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AN vs GPI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AutoNation (AN) vs. Group 1 Automotive (GPI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AN and GPI are leading U.S. automotive retailers navigating volatile used vehicle prices and shifting consumer demand.
- GPI leads year-to-date (YTD) performance with approximately 10.55% gains compared to AN's 1.48%.
- AN has shown strong recent momentum, with shares up over 14% in the past month amid robust after-sales growth.
- GPI reported record full-year 2025 revenues of $22.6 billion, up 13.2% year-over-year, driven by acquisitions.
- Analysts maintain buy ratings on both, with recent price target increases for GPI to $385.
- Tickeron's analysis suggests GPI as a stronger short-term pick based on relative momentum.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines AN (AutoNation, Inc.) and GPI (Group 1 Automotive, Inc.), two prominent players in the automotive retail sector. Both companies operate extensive networks of dealerships selling new and used vehicles, parts, and services. Investors and traders interested in cyclical consumer sectors, particularly those exposed to vehicle sales cycles and interest rate sensitivity, will find this analysis relevant. Recent market activity highlights contrasts in momentum, revenue growth, and analyst sentiment amid rising used car prices and economic uncertainty, aiding decisions on relative positioning and stock comparison.
AN Overview and Recent Performance
AutoNation, Inc. (AN) is the second-largest automotive retailer in the U.S., managing over 250 dealerships and generating approximately $27.6 billion in full-year 2025 revenue. The company focuses on domestic, import, and premium luxury brands, with key revenue from vehicle sales, after-sales services, and customer financing. In recent market activity, AN shares have exhibited upward momentum, rising about 14.62% over the past month and crossing above the 200-day moving average. This follows a Q4 2025 adjusted EPS (earnings per share) beat of $5.08, supported by record after-sales gross profit and 4% same-store growth. Sentiment has improved due to share repurchases totaling $108 million year-to-date and resilience in after-sales amid softer new vehicle volumes. Shares trade near $208, within a 52-week range of $155 to $229.
GPI Overview and Recent Performance
Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) operates an omni-channel platform with around 200 dealerships across the U.S. and U.K., emphasizing new and used vehicle sales, service, and financing. Full-year 2025 revenues hit a record $22.6 billion, up 13.2%, with gross profit rising 11.8%. Recent performance reflects stability, with shares around $351 showing YTD gains of 10.55% despite quarterly EPS misses like Q4 2025's $8.49. Positive drivers include acquisitions adding $9.1 billion in revenues since 2021 and rising used vehicle prices. Analyst upgrades, such as JPMorgan's target hike to $385, have bolstered sentiment. The stock's 52-week range spans $292 to $488, indicating higher volatility but growth potential through M&A (mergers and acquisitions).
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AN and GPI share core business models in automotive retail but differ in scale and strategy. AN emphasizes U.S.-centric operations with strength in after-sales (gross profit growth), while GPI pursues international expansion and aggressive M&A for revenue acceleration. Growth drivers contrast: AN relies on same-store sales and buybacks, versus GPI's acquisition-fueled 13% top-line expansion. Recent momentum favors AN's monthly surge, but GPI exhibits superior YTD returns and long-term outperformance (21% vs. 16% annualized over 10 years). Risk factors include interest rate sensitivity affecting financing and inventory costs, with both exposed to used vehicle price swings. Market sentiment leans toward GPI via higher analyst targets, though AN offers relative value post-rebound.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors GPI over AN based on stronger trend consistency, YTD relative performance, and acquisition-driven catalysts positioning it for sector recovery. While AN displays short-term momentum, GPI's revenue growth and analyst support suggest higher probability of outperformance in the near term, though both face automotive market headwinds.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AN is a Buy and GPI is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AN’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileGPI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- GPI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AN’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GPI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- GPI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AN (@Automotive Aftermarket) experienced а -2.63% price change this week, while GPI (@Automotive Aftermarket) price change was -3.22% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Automotive Aftermarket industry was -1.89%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.89%, and the average quarterly price growth was -21.08%.
Reported Earning Dates
AN is expected to report earnings on Jul 16, 2026.
GPI is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Automotive Aftermarket (-1.89% weekly)The Automotive Aftermarket consists of the manufacturing, remanufacturing, distribution, retailing, and installation of vehicle parts and accessories, after the sale of the automobile by the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) to the consumer. The aftermarket parts many not be manufactured by the OEM. According to a Technavio study, the US automotive parts aftermarket size is estimated to grow by USD 24.33 billion during 2018-2022 (CAGR 3%). Like many other industries, the automotive aftermarket is also being intensely penetrated by the digital boom. The online auto parts sales market is predicted to exceed $13B by 2020 (according to a study by Mirakl).
| AN | GPI | AN / GPI | |
| Capitalization | 6.3B | 3.75B | 168% |
| EBITDA | 1.64B | 866M | 189% |
| Gain YTD | -8.805 | -19.570 | 45% |
| P/E Ratio | 10.21 | 11.98 | 85% |
| Revenue | 27.5B | 22.5B | 122% |
| Total Cash | 65.5M | 41.7M | 157% |
| Total Debt | 10.5B | 5.61B | 187% |
AN | GPI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 84 | 75 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 68 Overvalued | 23 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 54 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 34 | 68 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 56 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GPI's Valuation (23) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AN (68). This means that GPI’s stock grew somewhat faster than AN’s over the last 12 months.
AN's Profit vs Risk Rating (30) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as GPI (54). This means that AN’s stock grew similarly to GPI’s over the last 12 months.
AN's SMR Rating (34) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GPI (68). This means that AN’s stock grew somewhat faster than GPI’s over the last 12 months.
AN's Price Growth Rating (54) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as GPI (62). This means that AN’s stock grew similarly to GPI’s over the last 12 months.
GPI's P/E Growth Rating (56) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as AN (65). This means that GPI’s stock grew similarly to AN’s over the last 12 months.
| AN | GPI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 61% | 7 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 56% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| JHMM | 74.23 | 0.44 | +0.60% |
| JHancock Multifactor Mid Cap ETF | |||
| IDUB | 28.23 | 0.01 | +0.05% |
| Aptus International Enhanced Yield ETF | |||
| NVBW | 35.53 | -0.02 | -0.06% |
| AllianzIM US Equity Buffer20 Nov ETF | |||
| NJUN | 32.83 | -0.06 | -0.18% |
| Innovator Growth-100 Pwr Buffr ETF - Jun | |||
| KJD | 15.83 | -0.62 | -3.79% |
| KraneShares 2x Long JD Daily ETF | |||
AN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AN has been closely correlated with PAG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AN jumps, then PAG could also see price increases.
GPI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GPI has been closely correlated with ABG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GPI jumps, then ABG could also see price increases.