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ALSN vs PLOW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (ALSN) vs. Douglas Dynamics, Inc. (PLOW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ALSN, a leader in vehicle transmissions, has delivered robust year-to-date gains of around 37.5% amid market strength, though analysts note potential headwinds from lower medium-duty truck volumes.
- PLOW, focused on work truck attachments like snowplows, recently hit a 12-month high with positive upgrades to Strong Buy status, driven by strong fiscal 2025 results and upbeat 2026 guidance.
- Recent momentum favors PLOW with earnings rebound expectations, while ALSN shows stability but revised lower guidance.
- Both stocks operate in industrials but differ in exposure: ALSN benefits from defense and commercial vehicles, PLOW from seasonal weather-driven demand.
- Analyst consensus leans Hold for ALSN with price targets below recent highs, versus Buy for PLOW.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines ALSN and PLOW, two companies in the industrials sector with distinct niches in vehicle components and attachments. Investors seeking relative performance insights amid sector rotation or those evaluating small- to mid-cap opportunities in transportation equipment may find value here. By analyzing recent market activity, guidance, and sentiment shifts, traders can gauge positioning in a volatile environment influenced by economic cycles and demand trends. This overview highlights contrasts in growth trajectories and risk profiles for informed decision-making.
ALSN Overview and Recent Performance
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (ALSN) designs and manufactures fully automatic transmissions for medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicles, buses, and defense applications. In recent market activity, the stock has exhibited strength, with shares trading around $132–$135 and delivering significant year-to-date appreciation of approximately 37.5%. Key influences include partnerships, such as with Daimler Truck North America for advanced propulsion in Freightliner models, bolstering long-term sentiment. However, fiscal 2025 results showed a 7% year-over-year revenue decline due to weak North American on-highway markets, prompting lowered guidance for medium-duty volumes. This has led to analyst price targets averaging $114, suggesting caution despite defense exposure providing some stability.
PLOW Overview and Recent Performance
Douglas Dynamics, Inc. (PLOW) is North America's leading manufacturer of commercial work truck attachments, including snowplows and salt spreaders under trusted brands. Recent weeks have seen robust performance, with shares reaching new 12-month highs near $46 amid increased trading volume. Strong fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, coupled with fiscal 2026 guidance for EPS (earnings per share) of $2.25–$2.85 and sales of $710–$760 million, have fueled optimism. Expectations of higher snow events and a projected 33% jump in attachments revenue contribute to positive sentiment, reflected in upgrades to Strong Buy ratings. Seasonal demand dynamics remain a key driver.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ALSN and PLOW both serve vehicle-related industrials but diverge in business models: ALSN's core transmissions integrate into OEM production with steady defense demand, while PLOW's aftermarket attachments are more cyclical, tied to weather and municipal spending. Growth drivers contrast too—PLOW anticipates revenue surges from snow recovery, versus ALSN's reliance on truck cycles amid softening volumes. Recent momentum tilts toward PLOW with new highs and upgrades, while ALSN trades above targets. Risk factors include PLOW's seasonality versus ALSN's exposure to economic slowdowns. Market sentiment favors PLOW's rebound potential over ALSN's stability trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward PLOW based on stronger recent price momentum, upward analyst revisions, and favorable 2026 guidance amid expected demand catalysts. ALSN offers defensive qualities but lags in trend consistency with volume concerns. This probabilistic edge favors PLOW for short-term relative outperformance in the current environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ALSN is a StrongBuy and PLOW is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALSN’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whilePLOW’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ALSN’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- PLOW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALSN’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PLOW’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALSN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PLOW’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ALSN (@Auto Parts: OEM) experienced а +1.38% price change this week, while PLOW (@Auto Parts: OEM) price change was +6.14% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Auto Parts: OEM industry was +1.43%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was +11.54%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALSN is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
PLOW is expected to report earnings on Aug 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Auto Parts: OEM (+1.43% weekly)OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.
| ALSN | PLOW | ALSN / PLOW | |
| Capitalization | 9.73B | 1.09B | 892% |
| EBITDA | 1.01B | 96.1M | 1,050% |
| Gain YTD | 20.464 | 45.571 | 45% |
| P/E Ratio | 18.25 | 21.26 | 86% |
| Revenue | 3.65B | 679M | 538% |
| Total Cash | 311M | 5.19M | 5,993% |
| Total Debt | 4.27B | 235M | 1,816% |
ALSN | PLOW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 17 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 24 Undervalued | 11 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 63 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 33 | 46 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 18 | 11 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PLOW's Valuation (11) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as ALSN (24). This means that PLOW’s stock grew similarly to ALSN’s over the last 12 months.
ALSN's Profit vs Risk Rating (25) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PLOW (63). This means that ALSN’s stock grew somewhat faster than PLOW’s over the last 12 months.
ALSN's SMR Rating (33) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as PLOW (46). This means that ALSN’s stock grew similarly to PLOW’s over the last 12 months.
PLOW's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as ALSN (51). This means that PLOW’s stock grew similarly to ALSN’s over the last 12 months.
PLOW's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as ALSN (18). This means that PLOW’s stock grew similarly to ALSN’s over the last 12 months.
| ALSN | PLOW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 6 days ago 77% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 55% | 9 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 70% |
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ALSN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALSN has been loosely correlated with ATMU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ALSN jumps, then ATMU could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ALSN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALSN | 100% | +1.58% | ||
| ATMU - ALSN | 55% Loosely correlated | +3.36% | ||
| PHIN - ALSN | 54% Loosely correlated | +4.09% | ||
| ALV - ALSN | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.52% | ||
| PLOW - ALSN | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.81% | ||
| MGA - ALSN | 50% Loosely correlated | +1.46% | ||
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PLOW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PLOW has been loosely correlated with ALSN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 54% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PLOW jumps, then ALSN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PLOW | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLOW | 100% | +0.81% | ||
| ALSN - PLOW | 54% Loosely correlated | +1.58% | ||
| MLR - PLOW | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.33% | ||
| SMP - PLOW | 50% Loosely correlated | +0.61% | ||
| ATMU - PLOW | 49% Loosely correlated | +3.36% | ||
| XPEL - PLOW | 49% Loosely correlated | -1.85% | ||
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