rating (56) in the Aluminum industry is in the same range as AA (69). This means that CENX’s stock grew similarly to AA’s over the last 12 months.

CENX's SMR Rating (17) in the Aluminum industry is significantly better than the same rating for AA (91). This means that CENX’s stock grew significantly faster than AA’s over the last 12 months.

CENX's Price Growth Rating (54) in the Aluminum industry is in the same range as AA (62). This means that CENX’s stock grew similarly to AA’s over the last 12 months.

AA's P/E Growth Rating (61) in the Aluminum industry is in the same range as CENX (83). This means that AA’s stock grew similarly to CENX’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
AACENX
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
87%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
83%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
78%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
82%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
73%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
89%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
82%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
83%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
82%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 13 days ago
80%
Bullish Trend 13 days ago
83%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 18 days ago
82%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
84%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
N/A
N/A
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AA
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
Show more...
CENX
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
Show more...
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CENX and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CENX has been closely correlated with AA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CENX jumps, then AA could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To CENX
1D Price
Change %
CENX100%
-13.27%
AA - CENX
75%
Closely correlated
-7.65%
NHYDY - CENX
55%
Loosely correlated
-3.02%
KALU - CENX
45%
Loosely correlated
-3.98%
NHYKF - CENX
41%
Loosely correlated
-2.53%
CSTM - CENX
26%
Poorly correlated
+0.68%
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