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AM vs PAA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Antero Midstream (AM) vs. Plains All American Pipeline (PAA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AM (Antero Midstream) trades at a P/E ratio (price-to-earnings ratio, a valuation measure of stock price relative to earnings per share) of 25.3 with YTD (year-to-date) returns of 26.4%, showing solid growth in natural gas midstream services.
- PAA (Plains All American Pipeline) offers a higher dividend yield of 7.0% and stronger YTD gains of 31.2%, bolstered by crude oil logistics and recent acquisitions.
- Both stocks operate in the midstream energy sector but differ in focus: AM emphasizes Appalachian Basin gas gathering, while PAA handles broader crude and NGL (natural gas liquids) transportation across U.S. and Canada.
- PAA's larger market cap of $16B provides scale advantages, but AM exhibits lower volatility in recent market activity.
- Recent quarters show AM with strategic acquisitions enhancing its asset base, while PAA benefits from positive analyst momentum and sector tailwinds.
- AI tools highlight upward trends for both, with PAA edging in relative performance amid energy demand.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines AM (Antero Midstream Corporation) and PAA (Plains All American Pipeline, L.P.), two midstream energy firms critical to hydrocarbon transportation and processing. Investors in energy infrastructure, seeking stable dividends and exposure to oil and gas logistics, may find value in analyzing their relative performance. Amid fluctuating commodity prices and rising U.S. production, this analysis highlights business models, recent momentum, and market positioning to aid informed relative performance decisions in today's dynamic energy sector.
AM Overview and Recent Performance
Antero Midstream Corporation (AM) owns and operates midstream assets, including gathering pipelines and compressor stations, primarily servicing Antero Resources in the Appalachian Basin (West Virginia and Ohio). Focused on natural gas and NGL handling, the company reported Q1 2026 earnings with revenues up year-over-year, though missing some estimates. Recent market activity shows the stock around $22, with a 52-week range of $16.77-$23.83 and YTD returns of 26.4%. A $1.1B strategic acquisition has reframed its growth profile, boosting sentiment. Technical indicators like RSI exiting oversold and positive MACD signal upward momentum in recent weeks, despite brief dips below moving averages. Dividend yield stands at 4.1%, with analysts targeting $23.29 on average.
PAA Overview and Recent Performance
Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. (PAA) engages in crude oil and NGL transportation, terminalling, and storage across the U.S. and Canada, operating through Crude Oil and NGL segments. Trading near $22.65 with a 52-week range of $15.69-$23.04, it has delivered superior YTD returns of 31.2% and 1-year gains around 48%. Recent developments include regulatory approvals for acquisitions like full ownership of EPIC Crude, enhancing its oil-focused portfolio. Positive industry outlooks and momentum rankings have supported price stability amid energy sector volatility. With a P/E of 20.2 and attractive 7.0% dividend yield, PAA's scale ($16B market cap) drives investor interest, though some ratings remain cautious.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both AM and PAA thrive in midstream energy but diverge in scope: AM's gas-centric model ties it to Appalachian production, offering stability via dedicated contracts, while PAA's crude and NGL focus spans broader geographies, exposing it to volume swings but enabling scale-driven growth. Growth drivers include AM's acquisitions for asset expansion and PAA's EPIC integration for mid-teens returns. Recent momentum favors PAA with higher YTD gains, but AM shows steadier trends. Risk factors: AM faces regional gas price sensitivity; PAA, commodity merchant risks despite diversification. Sector exposure aligns with U.S. hydrocarbon output, with sentiment lifted by infrastructure demand—PAA garners more buy ratings amid value appeal.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors PAA due to its superior YTD performance, higher dividend yield, larger scale, and positive momentum in recent energy trends. Observable factors like stronger relative returns (31% YTD vs. 26% for AM), acquisition catalysts, and analyst upgrades suggest greater near-term upside probability, though AM offers stability in gas infrastructure.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AM is a Buy and PAA is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AM’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whilePAA’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- PAA’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PAA’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- PAA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AM (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) experienced а -3.09% price change this week, while PAA (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) price change was -2.89% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Pipelines industry was -1.57%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.48%, and the average quarterly price growth was +28.03%.
Reported Earning Dates
AM is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
PAA is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Pipelines (-1.57% weekly)Oil & Gas Pipelines industry includes companies that transport natural gas and crude oil through pipelines. These companies also collect and market the fuels. The pipeline segment could be considered as a midstream operation – functioning as a link between the upstream and downstream operations in the oil and gas industry. Some of the largest U.S. pipeline players include Enterprise Products Partners L.P, TC Energy Corporation and Energy Transfer, L.P.
| AM | PAA | AM / PAA | |
| Capitalization | 10.1B | 15.5B | 65% |
| EBITDA | 970M | 2.91B | 33% |
| Gain YTD | 22.501 | 27.431 | 82% |
| P/E Ratio | 24.78 | 19.82 | 125% |
| Revenue | 1.29B | 44.3B | 3% |
| Total Cash | 0 | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 3.71B | 11.5B | 32% |
AM | PAA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 65 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 20 Undervalued | 7 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 3 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 45 | 64 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 32 | 44 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PAA's Valuation (7) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as AM (20). This means that PAA’s stock grew similarly to AM’s over the last 12 months.
AM's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as PAA (7). This means that AM’s stock grew similarly to PAA’s over the last 12 months.
AM's SMR Rating (45) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as PAA (64). This means that AM’s stock grew similarly to PAA’s over the last 12 months.
PAA's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as AM (50). This means that PAA’s stock grew similarly to AM’s over the last 12 months.
AM's P/E Growth Rating (32) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as PAA (44). This means that AM’s stock grew similarly to PAA’s over the last 12 months.
| AM | PAA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 45% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 69% | 13 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 48% | 5 days ago 53% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 45% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| AGD | 12.71 | 0.19 | +1.52% |
| abrdn Global Dynamic Dividend Fund | |||
| DECZ | 42.86 | 0.13 | +0.30% |
| TrueShares Structured Outcome Dec ETF | |||
| TIPX | 19.25 | N/A | +0.03% |
| State Street® SPDR® Blmbg 1-10 YrTIPSETF | |||
| GPTY | 45.72 | -0.03 | -0.07% |
| YieldMax AI & Tech Portfolio Option Income ETF | |||
| FTBI | 21.68 | -0.06 | -0.28% |
| First Trust Balanced Income ETF | |||
AM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AM has been loosely correlated with DTM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AM jumps, then DTM could also see price increases.
PAA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PAA has been closely correlated with PAGP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 96% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PAA jumps, then PAGP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PAA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAA | 100% | +1.27% | ||
| PAGP - PAA | 96% Closely correlated | +1.34% | ||
| AM - PAA | 77% Closely correlated | +1.86% | ||
| OKE - PAA | 57% Loosely correlated | +3.09% | ||
| EPD - PAA | 55% Loosely correlated | +1.91% | ||
| TRGP - PAA | 53% Loosely correlated | +2.04% | ||
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