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AGNT vs NMRK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AGNT, Inc. (AGNT) vs. Newmark Group, Inc. (NMRK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AGNT and NMRK both operate in the real estate services sector but target fundamentally different markets: AGNT focuses on residential brokerage, while NMRK concentrates on commercial real estate advisory and capital markets.
- AGNT has experienced severe downward price pressure in recent months, with its stock declining over 50% year-to-date amid a broader tightening in residential transaction activity and macroeconomic uncertainty.
- NMRK has demonstrated relative stability, posting record quarterly revenue, double-digit growth across all business lines, and consistently positive earnings per share (EPS).
- AGNT carries a higher beta (a measure of volatility relative to the broader market) of 2.06 versus NMRK's 1.68, reflecting greater sensitivity to market swings and elevated risk.
- NMRK's profitable operations and diversified commercial real estate service lines present a fundamentally different risk-reward profile compared to AGNT's higher-revenue but currently unprofitable residential model.
- Both companies pay dividends, though AGNT's substantially higher indicated yield must be weighed against its ongoing net losses and declining market capitalization.
Introduction
Investors evaluating real estate services stocks face a telling contrast between two publicly traded companies that occupy the same broad sector yet operate under starkly different conditions. AGNT (AGNT, Inc.), the parent of eXp Realty and the newly acquired NextHome franchise network, represents the technology-enabled residential brokerage model. NMRK (Newmark Group, Inc.), a leading commercial real estate advisory firm serving institutional investors and global corporations, brings a fundamentally different business mix. This comparison is particularly relevant for investors weighing growth-oriented but unprofitable residential disruptors against more established, diversified commercial real estate platforms in the current economic environment.
AGNT Overview and Recent Performance
AGNT, Inc., formerly known as eXp World Holdings and rebranded with its new ticker in June 2026, operates a multi-brand platform encompassing eXp Realty (a cloud-based residential brokerage), NextHome (a real estate franchise network), FrameVR.io (a virtual collaboration platform), and SUCCESS Enterprises (a personal development and media brand). The company's core revenue engine remains residential real estate transactions, primarily in North America. In its first quarter of 2026, AGNT reported revenue of approximately $1.0 billion, a 5% year-over-year increase, alongside an adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) of $4.1 million — an 88% improvement from the prior-year period. Despite these operational gains, the company posted a net loss of $5.1 million, or $0.03 per diluted share. The stock has faced significant selling pressure in recent weeks, trading near $4.05 as of late July, down over 50% year-to-date and roughly 62% over the trailing twelve months. The 52-week range spans from $3.85 to $12.23, underscoring the magnitude of the decline. Management has cited growing macroeconomic uncertainty and reduced visibility into the second half of 2026 while reiterating full-year revenue guidance of $4.85 billion to $5.15 billion.
NMRK Overview and Recent Performance
NMRK, Newmark Group, Inc., is a commercial real estate services firm providing leasing advisory, capital markets, investment sales, property management, and valuation services to institutional clients, corporations, and property owners worldwide. Headquartered in New York and operating from approximately 170 offices with over 8,500 professionals, the company generated revenues exceeding $3.1 billion for the twelve months ended September 30, 2025. Newmark has delivered consistently improving financial results, including record quarterly revenue in Q3 2025 driven by double-digit gains across all business lines. The company's Q2 2025 report showed GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) revenue of $759.1 million, up 19.9% year-over-year, with non-GAAP EPS of $0.31 beating analyst estimates. Newmark raised its full-year 2025 guidance on the strength of organic growth and robust capital markets activity. The stock has demonstrated relative resilience, trading near $15.39 in late July with a 52-week range of approximately $13.36 to $19.83. Year-to-date, NMRK shares are down approximately 11%, notably outperforming AGNT's far steeper decline. With trailing EPS of $0.81 and a P/E (price-to-earnings) ratio of approximately 19, the company operates from a position of sustained profitability.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The most consequential difference between AGNT and NMRK lies in their market focus and the resulting financial profiles. AGNT is predominantly a residential real estate brokerage, processing home sales transactions that are highly sensitive to mortgage rates, consumer confidence, and housing affordability. NMRK, by contrast, earns its revenue from commercial property leasing, investment sales, debt placement, and recurring fee-based services such as property management and loan servicing — revenue streams that benefit from longer contract cycles and institutional client relationships.
On profitability, the contrast is stark: NMRK generated positive GAAP net income and non-GAAP EPS throughout its recent fiscal periods, while AGNT continues to report net losses despite high absolute revenue. AGNT's Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $4.1 million on over $1 billion in revenue illustrates the razor-thin margin profile of the residential transaction model, where commission splits to agents dominate the cost structure. NMRK's adjusted EBITDA of $114 million on $759 million in Q2 2025 revenue reflects a substantially higher-margin business.
Risk metrics further differentiate the two. AGNT's beta of 2.06 indicates the stock amplifies market movements approximately twice as much as the broader market, making it considerably more volatile. NMRK's beta of 1.68, while still above 1.0, suggests comparatively more tempered swings. AGNT's market capitalization has contracted to roughly $665 million from over $1.4 billion at year-end 2025, while NMRK's market cap has held more steadily in the $2.7 billion to $3.8 billion range.
On the dividend front, both companies return capital to shareholders: AGNT pays $0.05 per share quarterly (a forward yield near 5%), while NMRK pays $0.06 per share quarterly (yielding approximately 1.6%). AGNT's higher headline yield, however, exists alongside negative trailing earnings, meaning the dividend is funded from cash reserves rather than current profits — a sustainability consideration investors must weigh.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable market factors — including trend consistency, earnings trajectory, revenue diversification, and relative volatility — Tickeron's AI-driven analytical framework would likely favor NMRK over AGNT in the current environment. NMRK's combination of sustained profitability, double-digit revenue growth across multiple business lines, record quarterly results, and a more contained year-to-date decline suggests a more stable trend profile. AGNT's strategic pivot toward a multi-brand platform with the NextHome acquisition and the ticker change to AGNT signals ambition, but the stock's persistent downward momentum, ongoing net losses, and management's own acknowledgment of reduced second-half visibility introduce meaningful uncertainty. The probabilistic assessment is that NMRK currently presents the more consistent combination of growth, profitability, and risk management that AI models typically weigh favorably. As always, market conditions can shift, and AI preferences may evolve accordingly.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AGNT is a Hold and NMRK is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AGNT’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNMRK’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AGNT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NMRK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AGNT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NMRK’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AGNT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- NMRK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AGNT (@Real Estate Development) experienced а +0.12% price change this week, while NMRK (@Real Estate Development) price change was -2.57% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Real Estate Development industry was -1.49%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19.03%.
Reported Earning Dates
AGNT is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
NMRK is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Real Estate Development (-1.49% weekly)Activities range from the renovation and re-lease of existing buildings to the purchase of raw land and the sale of developed land or parcels to others. Demand for land development business is driven by GDP growth, employment rates, interest rates, and access to/cost of capital. For individual companies in this industry, proper cost estimation and successful bidding play critical roles in their profitability. Large companies could potentially have greater access to capital, while smaller companies can specialize in a specific geographic area or market niche. CBRE Group, VICI Properties Inc and Brookfield Property Partners L.P. are some of the large companies in this industry.
| AGNT | NMRK | AGNT / NMRK | |
| Capitalization | 666M | 2.66B | 25% |
| EBITDA | -10.56M | 460M | -2% |
| Gain YTD | -54.802 | -13.007 | 421% |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.74 | - |
| Revenue | 4.82B | 3.48B | 139% |
| Total Cash | 122M | 212M | 58% |
| Total Debt | 7K | 2.46B | 0% |
AGNT | NMRK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 13 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 94 Overvalued | 13 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 81 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 95 | 72 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 90 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 95 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NMRK's Valuation (13) in the Real Estate Development industry is significantly better than the same rating for AGNT (94) in the Advertising Or Marketing Services industry. This means that NMRK’s stock grew significantly faster than AGNT’s over the last 12 months.
NMRK's Profit vs Risk Rating (81) in the Real Estate Development industry is in the same range as AGNT (100) in the Advertising Or Marketing Services industry. This means that NMRK’s stock grew similarly to AGNT’s over the last 12 months.
NMRK's SMR Rating (72) in the Real Estate Development industry is in the same range as AGNT (95) in the Advertising Or Marketing Services industry. This means that NMRK’s stock grew similarly to AGNT’s over the last 12 months.
NMRK's Price Growth Rating (60) in the Real Estate Development industry is in the same range as AGNT (90) in the Advertising Or Marketing Services industry. This means that NMRK’s stock grew similarly to AGNT’s over the last 12 months.
AGNT's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Advertising Or Marketing Services industry is significantly better than the same rating for NMRK (95) in the Real Estate Development industry. This means that AGNT’s stock grew significantly faster than NMRK’s over the last 12 months.
| AGNT | NMRK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 82% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 85% | 4 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 78% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 85% | 4 days ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 7 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 83% | 12 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 90% | 4 days ago 77% |
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|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| TEK | 36.43 | 0.46 | +1.29% |
| iShares Technology Opportunities Active ETF | |||
| PSI | 136.44 | 1.57 | +1.16% |
| Invesco Semiconductors ETF | |||
| SPIT | 32.28 | 0.16 | +0.51% |
| F/m Emerald Special Situations ETF | |||
| DJUN | 49.42 | 0.21 | +0.42% |
| FT Vest US Equity Deep Bfr ETF Jun | |||
| DIVP | 27.40 | N/A | N/A |
| Cullen Enhanced Equity Income ETF | |||
AGNT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AGNT has been loosely correlated with JLL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AGNT jumps, then JLL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AGNT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGNT | 100% | +3.85% | ||
| JLL - AGNT | 53% Loosely correlated | -1.85% | ||
| NMRK - AGNT | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.56% | ||
| RMAX - AGNT | 50% Loosely correlated | -2.27% | ||
| DOUG - AGNT | 48% Loosely correlated | -1.17% | ||
| REAX - AGNT | 47% Loosely correlated | -2.44% | ||
More | ||||