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AMZN vs CVNA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Amazon (AMZN) vs. Carvana (CVNA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Amazon (AMZN) delivered full-year 2025 net sales of $716.9 billion and net income of $77.7 billion, driven by AWS cloud growth of 20% and advertising revenue expansion of 22% year-over-year.
- Carvana (CVNA) reported a landmark 2025 with 596,641 retail units sold (up 43% YoY), $20.3 billion in revenue, and $1.9 billion in net income, capping one of the most dramatic corporate turnarounds of the decade.
- Amazon's announcement of a roughly $200 billion capital expenditure (capex) plan for 2026 triggered a sharp negative market reaction, reflecting investor anxiety over near-term margin compression.
- Carvana gained S&P 500 inclusion in December 2025, a milestone that signals institutional validation and has reshaped its market positioning from speculative recovery story to earnings powerhouse.
- These two stocks represent fundamentally different risk-return profiles: one a diversified technology and commerce giant making massive infrastructure bets, the other a focused, high-growth e-commerce disruptor in automotive retail.
- AI-driven analysis tools, such as Tickeron's Trending AI Robots, can help traders evaluate momentum, trend consistency, and volatility patterns across stocks like AMZN and CVNA in real time.
Introduction
Comparing AMZN (Amazon.com, Inc.) and CVNA (Carvana Co.) may seem unusual at first glance. One is a multi-trillion-dollar technology and e-commerce conglomerate; the other is a digital-first used-car retailer that was, not long ago, facing existential questions about its survival. Yet both stocks have become focal points for traders and investors seeking to understand how growth, profitability, and market sentiment intersect in the current environment. Amazon represents scale, diversification, and a colossal bet on AI infrastructure. Carvana embodies a high-velocity turnaround, digital disruption, and the question of whether extraordinary growth rates can be sustained. This stock comparison examines how these two very different companies stack up across key dimensions that matter to today's market participants.
AMZN Overview and Recent Performance
Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) remains one of the world's most dominant corporations, with operations spanning e-commerce, cloud computing (Amazon Web Services, or AWS), digital advertising, subscription services, and an expanding footprint in artificial intelligence. For full-year 2025, Amazon reported net sales of $716.9 billion, a 12% increase year-over-year, while net income reached $77.7 billion. AWS, the company's profit engine, generated $128.7 billion in annual revenue — growing 20% compared to 2024 — and posted an operating income of $45.6 billion. Advertising services grew 22% in the fourth quarter alone, reinforcing the segment's role as a high-margin growth driver.
In recent weeks, market sentiment around Amazon has been shaped by a single, high-impact announcement: the company's plan to invest approximately $200 billion in capital expenditures during 2026, predominantly directed toward AWS data center infrastructure, custom AI chips (including the Trainium and Graviton families), robotics, and satellite broadband via Project Kuiper. While CEO Andy Jassy framed this as a long-term strategic necessity driven by surging AI demand, investors reacted sharply, sending shares down more than 11% in after-hours trading following the Q4 2025 earnings release. The magnitude of the capex plan — far exceeding the roughly $146 billion analyst consensus — raised concerns about near-term free cash flow compression, even as the underlying business continues to post strong top- and bottom-line results. AWS itself accelerated to 24% growth in Q4, its fastest pace in 13 quarters, and the company's custom chip business surpassed a $10 billion annualized revenue run rate.
CVNA Overview and Recent Performance
Carvana Co. (CVNA) operates a leading e-commerce platform for buying and selling used vehicles, offering consumers a fully digital purchasing experience that bypasses traditional dealerships. The company's trajectory over the past three years has been nothing short of extraordinary. After flirting with insolvency in late 2022 — when shares traded below $5 — Carvana undertook an aggressive restructuring, integrated its ADESA wholesale auction acquisition to streamline reconditioning and logistics, and pivoted from growth-at-all-costs to a disciplined focus on unit economics.
The results have been striking. For full-year 2025, Carvana sold a record 596,641 retail units, a 43% increase year-over-year, generating $20.3 billion in revenue (up 49%). Net income reached $1.9 billion, though this figure included approximately $685 million in non-cash benefits from deferred tax asset valuation releases. Adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) hit a record $2.2 billion, with an 11.0% margin. In Q4 alone, the company delivered $5.6 billion in revenue and net income of $951 million. Carvana's inclusion in the S&P 500 index in December 2025 marked a powerful institutional endorsement. The stock gained roughly 130% over the course of 2025, reflecting both fundamental improvement and the technical tailwind of passive fund inflows. Looking ahead, management has laid out an ambitious long-term target of selling 3 million retail units annually at a 13.5% Adjusted EBITDA margin, signaling confidence that the growth story has considerable runway.
Trending AI Robots
For traders seeking a data-driven edge in evaluating dynamic stocks like AMZN and CVNA, Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page offers a curated gateway into algorithmic trading. Tickeron hosts hundreds of AI-powered trading bots that collectively monitor thousands of tickers across equities, ETFs, and other asset classes. Only the strategies demonstrating the strongest alignment with current market conditions earn a place in the Trending AI Robots section. These bots span a wide range of trading styles — from momentum-driven short-term agents operating on 5-minute and 15-minute intervals to trend-following systems analyzing 60-minute charts over multi-week holding periods. Performance metrics among top-ranking bots include annualized returns that have ranged from approximately 60% to over 290%, alongside detailed statistics such as Sharpe ratios, profit factors, and maximum drawdown figures. Each bot has its own unique strategy, risk parameters, and curated basket of tickers, allowing traders to explore approaches that match their personal timeframes and risk tolerance. To discover which AI-driven strategies are currently leading the market, visit the Trending AI Robots page and explore the full range of available bots.
Head-to-Head Comparison
Amazon and Carvana diverge sharply across nearly every fundamental dimension, making their comparison a study in contrasts rather than direct competition. Amazon's revenue base of $716.9 billion is roughly 35 times larger than Carvana's $20.3 billion. Where Amazon generates profit across multiple segments — AWS, advertising, third-party seller services, and subscription offerings — Carvana remains concentrated in a single end-market: used vehicle e-commerce. Amazon's competitive moat is built on infrastructure scale, ecosystem integration, and technological depth; Carvana's advantage lies in vertical integration of automotive reconditioning, logistics, and a digital-first customer experience that traditional dealerships struggle to replicate.
On growth, Carvana's 43% retail unit expansion and 49% revenue surge in 2025 dramatically outpace Amazon's 12% top-line growth. However, Amazon's growth is built on a far larger base, meaning its absolute revenue added in 2025 (approximately $79 billion) exceeds Carvana's entire annual revenue threefold. Risk profiles also differ materially. Amazon faces scrutiny over a $200 billion capex cycle that could pressure returns for years, plus regulatory headwinds across multiple jurisdictions. Carvana confronts the expiration of its PIK (payment-in-kind) interest period on restructured debt, requiring it to service significant cash interest payments while maintaining its growth trajectory — all against a backdrop of elevated used-car interest rates. Market sentiment reflects these divergences: Amazon shares faced sharp selling on capex fears despite strong results, while Carvana has been rewarded with index inclusion and a re-rating that reflects newfound confidence in its business model. For traders, the choice between these two may ultimately come down to whether they prefer a diversified compounder making giant long-term bets, or a high-growth disruptor whose turnaround narrative is still being written.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, momentum characteristics, and relative stability of catalysts, Tickeron's AI-driven analytical framework would likely find each stock appealing to different types of algorithmic strategies. Amazon's recent price behavior — a sharp drawdown triggered by a single capex announcement — introduces elevated near-term volatility that may favor mean-reversion or dip-buying bots operating on shorter timeframes. Its diversified revenue streams and AWS re-acceleration provide a strong fundamental floor, but the market's reaction to the 2026 capex plan suggests sentiment could remain choppy until greater clarity on returns materializes. Carvana, by contrast, has exhibited a clearer and more sustained uptrend, buttressed by consecutive quarters of record unit sales, expanding margins, and the institutional buying pressure that followed S&P 500 inclusion. The stock's momentum profile, paired with robust earnings revisions, could align well with trend-following AI strategies. However, Carvana's elevated valuation multiples and concentrated business model introduce downside risk that probabilistic models would weigh carefully. On balance, an AI system optimizing for trend strength and earnings momentum might express a marginal preference for Carvana in the current environment, while acknowledging that Amazon's scale, stability, and AI tailwinds make it a more durable long-term candidate for strategies prioritizing lower-beta, diversified exposure.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMZN is a StrongBuy and CVNA is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMZN’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileCVNA’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AMZN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- CVNA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMZN’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CVNA’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMZN’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- CVNA’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AMZN (@Internet Retail) experienced а +17.00% price change this week, while CVNA (@Automotive Aftermarket) price change was +3.14% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Internet Retail industry was +0.36%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.45%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19.49%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Automotive Aftermarket industry was +1.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.42%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12.89%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMZN is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
CVNA is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Internet Retail (+0.36% weekly)The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.
@Automotive Aftermarket (+1.31% weekly)The Automotive Aftermarket consists of the manufacturing, remanufacturing, distribution, retailing, and installation of vehicle parts and accessories, after the sale of the automobile by the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) to the consumer. The aftermarket parts many not be manufactured by the OEM. According to a Technavio study, the US automotive parts aftermarket size is estimated to grow by USD 24.33 billion during 2018-2022 (CAGR 3%). Like many other industries, the automotive aftermarket is also being intensely penetrated by the digital boom. The online auto parts sales market is predicted to exceed $13B by 2020 (according to a study by Mirakl).
| AMZN | CVNA | AMZN / CVNA | |
| Capitalization | 2.92T | 68.6B | 4,258% |
| EBITDA | 254B | 142M | 178,873% |
| Gain YTD | 17.659 | -26.117 | -68% |
| P/E Ratio | 21.85 | 32.99 | 66% |
| Revenue | 776B | 25.1B | 3,092% |
| Total Cash | 123B | 3.13B | 3,927% |
| Total Debt | 223B | 5.62B | 3,967% |
AMZN | CVNA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 25 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 89 Overvalued | 76 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 51 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 34 | 20 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 27 | 74 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 84 | 98 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CVNA's Valuation (76) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as AMZN (89) in the Internet Retail industry. This means that CVNA’s stock grew similarly to AMZN’s over the last 12 months.
AMZN's Profit vs Risk Rating (51) in the Internet Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CVNA (100) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that AMZN’s stock grew somewhat faster than CVNA’s over the last 12 months.
CVNA's SMR Rating (20) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as AMZN (34) in the Internet Retail industry. This means that CVNA’s stock grew similarly to AMZN’s over the last 12 months.
AMZN's Price Growth Rating (27) in the Internet Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CVNA (74) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that AMZN’s stock grew somewhat faster than CVNA’s over the last 12 months.
AMZN's P/E Growth Rating (84) in the Internet Retail industry is in the same range as CVNA (98) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that AMZN’s stock grew similarly to CVNA’s over the last 12 months.
| AMZN | CVNA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 84% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 82% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 89% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 87% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 6 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 59% | 12 days ago 85% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 75% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | N/A |
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CVNA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CVNA has been loosely correlated with W. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CVNA jumps, then W could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CVNA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVNA | 100% | +1.50% | ||
| W - CVNA | 65% Loosely correlated | -5.44% | ||
| JMIA - CVNA | 63% Loosely correlated | -0.34% | ||
| ETSY - CVNA | 57% Loosely correlated | -1.77% | ||
| RVLV - CVNA | 57% Loosely correlated | -1.30% | ||
| GLBE - CVNA | 55% Loosely correlated | -1.40% | ||
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