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AMZN vs CVNA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Amazon.com (AMZN) vs. Carvana (CVNA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AMZN has delivered strong year-to-date gains of approximately 18.5%, outperforming the S&P 500's 6%, driven by robust AWS growth.
- CVNA reported record Q1 2026 results with 40% unit sales growth but trades YTD down around 10%, reflecting higher volatility.
- AMZN's market cap exceeds $2.9 trillion with a P/E ratio of about 33, contrasting CVNA's $84 billion cap and P/E near 44, highlighting scale differences.
- Tickeron's AI indicators show bullish momentum for AMZN, while CVNA faces bearish signals post-earnings pullback.
- Recent weeks saw AMZN rise over 30% monthly amid AI catalysts, versus CVNA's volatile surges and dips in the used car sector.
- AI trading bots on Tickeron, with win rates up to 88% and returns to 169%, offer strategies across sectors but favor stable tech trends currently.
Introduction
This comparison pits Amazon.com (AMZN), the e-commerce and cloud computing powerhouse, against Carvana (CVNA), the online used-car retailer disrupting traditional auto sales. Both operate in consumer discretionary spaces but differ vastly in scale, diversification, and risk profiles. Traders seeking growth in tech-driven stability may eye AMZN, while those betting on cyclical recovery in autos might consider CVNA. Investors analyzing relative performance, market positioning, and sector momentum will find value in understanding their contrasting trajectories amid recent economic shifts and AI-fueled market dynamics.
AMZN Overview and Recent Performance
Amazon.com (AMZN) dominates e-commerce, cloud services via AWS (Amazon Web Services), and advertising. In recent market activity, its stock has surged over 30% in the past month, reaching around $273, with year-to-date gains of 18.5% outpacing the S&P 500. Key drivers include Q1 2026 earnings that beat expectations, with AWS revenue up 28% year-over-year—the fastest growth in 15 quarters—fueled by AI demand and a $364 billion backlog. The company announced over $200 billion in planned capital expenditures, signaling aggressive AI infrastructure investment. Positive momentum indicators, like MACD turning bullish and crosses above key moving averages, have bolstered sentiment, though overbought RSI suggests potential short-term pullbacks. Institutional inflows and resilient consumer spending further support its upward trend.
CVNA Overview and Recent Performance
Carvana (CVNA) operates an e-commerce platform for used vehicles, emphasizing convenience and logistics. Recent performance shows volatility, with shares around $379 after a 40% monthly surge but year-to-date down about 10%. Q1 2026 delivered record results: 187,393 retail units sold (up 40%), revenue of $6.43 billion (up 52%), and net income of $250 million, beating estimates. A proposed 5-for-1 stock split adds appeal. However, rising operational costs and margin pressures triggered post-earnings dips, with bearish MACD and momentum shifts signaling caution. Analyst upgrades reflect growth potential in used-car demand, but high beta (3.55) underscores sensitivity to interest rates and economic cycles, contrasting steadier peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AMZN's diversified business model—spanning e-commerce (steady consumer base), AWS (high-margin AI/cloud growth), and ads—contrasts CVNA's niche focus on used-car e-commerce, vulnerable to auto cycles, rates, and inventory costs. Growth drivers differ: AMZN leverages AI tailwinds and $200B+ capex for AWS expansion, while CVNA banks on unit sales recovery and efficiency gains post-restructuring. Recent momentum favors AMZN's consistent 30%+ monthly rise versus CVNA's volatile swings despite earnings beats. Risk factors highlight AMZN's lower beta (1.47) and scale ($2.9T cap) for stability, against CVNA's high volatility (beta 3.55), short interest over 10%, and margin squeezes. Sector exposure pits AMZN's broad tech/retail against CVNA's cyclical autos. Market sentiment tilts bullish for AMZN on AI catalysts, while CVNA draws upgrades but faces pullback risks.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors AMZN over CVNA, based on stronger trend consistency from bullish MACD and moving average crossovers, superior stability via lower volatility, and durable catalysts like AWS AI growth. AMZN's relative positioning outperforms amid tech rallies, with positive historical odds for continued rises, while CVNA's recent bearish momentum shift post-earnings suggests higher reversal risks. Probabilistic edge leans toward AMZN for sustained upside in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMZN is a StrongBuy and CVNA is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMZN’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileCVNA’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AMZN’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- CVNA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMZN’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CVNA’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMZN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- CVNA’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AMZN (@Internet Retail) experienced а -4.83% price change this week, while CVNA (@Automotive Aftermarket) price change was -7.44% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Internet Retail industry was -2.53%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was -24.86%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Automotive Aftermarket industry was -2.38%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.30%, and the average quarterly price growth was -21.57%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMZN is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
CVNA is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Internet Retail (-2.53% weekly)The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.
@Automotive Aftermarket (-2.38% weekly)The Automotive Aftermarket consists of the manufacturing, remanufacturing, distribution, retailing, and installation of vehicle parts and accessories, after the sale of the automobile by the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) to the consumer. The aftermarket parts many not be manufactured by the OEM. According to a Technavio study, the US automotive parts aftermarket size is estimated to grow by USD 24.33 billion during 2018-2022 (CAGR 3%). Like many other industries, the automotive aftermarket is also being intensely penetrated by the digital boom. The online auto parts sales market is predicted to exceed $13B by 2020 (according to a study by Mirakl).
| AMZN | CVNA | AMZN / CVNA | |
| Capitalization | 2.52T | 46.4B | 5,427% |
| EBITDA | 188B | -88M | -213,636% |
| Gain YTD | 1.425 | -23.191 | -6% |
| P/E Ratio | 31.60 | 38.63 | 82% |
| Revenue | 743B | 22.5B | 3,302% |
| Total Cash | 143B | 2.9B | 4,928% |
| Total Debt | 210B | 5.55B | 3,787% |
AMZN | CVNA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 59 | 26 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 92 Overvalued | 73 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 87 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 40 | 19 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 97 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 24 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CVNA's Valuation (73) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as AMZN (92) in the Internet Retail industry. This means that CVNA’s stock grew similarly to AMZN’s over the last 12 months.
AMZN's Profit vs Risk Rating (61) in the Internet Retail industry is in the same range as CVNA (87) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that AMZN’s stock grew similarly to CVNA’s over the last 12 months.
CVNA's SMR Rating (19) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as AMZN (40) in the Internet Retail industry. This means that CVNA’s stock grew similarly to AMZN’s over the last 12 months.
AMZN's Price Growth Rating (57) in the Internet Retail industry is in the same range as CVNA (58) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that AMZN’s stock grew similarly to CVNA’s over the last 12 months.
AMZN's P/E Growth Rating (57) in the Internet Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CVNA (97) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that AMZN’s stock grew somewhat faster than CVNA’s over the last 12 months.
| AMZN | CVNA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 88% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 90% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 86% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 87% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 27 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 58% | 21 days ago 84% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 87% |
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AMZN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMZN has been loosely correlated with CVNA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 48% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AMZN jumps, then CVNA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMZN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | 100% | +0.57% | ||
| CVNA - AMZN | 48% Loosely correlated | -2.76% | ||
| MELI - AMZN | 33% Loosely correlated | -0.36% | ||
| JMIA - AMZN | 33% Poorly correlated | -4.39% | ||
| W - AMZN | 32% Poorly correlated | -0.22% | ||
| BBBY - AMZN | 31% Poorly correlated | +13.38% | ||
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