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ABEV vs CCU
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ambev S.A. (ABEV) vs. Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A. (CCU) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ABEV boasts a significantly larger market capitalization of approximately $45 billion compared to CCU's $2.1 billion, reflecting greater scale in Latin American beverages.
- Both stocks have delivered positive year-to-date gains, with ABEV at around 17% outperforming CCU's 11%, amid recent market volatility.
- ABEV offers a higher dividend yield of about 9.5%, appealing to income-focused investors, versus CCU's 3.1%.
- Recent quarterly revenue growth was negative for both, at -8.2% for ABEV and -11.8% for CCU, highlighting sector headwinds.
- ABEV shows stronger profitability with a 17.6% profit margin and 17% return on equity (ROE), compared to CCU's 4% margin and 8.4% ROE.
- Analyst sentiment is cautious, with a recent UBS downgrade for ABEV to Sell and JP Morgan's Underweight on CCU.
Introduction
Ambev S.A. (ABEV) and Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A. (CCU) are prominent players in the Latin American beverage sector, primarily focused on beer production alongside soft drinks and other non-alcoholic beverages. This stock comparison analyzes their recent market positioning, financial metrics, and performance trends, offering insights for traders seeking relative value in consumer staples and investors eyeing regional exposure. With both companies navigating economic pressures in South America, understanding their contrasts in scale, profitability, and momentum aids informed decision-making in the current market environment.
ABEV Overview and Recent Performance
Ambev S.A. (ABEV), a subsidiary of Anheuser-Busch InBev, dominates the Brazilian beer market with brands like Brahma and Skol, while expanding into soft drinks and other beverages across Latin America. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around $2.90, within a 52-week range of $2.10 to $3.24, supported by a market cap exceeding $45 billion. Year-to-date gains of nearly 17% reflect resilience amid broader consumer staples trends, though quarterly revenue dipped 8.2% year-over-year. Sentiment shifted following a UBS downgrade to Sell in recent weeks, citing downside risks, yet positive notes on growth potential persist. High dividend yield near 9.5% and low debt-to-equity of 3.8% bolster stability, influencing trader interest in its defensive positioning.
CCU Overview and Recent Performance
Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A. (CCU) operates as a diversified beverage producer in Chile, Argentina, and neighboring countries, offering beers, wines, soft drinks, and spirits through segments like Chile operations and international business. Recently, shares hovered near $11.20, in a 52-week band of $10.71 to $15.57, with a market cap of about $2.1 billion. Year-to-date performance stands at 11%, trailing some peers, while one-year returns reached 25% amid volatile regional dynamics. Quarterly revenue fell 11.8% and earnings dropped 25.7%, pressuring margins to 4%. Analyst views remain tempered, with JP Morgan maintaining Underweight, though a raised price target signals some optimism. Elevated debt-to-equity at 78% introduces risk, shaping cautious sentiment in recent trading.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both ABEV and CCU center on Latin American beverages but differ in scale and diversification: ABEV's Brazil-heavy beer focus contrasts CCU's multi-country portfolio including wines. Growth drivers face headwinds, with ABEV showing steadier YTD momentum (17% vs. 11%) but CCU stronger one-year gains (25%). Risk profiles diverge, as ABEV's minimal debt (3.8%) and superior ROE (17%) offer stability over CCU's higher leverage (78%) and lower margins. Sector exposure ties them to consumer spending in emerging markets, where currency fluctuations amplify volatility. Market sentiment leans neutral-cautious for both post-analyst updates, with ABEV favored for income via dividends and CCU for potential upside in diversification.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward ABEV based on trend consistency, higher profit margins (17.6% vs. 4%), robust ROE (17% vs. 8.4%), and superior year-to-date relative performance amid sector challenges. Its larger scale and attractive dividend enhance positioning, suggesting higher probability of stability over CCU's growth trade-offs in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ABEV is a Hold and CCU is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ABEV’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileCCU’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ABEV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- CCU’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ABEV’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CCU’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ABEV’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 3 bearish.
- CCU’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ABEV (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) experienced а -3.38% price change this week, while CCU (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) price change was -3.22% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was -0.75%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.80%, and the average quarterly price growth was +10.09%.
Reported Earning Dates
ABEV is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
CCU is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (-0.75% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
| ABEV | CCU | ABEV / CCU | |
| Capitalization | 48.3B | 2.11B | 2,287% |
| EBITDA | 29B | 200B | 15% |
| Gain YTD | 27.126 | -9.347 | -290% |
| P/E Ratio | 16.29 | 16.77 | 97% |
| Revenue | 88.2B | 2.91T | 3% |
| Total Cash | 19.6B | 613B | 3% |
| Total Debt | 3.11B | 1.22T | 0% |
ABEV | CCU | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 79 | 88 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 13 Undervalued | 19 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 53 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 52 | 46 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 30 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ABEV's Valuation (13) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as CCU (19). This means that ABEV’s stock grew similarly to CCU’s over the last 12 months.
ABEV's Profit vs Risk Rating (53) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CCU (100). This means that ABEV’s stock grew somewhat faster than CCU’s over the last 12 months.
CCU's SMR Rating (46) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as ABEV (52). This means that CCU’s stock grew similarly to ABEV’s over the last 12 months.
ABEV's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as CCU (59). This means that ABEV’s stock grew similarly to CCU’s over the last 12 months.
CCU's P/E Growth Rating (30) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as ABEV (40). This means that CCU’s stock grew similarly to ABEV’s over the last 12 months.
| ABEV | CCU | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 69% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 68% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 65% | 9 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 60% | 6 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 59% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 69% |
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ABEV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ABEV has been loosely correlated with BUD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ABEV jumps, then BUD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ABEV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABEV | 100% | +0.64% | ||
| BUD - ABEV | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.11% | ||
| CCU - ABEV | 45% Loosely correlated | +1.15% | ||
| FMX - ABEV | 41% Loosely correlated | -1.04% | ||
| DEO - ABEV | 35% Loosely correlated | -1.07% | ||
| TAP - ABEV | 28% Poorly correlated | +0.61% | ||
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CCU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CCU has been loosely correlated with ABEV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 44% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CCU jumps, then ABEV could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CCU | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCU | 100% | +1.15% | ||
| ABEV - CCU | 44% Loosely correlated | +0.64% | ||
| FMX - CCU | 36% Loosely correlated | -1.04% | ||
| DEO - CCU | 35% Loosely correlated | -1.07% | ||
| BUD - CCU | 30% Poorly correlated | +0.11% | ||
| SNDL - CCU | 25% Poorly correlated | -1.06% | ||
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