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AEO vs URBN
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AEO is a StrongBuy and URBN is a Hold.
AEO's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AEO turned positive on October 26, 2026. Looking at past instances where AEO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 26, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AEO as a result. In 62 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
AEO moved above its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AEO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Following a +3.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AEO advanced for three days, in 212 of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 196 of 246 cases where AEO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 80%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for AEO moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 77%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AEO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
AEO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AEO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 43 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.876) is normal, around the industry mean (1.849). P/E Ratio (9.925) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.607). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.100) is also within normal values, averaging (0.517). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.067) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.447) is also within normal values, averaging (0.652).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AEO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.
URBN in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026
The 10-day moving average for URBN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 01, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on URBN as a result. In 74 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for URBN just turned positive on October 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where URBN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 50 of 59 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
URBN moved above its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +4.83% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where URBN advanced for three days, in 236 of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 172 of 221 cases where URBN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 78%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for URBN moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 67%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 54 of 71 cases where URBN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where URBN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
URBN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. URBN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 72 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.669) is normal, around the industry mean (1.849). P/E Ratio (13.704) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.607). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.253) is also within normal values, averaging (0.517). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.067) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.066) is also within normal values, averaging (0.652).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
AEO | URBN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 30 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 43 Fair valued | 72 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 11 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 45 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 37 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 84 | 31 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AEO's Valuation (43) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as URBN (72). This means that AEO’s stock grew similarly to URBN’s over the last 12 months.
URBN's Profit vs Risk Rating (11) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is significantly better than the same rating for AEO (100). This means that URBN’s stock grew significantly faster than AEO’s over the last 12 months.
URBN's SMR Rating (45) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as AEO (46). This means that URBN’s stock grew similarly to AEO’s over the last 12 months.
URBN's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as AEO (40). This means that URBN’s stock grew similarly to AEO’s over the last 12 months.
URBN's P/E Growth Rating (31) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AEO (84). This means that URBN’s stock grew somewhat faster than AEO’s over the last 12 months.
| AEO | URBN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 85% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 85% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 71% | 8 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 64% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 78% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AEO’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while URBN’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AEO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- URBN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AEO’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while URBN’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AEO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- URBN’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AEO (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) experienced а +5.00% price change this week, while URBN (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) price change was -1.82% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Apparel/Footwear Retail industry was +0.61%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.31%.
Reported Earning Dates
AEO is expected to report earnings on Dec 01, 2026.
URBN is expected to report earnings on Nov 24, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Apparel/Footwear Retail (+0.61% weekly)Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.
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URBN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, URBN has been loosely correlated with ANF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if URBN jumps, then ANF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To URBN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| URBN | 100% | -1.96% | ||
| ANF - URBN | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.16% | ||
| DBI - URBN | 56% Loosely correlated | -1.48% | ||
| GAP - URBN | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.45% | ||
| AEO - URBN | 51% Loosely correlated | +0.71% | ||
| CAL - URBN | 49% Loosely correlated | +0.44% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| GRW | 30.95 | 0.25 | +0.82% |
| TCW Durable Growth ETF (GRW) | |||
| SPBU | 30.13 | -0.06 | -0.20% |
| AllianzIM Buffer15 Uncapped Allocation ETF (SPBU) | |||
| SPYI | 52.19 | -0.24 | -0.45% |
| NEOS S&P 500 High Income ETF (SPYI) | |||
| QQH | 79.23 | -1.43 | -1.77% |
| HCM Defender 100 Index ETF (QQH) | |||
| JOBX | 4.46 | -0.17 | -3.74% |
| Tradr 2X Long JOBY Daily ETF (JOBX) | |||