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AEE vs CMS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ameren Corporation (AEE) vs. CMS Energy Corporation (CMS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Ameren Corporation (AEE) has outperformed CMS Energy Corporation (CMS) year-to-date with approximately 14.5% gains compared to CMS's 10.6%, reflecting stronger momentum in recent market activity.
- Both stocks offer similar dividend yields around 2.6%, appealing to income-focused investors in the defensive utilities sector.
- AEE's larger market capitalization of $31.4 billion provides greater scale versus CMS's roughly $23 billion.
- Recent earnings beats and guidance raises highlight operational strength for both, with CMS reporting strong Q1 results and AEE poised for upcoming reports amid transmission growth.
- Lower betas (AEE 0.51, CMS 0.37) indicate reduced volatility, suitable for risk-averse portfolios.
- Tickeron's AI models show a preference for AEE based on trend consistency.
Introduction
Investors and traders often compare AEE and CMS, two leading regulated electric utilities serving Midwestern U.S. regions, amid interest rate fluctuations and demand for stable income stocks. This analysis highlights their relative performance, business drivers, and market positioning in the current environment. Utility sector exposure offers defensive qualities with reliable dividends, making these stocks relevant for long-term holders seeking resilience against broader market volatility and for swing traders eyeing sector rotations.
AEE Overview and Recent Performance
Ameren Corporation (AEE) operates electric and natural gas utilities primarily in Missouri and Illinois, focusing on regulated transmission and distribution. In recent market activity, AEE shares have climbed near their 52-week high of $115.59, with year-to-date gains around 14.5% outpacing the S&P 500. Trading at approximately $113.56 with a market cap of $31.4 billion, P/E ratio (price-to-earnings) of 21.23, and dividend yield of 2.64%, the stock reflects positive sentiment driven by anticipated Q1 earnings growth and bullish outlooks on Midwest transmission investments from MISO (Midcontinent Independent System Operator). Analyst targets average $120.60, supporting upward potential amid steady demand and infrastructure catalysts.
CMS Overview and Recent Performance
CMS Energy Corporation (CMS) delivers electric and natural gas services mainly in Michigan through its Consumers Energy subsidiary. Shares have advanced in recent weeks, trading around $76 with a 52-week range of $67.71 to $80.36 and year-to-date performance near 10.6%. Key metrics include a market cap of about $23 billion, attractive dividend yield similar to peers at roughly 2.6%, and low beta of 0.37 indicating stability. Strong Q1 adjusted EPS (earnings per share) of $1.13 beat estimates, prompting reaffirmed guidance and dividend increases, fueled by robust power demand and clean energy transitions. These factors have bolstered investor confidence despite broader sector pressures.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both AEE and CMS thrive as regulated utilities with integrated electric and gas operations, but AEE edges in scale and recent momentum, delivering 15% total returns over the past year versus CMS's 7%. Growth drivers differ: AEE benefits from transmission expansions, while CMS leverages Michigan's demand surge and renewables. Risk profiles are low with comparable betas under 0.6, though AEE's higher P/E suggests premium valuation. Sector exposure ties them to interest rate sensitivity, but AEE shows firmer sentiment via analyst upgrades, contrasting CMS's steady but slower recovery.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors AEE over CMS, citing superior trend consistency, higher year-to-date returns, and positioning in transmission growth amid Midwest demand. While both exhibit stability, AEE's relative strength and analyst support indicate higher probability of near-term outperformance, though utilities remain sensitive to rates.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AEE is a Buy and CMS is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AEE’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileCMS’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AEE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- CMS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AEE’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CMS’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AEE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- CMS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AEE (@Electric Utilities) experienced а +0.46% price change this week, while CMS (@Electric Utilities) price change was +2.12% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +0.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.38%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.66%.
Reported Earning Dates
AEE is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
CMS is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (+0.73% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| AEE | CMS | AEE / CMS | |
| Capitalization | 30.2B | 22.7B | 133% |
| EBITDA | 4.17B | 3.4B | 123% |
| Gain YTD | 10.669 | 6.816 | 157% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.60 | 20.35 | 96% |
| Revenue | 8.88B | 8.82B | 101% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 175M | - |
| Total Debt | 21.3B | 19.1B | 112% |
AEE | CMS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 16 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 67 Overvalued | 71 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 46 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 66 | 64 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 54 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AEE's Valuation (67) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CMS (71). This means that AEE’s stock grew similarly to CMS’s over the last 12 months.
AEE's Profit vs Risk Rating (31) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CMS (46). This means that AEE’s stock grew similarly to CMS’s over the last 12 months.
CMS's SMR Rating (64) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as AEE (66). This means that CMS’s stock grew similarly to AEE’s over the last 12 months.
AEE's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CMS (53). This means that AEE’s stock grew similarly to CMS’s over the last 12 months.
CMS's P/E Growth Rating (54) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as AEE (60). This means that CMS’s stock grew similarly to AEE’s over the last 12 months.
| AEE | CMS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 42% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 42% | 2 days ago 37% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 47% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 45% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 48% | 4 days ago 49% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 38% | 13 days ago 39% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 28% | 2 days ago 21% |
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AEE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AEE has been closely correlated with LNT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AEE jumps, then LNT could also see price increases.
CMS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CMS has been closely correlated with DTE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CMS jumps, then DTE could also see price increases.