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ABEV vs FMX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ambev S.A. (ABEV) vs. Fomento Económico Mexicano (FMX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both ABEV and FMX have delivered strong year-to-date gains of around 17-21%, reflecting resilience in Latin American consumer staples amid volatile markets.
- ABEV trades at a lower trailing P/E ratio (price-to-earnings ratio) of about 14.5 compared to FMX's 26, offering better value for income-focused investors.
- FMX shows stronger recent momentum, hitting new 52-week highs following robust Q1 2026 results with 6.1% revenue growth driven by OXXO stores.
- ABEV benefits from high profit margins (17.6%) and a generous dividend yield near 9.5%, appealing to yield seekers despite a recent analyst downgrade.
- Both stocks face currency and economic risks in Brazil and Mexico but differ in diversification: ABEV focused on beverages, FMX broader with retail and logistics.
- Market sentiment favors FMX for growth potential in recent market activity, while ABEV offers stability.
Introduction
Ambev S.A. (ABEV) and Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. (FMX), commonly known as FEMSA, represent key players in Latin America's beverage and consumer sectors. This stock comparison analyzes their business models, recent performance, and relative positioning in the current market environment. Traders seeking short-term momentum and investors eyeing value or dividends in emerging markets will find insights into contrasts like valuation, growth drivers, and sector exposure. With both stocks showing solid year-to-date gains amid regional economic shifts, understanding their head-to-head dynamics aids informed decision-making in volatile conditions.
ABEV Overview and Recent Performance
Ambev S.A. (ABEV) is Brazil's leading beverage company, producing beers like Brahma and Skol, and soft drinks, as part of the global AB InBev network. In recent market activity, ABEV's shares have traded around $2.90, within a 52-week range of $2.10 to $3.24, with year-to-date gains near 17%. Sentiment has been mixed, influenced by a UBS downgrade citing valuation after a strong rally, offset by reports of rising profits from lower debt costs. High profit margins (17.6%) and ROE (return on equity, 17%) underscore operational strength, though quarterly revenue dipped slightly year-over-year. Dividend yield above 9% supports income appeal, with analysts noting growth potential into 2026.
FMX Overview and Recent Performance
Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. (FMX), or FEMSA, operates OXXO convenience stores, Coca-Cola bottling via Coca-Cola FEMSA, and logistics through Solística. Shares recently traded near $120, up about 21% year-to-date and hitting new 52-week highs. Recent weeks saw positive momentum from Q1 2026 results, with consolidated revenues up 6.1% and operating income rising 5.5%, fueled by OXXO Mexico's expansion and same-store sales growth. Despite a higher P/E of 26, quarterly earnings surged over 150% year-over-year, boosting sentiment. Broader diversification mitigates beverage cyclicality, though higher debt levels warrant monitoring.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ABEV and FMX both tap Latin American consumer demand but diverge in scope: ABEV's beer-centric model drives high margins yet exposes it to Brazil's economic swings, while FMX's retail-beverage mix offers diversification via OXXO's steady traffic. Growth drivers contrast with FMX's recent revenue acceleration versus ABEV's stable but slower top-line. Valuation favors ABEV at lower multiples; FMX commands a premium for momentum. Risks include FX volatility and inflation for both, with FMX facing higher leverage. Sentiment tilts toward FMX post-earnings, while ABEV appeals for yield in relative performance analysis.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward FMX due to superior recent trend consistency, earnings catalysts from Q1 growth, and stronger market positioning amid retail expansion. ABEV remains competitive for value and stability, but FMX's momentum suggests higher probability of near-term outperformance in the prevailing environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ABEV is a Hold and FMX is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ABEV’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileFMX’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ABEV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- FMX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ABEV’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FMX’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ABEV’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 3 bearish.
- FMX’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ABEV (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) experienced а -3.38% price change this week, while FMX (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) price change was -0.93% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was -0.75%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.80%, and the average quarterly price growth was +10.09%.
Reported Earning Dates
ABEV is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
FMX is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (-0.75% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
| ABEV | FMX | ABEV / FMX | |
| Capitalization | 48.7B | 43.3B | 112% |
| EBITDA | 29B | 81.6B | 36% |
| Gain YTD | 27.126 | 31.098 | 87% |
| P/E Ratio | 16.29 | 27.39 | 59% |
| Revenue | 88.2B | 853B | 10% |
| Total Cash | 19.6B | 115B | 17% |
| Total Debt | 3.11B | 258B | 1% |
ABEV | FMX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 79 | 7 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 13 Undervalued | 15 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 53 | 42 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 52 | 68 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 48 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 55 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ABEV's Valuation (13) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as FMX (15) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that ABEV’s stock grew similarly to FMX’s over the last 12 months.
FMX's Profit vs Risk Rating (42) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as ABEV (53) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that FMX’s stock grew similarly to ABEV’s over the last 12 months.
ABEV's SMR Rating (52) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as FMX (68) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that ABEV’s stock grew similarly to FMX’s over the last 12 months.
FMX's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as ABEV (44) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that FMX’s stock grew similarly to ABEV’s over the last 12 months.
ABEV's P/E Growth Rating (40) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as FMX (48) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that ABEV’s stock grew similarly to FMX’s over the last 12 months.
| ABEV | FMX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 55% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 65% | 12 days ago 62% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 60% | 15 days ago 52% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 53% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
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ABEV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ABEV has been loosely correlated with BUD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ABEV jumps, then BUD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ABEV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABEV | 100% | +0.64% | ||
| BUD - ABEV | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.11% | ||
| CCU - ABEV | 45% Loosely correlated | +1.15% | ||
| FMX - ABEV | 41% Loosely correlated | -1.04% | ||
| DEO - ABEV | 35% Loosely correlated | -1.07% | ||
| TAP - ABEV | 28% Poorly correlated | +0.61% | ||
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FMX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FMX has been loosely correlated with CCU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 38% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FMX jumps, then CCU could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FMX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FMX | 100% | -1.04% | ||
| CCU - FMX | 38% Loosely correlated | +1.15% | ||
| ABEV - FMX | 36% Loosely correlated | +0.64% | ||
| DEO - FMX | 27% Poorly correlated | -1.07% | ||
| BUD - FMX | 27% Poorly correlated | +0.11% | ||
| SNDL - FMX | 20% Poorly correlated | -1.06% | ||
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