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AMZN vs CVNA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) vs. Carvana Co. (CVNA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Amazon (AMZN) is a diversified e-commerce and cloud giant whose AWS (Amazon Web Services) unit reaccelerated to roughly 37% revenue growth, reinforcing bullish sentiment.
- Carvana (CVNA) is a fast-growing online used-car retailer posting record unit sales but facing shrinking profit per vehicle as higher interest rates compress financing income.
- AMZN has advanced around 10% year to date and trades near its highs, while CVNA has fallen about 30% year to date and sits near its 52-week low.
- The two names carry sharply different risk profiles: AMZN is a lower-volatility mega-cap, while CVNA has a much higher beta (a measure of volatility) near 2.9 and is highly sensitive to rates and consumer credit.
- Both companies report quarterly results in late October, making near-term relative performance highly data-dependent.
Introduction
Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) and Carvana Co. (CVNA) operate in very different corners of the consumer economy, yet both have become focal points for traders assessing how technology and consumer spending intersect in today's market. This stock comparison contrasts a diversified technology leader with a high-growth, consumer-cyclical disruptor. The pairing is relevant for investors weighing stability against growth momentum, and for those tracking how higher interest rates reshape relative performance. Understanding each company's market positioning, catalysts, and risk exposure can help clarify which profile better fits a given portfolio or trading approach in the current environment.
AMZN Overview and Recent Performance
Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) spans e-commerce, cloud computing, advertising, and logistics. In recent market activity, investor attention has centered on Amazon Web Services (AWS), its cloud segment, which reported revenue growth of roughly 37% in its latest quarter—its fastest pace in 18 quarters—with an annualized revenue run rate near $169 billion. Total company revenue rose about 20% year over year, supported by accelerating advertising growth.
This momentum has drawn favorable analyst attention, including a recent top-pick designation from a major investment bank citing AWS growth and Amazon's position in AI-driven commerce. Shares have climbed roughly 10% year to date and trade near the upper end of their 52-week range. The main counterweight is heavy capital spending—estimated at around $200 billion or more in 2026—which has pushed free cash flow (cash generated after capital investments) negative in the short term. Investors are weighing AWS's accelerating growth against the cost and timing of that infrastructure buildout.
CVNA Overview and Recent Performance
Carvana Co. (CVNA) is a leading e-commerce platform for buying and selling used vehicles, combining a digital storefront with a vertically integrated network of inspection and reconditioning centers. In its most recent quarter, Carvana sold roughly 197,000 retail vehicles—up about 38% year over year—and generated record revenue near $7.4 billion with solid net income. Management notes the company holds only about 2% of the U.S. used-retail market, underscoring its expansion runway.
Despite strong unit growth, the stock has been under pressure, declining roughly 30% year to date and trading near its 52-week low. The key issue is profitability per vehicle: rising interest rates have squeezed the spread Carvana earns on its financing business, reducing gross profit per unit (GPU) even as sales volumes climb. A 5-for-1 stock split earlier this year also reframed the share price. As a consumer-cyclical, higher-beta name, Carvana remains sensitive to interest-rate movements and broader consumer credit conditions.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies diverge on nearly every fundamental dimension. Amazon (AMZN) is a diversified mega-cap with multiple revenue engines—retail, AWS, and advertising—providing a degree of earnings resilience. Its growth driver is cloud and AI infrastructure demand, with a massive backlog approaching $500 billion. Carvana (CVNA), by contrast, is a concentrated consumer-cyclical business whose fortunes hinge on used-vehicle demand, financing economics, and consumer credit.
On momentum and market positioning, the contrast is stark. AMZN has shown positive relative performance and trend consistency, while CVNA's recent decline reflects contracting profit margins rather than slowing sales. Risk factors also differ: AMZN's primary concern is capital-spending intensity and near-term cash-flow headwinds, whereas CVNA faces interest-rate sensitivity and credit risk. Sector exposure amplifies these differences—technology and cloud versus consumer discretionary and auto retail.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward AMZN. Amazon's positive year-to-date momentum, accelerating AWS growth, diversified revenue base, and lower volatility present a more consistent trend profile than Carvana's. While CVNA offers a faster-growing unit-volume story and a sizable market-share runway, its sharp drawdown, elevated beta, and margin compression from rising rates introduce greater near-term uncertainty. The AI's preference is probabilistic rather than definitive, reflecting AMZN's steadier positioning relative to CVNA's higher-risk, higher-cyclicality profile.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMZN is a Buy and CVNA is a Hold.
AMZN's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AMZN turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where AMZN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for AMZN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Following a +5.05% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMZN advanced for three days, in 225 of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 169 of 254 cases where AMZN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 39 of 71 cases where AMZN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMZN as a result. In 44 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
AMZN moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMZN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
AMZN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AMZN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.896) is normal, around the industry mean (23.709). P/E Ratio (19.856) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.513). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.460) is also within normal values, averaging (1.774). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.034) among similar stocks. AMZN's P/S Ratio (3.447) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.321).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
CVNA in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026
The 10-day moving average for CVNA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CVNA turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 43 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 88%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CVNA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
The Aroon Indicator for CVNA entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CVNA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 26 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 49 of 56 cases where CVNA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
Following a +1.55% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CVNA advanced for three days, in 268 of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
CVNA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 73 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CVNA's P/B Ratio (10.495) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.320). P/E Ratio (26.285) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.107). CVNA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.695). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. CVNA's P/S Ratio (2.960) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.919).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. CVNA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CVNA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.
AMZN | CVNA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 77 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | 73 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 55 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 33 | 19 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 73 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 83 | 94 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CVNA's Valuation (73) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as AMZN (83) in the Internet Retail industry. This means that CVNA’s stock grew similarly to AMZN’s over the last 12 months.
AMZN's Profit vs Risk Rating (55) in the Internet Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CVNA (100) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that AMZN’s stock grew somewhat faster than CVNA’s over the last 12 months.
CVNA's SMR Rating (19) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as AMZN (33) in the Internet Retail industry. This means that CVNA’s stock grew similarly to AMZN’s over the last 12 months.
AMZN's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Internet Retail industry is in the same range as CVNA (73) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that AMZN’s stock grew similarly to CVNA’s over the last 12 months.
AMZN's P/E Growth Rating (83) in the Internet Retail industry is in the same range as CVNA (94) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that AMZN’s stock grew similarly to CVNA’s over the last 12 months.
| AMZN | CVNA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 87% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 88% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 88% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 88% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 88% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 14 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 86% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 90% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMZN’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while CVNA’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AMZN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- CVNA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMZN’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CVNA’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMZN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- CVNA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AMZN (@Internet Retail) experienced а -1.72% price change this week, while CVNA (@Automotive Aftermarket) price change was -3.13% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Internet Retail industry was -6.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -13.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19.90%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Automotive Aftermarket industry was -3.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.73%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMZN is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
CVNA is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Internet Retail (-6.31% weekly)The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.
@Automotive Aftermarket (-3.73% weekly)The Automotive Aftermarket consists of the manufacturing, remanufacturing, distribution, retailing, and installation of vehicle parts and accessories, after the sale of the automobile by the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) to the consumer. The aftermarket parts many not be manufactured by the OEM. According to a Technavio study, the US automotive parts aftermarket size is estimated to grow by USD 24.33 billion during 2018-2022 (CAGR 3%). Like many other industries, the automotive aftermarket is also being intensely penetrated by the digital boom. The online auto parts sales market is predicted to exceed $13B by 2020 (according to a study by Mirakl).
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AMZN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMZN has been loosely correlated with CVNA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 48% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AMZN jumps, then CVNA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMZN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | 100% | -4.57% | ||
| CVNA - AMZN | 48% Loosely correlated | -0.79% | ||
| CPNG - AMZN | 33% Poorly correlated | +0.87% | ||
| MELI - AMZN | 32% Poorly correlated | -1.61% | ||
| DASH - AMZN | 30% Poorly correlated | +0.81% | ||
| DIBS - AMZN | 30% Poorly correlated | +1.16% | ||
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CVNA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CVNA has been loosely correlated with W. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CVNA jumps, then W could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CVNA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVNA | 100% | -0.79% | ||
| W - CVNA | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.16% | ||
| JMIA - CVNA | 63% Loosely correlated | -1.01% | ||
| ETSY - CVNA | 57% Loosely correlated | +4.12% | ||
| RVLV - CVNA | 57% Loosely correlated | +3.09% | ||
| GLBE - CVNA | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.46% | ||
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