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JLL vs NMRK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL) vs. Newmark Group (NMRK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL) is a global commercial real estate services giant with a diversified revenue model spanning leasing, capital markets, property management, and advisory services.
- Newmark Group (NMRK) operates as a rapidly growing commercial real estate brokerage and advisory firm with a strong focus on capital markets and debt placement.
- Both companies are sensitive to interest rate expectations and transaction volume trends in commercial real estate, but JLL's broader global footprint offers more geographic diversification.
- Recent market activity reflects cautious optimism around a potential recovery in CRE (commercial real estate) transaction volumes, though the macroeconomic backdrop remains mixed.
- Profitability metrics and margin profiles differ notably between the two firms, with Newmark historically showing strength in capital markets while JLL benefits from more recurring revenue streams.
- Tickeron's AI-driven analysis evaluates both stocks on trend consistency, stability, and relative momentum to identify which ticker presents a more favorable near-term opportunity.
Introduction
Comparing JLL and NMRK offers a window into two distinct approaches to the commercial real estate services industry. Both companies facilitate major property transactions, leasing deals, and advisory mandates, yet their market positioning, scale, and growth trajectories diverge in meaningful ways. This comparison is particularly relevant for investors tracking the CRE cycle, as both firms serve as bellwethers for transaction activity and capital flows. Whether you are a value-oriented investor seeking exposure to a potential real estate recovery or a momentum-focused trader evaluating relative strength, understanding how these two names stack up side by side can sharpen your decision-making process.
JLL Overview and Recent Performance
JLL (Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated) is a Fortune 500 professional services firm specializing in commercial real estate and investment management. With operations spanning over 80 countries, JLL provides a comprehensive suite of services including leasing, capital markets, property and facilities management, project and development services, and advisory and consulting. The company also manages LaSalle Investment Management, a globally diversified real estate investment management arm with tens of billions in assets under management (AUM — the total market value of investments managed on behalf of clients).
In recent weeks, JLL's stock has reflected the broader tug-of-war between optimism around stabilizing interest rates and concerns about persistently muted transaction volumes. The company's most recent quarterly results showed resilience in its property management and facilities management segments — recurring revenue lines that provide a cushion when deal-making slows. Analysts have noted that JLL's global diversification and multi-service model offer relative stability compared to pure-play brokerage peers. That said, capital markets revenue has faced headwinds as elevated financing costs continue to weigh on transaction activity. The stock's recent trading range suggests that market participants are monitoring forward guidance closely for signs of a transaction volume inflection.
NMRK Overview and Recent Performance
NMRK (Newmark Group, Inc.) is a full-service commercial real estate brokerage and advisory firm with a presence across the United States and in select international markets. The company has built a reputation for aggressive growth through strategic hiring and acquisitions, carving out a meaningful share in capital markets, debt and structured finance, and leasing. Unlike JLL, Newmark does not carry a large investment management division, making its revenue stream more heavily tied to transaction volumes and deal flow.
Recent market activity around Newmark shares has been driven by the narrative of a potential CRE transaction recovery. The company has continued to invest in top-tier talent across key markets, signaling confidence in a cyclical upturn. Over recent quarters, Newmark has demonstrated particular strength in its debt placement business, which has benefited from borrowers seeking creative financing solutions in a tighter lending environment. However, the stock has exhibited elevated volatility compared to JLL, reflecting its more concentrated exposure to capital markets revenues. Investors have been weighing the upside leverage to a deal-making rebound against the near-term unpredictability of transaction pipelines.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
When comparing JLL and NMRK directly, several key distinctions emerge:
Business Model and Revenue Mix: JLL's diversified platform — spanning leasing, capital markets, property management, facilities management, and investment management — provides multiple revenue pillars that can offset weakness in any single area. Newmark is more transaction-centric, with capital markets and leasing comprising the bulk of revenue. This gives NMRK higher upside leverage to a deal-making recovery but also greater downside sensitivity when transaction volumes contract.
Geographic Diversification: JLL's operations span more than 80 countries, offering significant geographic breadth and exposure to varied real estate cycles. Newmark's footprint, while growing internationally, remains more concentrated in the U.S. market, which can be both an advantage and a risk depending on regional economic conditions.
Scale and Market Position: JLL, as a Fortune 500 company, commands greater scale across nearly every service line. Newmark is smaller by revenue but has grown market share rapidly in recent years through aggressive recruitment and strategic acquisitions, particularly in debt placement and structured finance.
Profitability and Margins: Newmark's leaner, transaction-focused model tends to produce higher operating margins during strong deal environments, while JLL's recurring revenue streams from facilities and property management support more stable — but generally lower — margin profiles through the cycle.
Risk Factors: Both companies face sensitivity to interest rates, credit availability, and office sector headwinds. However, Newmark's higher dependence on capital markets revenues amplifies its exposure to financing conditions, while JLL's broader service mix provides a partial buffer.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on an assessment of observable trend consistency, stability metrics, and relative positioning across multiple timeframes, Tickeron's AI-driven analysis would likely favor one of these two stocks depending on the prevailing market regime. In an environment where transaction volume recovery signals are gaining traction and rate stability is improving, the AI might lean toward NMRK for its higher beta (a measure of volatility relative to the broader market) and leverage to a cyclical rebound in capital markets. Conversely, if macroeconomic uncertainty persists and defensive positioning becomes more relevant, the AI's analysis could favor JLL for its diversified revenue base and more stable earnings profile. Ultimately, the AI verdict is probabilistic rather than deterministic — it evaluates which stock demonstrates stronger trend signals, more favorable risk-reward characteristics, and higher conviction in its directional movement at any given time. Investors are encouraged to monitor Tickeron's platform for the most current AI-generated insights as market conditions evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is JLL is a Buy and NMRK is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
JLL’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileNMRK’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- JLL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NMRK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
JLL’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NMRK’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- JLL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NMRK’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
JLL (@Real Estate Development) experienced а -2.81% price change this week, while NMRK (@Real Estate Development) price change was -4.88% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Real Estate Development industry was +1.84%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.98%.
Reported Earning Dates
JLL is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
NMRK is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Real Estate Development (+1.84% weekly)Activities range from the renovation and re-lease of existing buildings to the purchase of raw land and the sale of developed land or parcels to others. Demand for land development business is driven by GDP growth, employment rates, interest rates, and access to/cost of capital. For individual companies in this industry, proper cost estimation and successful bidding play critical roles in their profitability. Large companies could potentially have greater access to capital, while smaller companies can specialize in a specific geographic area or market niche. CBRE Group, VICI Properties Inc and Brookfield Property Partners L.P. are some of the large companies in this industry.
| JLL | NMRK | JLL / NMRK | |
| Capitalization | 17B | 2.77B | 613% |
| EBITDA | 1.57B | 460M | 341% |
| Gain YTD | 7.808 | -14.022 | -56% |
| P/E Ratio | 17.72 | 19.13 | 93% |
| Revenue | 27.4B | 3.48B | 788% |
| Total Cash | 458M | 212M | 216% |
| Total Debt | 3.22B | 2.46B | 131% |
JLL | NMRK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 76 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 86 Overvalued | 13 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 45 | 81 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 67 | 71 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 82 | 96 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NMRK's Valuation (13) in the Real Estate Development industry is significantly better than the same rating for JLL (86). This means that NMRK’s stock grew significantly faster than JLL’s over the last 12 months.
JLL's Profit vs Risk Rating (45) in the Real Estate Development industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NMRK (81). This means that JLL’s stock grew somewhat faster than NMRK’s over the last 12 months.
JLL's SMR Rating (67) in the Real Estate Development industry is in the same range as NMRK (71). This means that JLL’s stock grew similarly to NMRK’s over the last 12 months.
JLL's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Real Estate Development industry is in the same range as NMRK (60). This means that JLL’s stock grew similarly to NMRK’s over the last 12 months.
JLL's P/E Growth Rating (82) in the Real Estate Development industry is in the same range as NMRK (96). This means that JLL’s stock grew similarly to NMRK’s over the last 12 months.
| JLL | NMRK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 78% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 67% | 7 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 77% |
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JLL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JLL has been closely correlated with CBRE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if JLL jumps, then CBRE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To JLL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JLL | 100% | -0.17% | ||
| CBRE - JLL | 88% Closely correlated | -0.04% | ||
| CWK - JLL | 81% Closely correlated | +0.44% | ||
| NMRK - JLL | 80% Closely correlated | +0.34% | ||
| MMI - JLL | 57% Loosely correlated | -0.06% | ||
| AGNT - JLL | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.23% | ||
More | ||||
NMRK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NMRK has been closely correlated with JLL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NMRK jumps, then JLL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NMRK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMRK | 100% | +0.34% | ||
| JLL - NMRK | 82% Closely correlated | -0.17% | ||
| CIGI - NMRK | 66% Closely correlated | -2.67% | ||
| MMI - NMRK | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.06% | ||
| AGNT - NMRK | 56% Loosely correlated | +0.23% | ||
| COMP - NMRK | 50% Loosely correlated | +0.32% | ||
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