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AOS vs GGG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) vs. Graco Inc. (GGG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AOS and GGG operate in the specialty industrial machinery sector, focusing on fluid handling and water-related equipment.
- GGG has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at +7.09% compared to AOS's +1.43%.
- AOS offers a higher dividend yield of 2.16%, surpassing GGG's 1.35%.
- GGG commands a premium price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 28.31 versus AOS's 17.04, reflecting elevated growth expectations.
- Recent analyst sentiment leans more positive for GGG, including a rating upgrade to buy, while AOS faces concerns over flat sales.
- GGG's larger market cap of $14.455B contrasts with AOS's $9.072B, underscoring scale differences.
Introduction
A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) and Graco Inc. (GGG) are key players in the specialty industrial machinery sector, with overlapping exposure to fluid management and processing equipment. This comparison is relevant for investors and traders eyeing industrials amid cyclical recovery signals in construction, manufacturing, and infrastructure. Both stocks offer dividend income and growth potential tied to economic trends, but diverge in business focus and recent momentum. Traders may weigh valuation, yield, and relative performance for short-term positioning, while long-term investors assess sector tailwinds like residential demand and industrial automation.
AOS Overview and Recent Performance
A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) manufactures residential and commercial water heaters, boilers, tanks, and water treatment products, serving markets in North America, Europe, China, and India. Distributed through wholesalers and retail, its brands include A. O. Smith and Lochinvar. In recent market activity, AOS shares trade around $65.60, near the 52-week low of $62.02, with a modest YTD gain of 1.43%. Sentiment has been tempered by reports of flat sales and softer returns on capital, alongside mixed analyst views ahead of earnings. A recent dividend declaration of $0.36 underscores income appeal, but underperformance relative to the industrials sector has pressured shares in recent weeks.
GGG Overview and Recent Performance
Graco Inc. (GGG) designs and markets equipment for moving, measuring, mixing, and spraying fluids and powders, operating in contractor, industrial, and expansion markets segments worldwide. Products support painting, lubrication, chemical pumping, and applications in semiconductors and oil & gas. Recently, GGG shares hover at $87.19, within the 52-week range of $77.19–$95.69, buoyed by a solid YTD return of 7.09%. Positive developments include an analyst upgrade to buy and optimism for Q1 earnings, despite headwinds in some areas. Strong prospects in fluid management have supported relative outperformance amid volatile industrials trading.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AOS centers on water heating and treatment for residential/commercial end-users, while GGG spans broader fluid handling across contractor spraying, industrial pumps, and niche expansion like semiconductors. Growth drivers differ: AOS relies on housing and infrastructure cycles, GGG on manufacturing automation and energy. Recent momentum favors GGG with superior YTD gains and upgrades, versus AOS’s valuation discount but sales softness. Both face cyclical risks from economic slowdowns and sector sensitivity, though GGG’s diversification aids resilience. Market sentiment tilts toward GGG for growth positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI would currently favor Graco Inc. (GGG) over A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS), based on stronger trend consistency, superior YTD relative performance, and positive analyst catalysts in recent market activity. While AOS presents attractive valuation and yield, GGG’s momentum and diversification offer higher probabilistic upside in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AOS is a Buy and GGG is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AOS’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileGGG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AOS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- GGG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AOS’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GGG’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AOS’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- GGG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AOS (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а +3.26% price change this week, while GGG (@Industrial Machinery) price change was -0.24% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was +0.58%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.50%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
AOS is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
GGG is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (+0.58% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
| AOS | GGG | AOS / GGG | |
| Capitalization | 8.57B | 12.4B | 69% |
| EBITDA | 795M | 744M | 107% |
| Gain YTD | -6.097 | -7.134 | 85% |
| P/E Ratio | 15.65 | 24.68 | 63% |
| Revenue | 3.81B | 2.25B | 170% |
| Total Cash | 204M | 712M | 29% |
| Total Debt | 656M | 52.9M | 1,240% |
AOS | GGG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 36 | 15 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 14 Undervalued | 25 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 83 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 34 | 46 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 70 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AOS's Valuation (14) in the Building Products industry is in the same range as GGG (25) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that AOS’s stock grew similarly to GGG’s over the last 12 months.
GGG's Profit vs Risk Rating (83) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as AOS (100) in the Building Products industry. This means that GGG’s stock grew similarly to AOS’s over the last 12 months.
AOS's SMR Rating (34) in the Building Products industry is in the same range as GGG (46) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that AOS’s stock grew similarly to GGG’s over the last 12 months.
AOS's Price Growth Rating (54) in the Building Products industry is in the same range as GGG (60) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that AOS’s stock grew similarly to GGG’s over the last 12 months.
AOS's P/E Growth Rating (64) in the Building Products industry is in the same range as GGG (70) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that AOS’s stock grew similarly to GGG’s over the last 12 months.
| AOS | GGG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 46% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 48% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 48% | 7 days ago 52% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 48% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 55% | 6 days ago 47% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | about 1 month ago 60% | 2 days ago 53% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 51% |
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GGG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GGG has been closely correlated with LECO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GGG jumps, then LECO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GGG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GGG | 100% | -0.21% | ||
| LECO - GGG | 74% Closely correlated | +0.30% | ||
| ITW - GGG | 73% Closely correlated | +1.73% | ||
| AOS - GGG | 72% Closely correlated | +1.69% | ||
| NDSN - GGG | 72% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| ROP - GGG | 72% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
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