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AEE vs CMS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ameren (AEE) vs. CMS Energy (CMS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Ameren (AEE) has delivered stronger year-to-date returns compared to CMS Energy (CMS), reflecting robust infrastructure investment momentum in the utility sector.
- Both companies operate as regulated utilities with electric and gas segments, exposing them to similar interest-rate sensitivity and regulatory environments.
- Recent market activity shows AEE benefiting from analyst upgrades tied to data center load growth expectations, while CMS has seen steady dividend support and reaffirmed earnings guidance.
- Upcoming second-quarter earnings releases in late July position both stocks for potential sentiment shifts based on weather impacts and operational execution.
- Risk factors for each include regulatory outcomes and capital expenditure demands, with AEE exhibiting lower beta relative to broader market volatility in recent periods.
- Market positioning favors AEE on relative performance metrics, though CMS maintains a consensus Buy rating with upside to analyst price targets.
Introduction
This comparison examines AEE and CMS to highlight differences in business execution, recent momentum, and sector positioning within the utilities industry. Both stocks appeal to income-oriented investors and those seeking defensive exposure amid economic uncertainty. Traders monitoring earnings catalysts and relative strength may find the analysis useful for evaluating allocation decisions in a rate-sensitive environment. The focus remains on verifiable developments and observable performance trends rather than forward projections.
AEE Overview and Recent Performance
Ameren Corporation provides electric and natural gas services primarily in Missouri and Illinois. The company has pursued substantial infrastructure investments to support grid modernization and accommodate growing electricity demand. In recent market activity, the stock has shown resilience, with year-to-date gains exceeding broader market benchmarks amid constructive analyst commentary on load growth from data centers. Sentiment has been supported by reaffirmed full-year earnings guidance and operational execution in the first quarter. Price behavior reflects measured volatility consistent with the defensive characteristics of the utility sector.
CMS Overview and Recent Performance
CMS Energy Corporation delivers electric and natural gas utility services mainly in Michigan through its Consumers Energy subsidiary, supplemented by non-regulated energy operations. The company has emphasized clean energy transitions and customer affordability initiatives. Recent market activity indicates steady performance supported by first-quarter results that included earnings growth and a subsequent quarterly dividend increase. Analysts maintain a favorable overall rating, with attention directed toward second-quarter results expected shortly. Stock behavior has remained aligned with sector norms, influenced by interest-rate movements and regulatory developments.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both AEE and CMS operate regulated utility models with significant capital expenditure programs, though AEE’s exposure to data center demand provides a distinct growth driver relative to CMS’s focus on Michigan operations and clean energy assets. Recent momentum favors AEE on a year-to-date basis, while CMS offers a higher dividend yield and consistent analyst support. Risk profiles overlap in regulatory and interest-rate sensitivity, yet AEE’s lower historical beta suggests comparatively steadier price behavior during market fluctuations. Sector exposure remains similar, with sentiment for each influenced by earnings visibility and infrastructure spending. Trade-offs center on AEE’s outperformance versus CMS’s dividend growth trajectory and broader analyst consensus.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including stronger recent relative performance, trend consistency around infrastructure catalysts, and positioning ahead of earnings, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a higher probability of favorable momentum to AEE over CMS in the near term. This assessment draws from comparative stability metrics and sector-specific tailwinds rather than absolute predictions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AEE is a StrongBuy and CMS is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AEE’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileCMS’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AEE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- CMS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AEE’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CMS’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AEE’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- CMS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AEE (@Electric Utilities) experienced а -0.12% price change this week, while CMS (@Electric Utilities) price change was -1.40% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +0.16%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.23%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3.24%.
Reported Earning Dates
AEE is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
CMS is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (+0.16% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| AEE | CMS | AEE / CMS | |
| Capitalization | 30.1B | 22B | 137% |
| EBITDA | 4.17B | 3.3B | 126% |
| Gain YTD | 10.486 | 2.482 | 422% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.16 | 21.06 | 91% |
| Revenue | 8.88B | 8.81B | 101% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 21.3B | 19.3B | 110% |
AEE | CMS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 64 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 77 Overvalued | 60 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 50 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 65 | 67 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 51 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CMS's Valuation (60) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as AEE (77). This means that CMS’s stock grew similarly to AEE’s over the last 12 months.
AEE's Profit vs Risk Rating (33) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CMS (50). This means that AEE’s stock grew similarly to CMS’s over the last 12 months.
AEE's SMR Rating (65) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CMS (67). This means that AEE’s stock grew similarly to CMS’s over the last 12 months.
AEE's Price Growth Rating (58) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CMS (61). This means that AEE’s stock grew similarly to CMS’s over the last 12 months.
CMS's P/E Growth Rating (51) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as AEE (65). This means that CMS’s stock grew similarly to AEE’s over the last 12 months.
| AEE | CMS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 65% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 37% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 47% | 7 days ago 43% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 41% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 39% | 2 days ago 38% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 38% | 9 days ago 42% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 30% | 2 days ago 30% |
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AEE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AEE has been closely correlated with WEC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AEE jumps, then WEC could also see price increases.
CMS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CMS has been closely correlated with DTE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CMS jumps, then DTE could also see price increases.