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GGG vs KMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Graco Inc. (GGG) vs. Kennametal Inc. (KMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- KMT has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) gains of approximately 37%, outpacing GGG's 7% rise, reflecting robust momentum in the industrials sector.
- Both stocks trade at similar P/E ratios (price-to-earnings) around 27-28, but GGG boasts a larger market capitalization of $14.5 billion versus KMT's $3 billion.
- Recent technical signals from Tickeron indicate an upward trend for KMT, with price above its 50-day moving average, while GGG shows mixed patterns including RSI exiting oversold territory.
- KMT carries higher beta (1.47 vs. 1.09), signaling greater volatility and sensitivity to market swings compared to the more stable GGG.
- Analyst sentiment has improved for KMT with a recent Zacks upgrade to Strong Buy, while GGG benefits from buy ratings ahead of Q1 earnings.
Introduction
Graco Inc. (GGG) and Kennametal Inc. (KMT) operate within the industrials sector, focusing on specialized machinery and tools essential for manufacturing and infrastructure. This stock comparison analyzes their recent market positioning, performance metrics, and technical trends, aiding traders seeking relative value in cyclical industrials plays and long-term investors evaluating growth potential amid economic shifts. With both exhibiting distinct momentum profiles in recent market activity, understanding their contrasts can inform portfolio allocation decisions in a volatile environment.
GGG Overview and Recent Performance
Graco Inc. (GGG) designs, manufactures, and markets systems for moving, measuring, mixing, and spraying fluid and powder materials, serving industries like coatings and adhesives. Trading around $87 with a market cap of $14.5 billion, the stock has risen about 7% YTD but experienced a recent pullback from its 52-week high near $96. In recent weeks, sentiment has been influenced by analyst upgrades to buy ratings and anticipation for Q1 earnings on April 22, alongside a dividend declaration. Technical indicators show RSI exiting oversold territory and MACD turning positive, suggesting potential rebound, though moving average crossovers indicate short-term caution. Stable beta of 1.09 reflects lower volatility, appealing to conservative investors.
KMT Overview and Recent Performance
Kennametal Inc. (KMT) produces precision tools and wear-resistant components for metalworking and aerospace applications. At roughly $39 per share with a $3 billion market cap, it has surged 37% YTD, recovering from a 52-week low of $17.62 amid broader industrials strength. Recent market activity features an upward trend, with price crossing above the 50-day moving average and bullish momentum from RSI, MACD, and moving average signals. Earnings estimate revisions upward and a Zacks Strong Buy upgrade have bolstered sentiment, though higher beta of 1.47 points to elevated risk. These factors have driven outperformance relative to peers in recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Graco (GGG) emphasizes fluid handling innovation for stable end-markets like construction, contrasting Kennametal’s (KMT) focus on cutting tools tied to manufacturing cycles. Growth drivers favor KMT with superior recent momentum and YTD gains, while GGG offers scale advantages. Risk profiles differ: KMT’s higher beta exposes it to downturns, versus GGG’s steadier profile. Sector exposure overlaps in industrials but KMT leans aerospace. Market sentiment tilts toward KMT on technical breakouts, though GGG’s earnings catalyst looms. Trade-offs center on momentum versus stability in stock comparison.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward KMT based on consistent upward technical trends, including price above key moving averages and positive momentum indicators, alongside stronger relative performance and analyst revisions. While GGG displays rebound potential, its mixed signals suggest lower near-term conviction. This positioning favors KMT probabilistically in prevailing conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GGG is a Buy and KMT is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GGG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileKMT’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- GGG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- KMT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GGG’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KMT’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GGG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- KMT’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
GGG (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а +0.48% price change this week, while KMT (@Tools & Hardware) price change was -0.31% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was +1.40%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.68%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.97%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tools & Hardware industry was +0.18%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.96%, and the average quarterly price growth was +15.78%.
Reported Earning Dates
GGG is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
KMT is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (+1.40% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
@Tools & Hardware (+0.18% weekly)Tools & Hardware industry includes companies that manufacture security products, storage cabinets, steel rules and tapes, calipers, shoe hook fasteners, lumber, structural materials and other related supplies. Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., Snap-on Incorporated and L.S. Starrett Company are some of the largest, established players in this industry. The industry is also seeing rapid growth in online sales. The proliferation of do-it-yourself (DIY) projects has boosted industry demand. But oil price volatility poses potential risks to this industry, particularly to e-commerce companies which spend on services of shipping companies, which might alter charges based on oil price movements.
| GGG | KMT | GGG / KMT | |
| Capitalization | 12.5B | 2.7B | 463% |
| EBITDA | 744M | 360M | 207% |
| Gain YTD | -7.257 | 26.041 | -28% |
| P/E Ratio | 24.68 | 19.91 | 124% |
| Revenue | 2.25B | 2.14B | 105% |
| Total Cash | 712M | 107M | 665% |
| Total Debt | 52.9M | 660M | 8% |
GGG | KMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 7 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 25 Undervalued | 8 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 83 | 91 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 70 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 70 | 30 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KMT's Valuation (8) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as GGG (25). This means that KMT’s stock grew similarly to GGG’s over the last 12 months.
GGG's Profit vs Risk Rating (83) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as KMT (91). This means that GGG’s stock grew similarly to KMT’s over the last 12 months.
GGG's SMR Rating (46) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as KMT (70). This means that GGG’s stock grew similarly to KMT’s over the last 12 months.
KMT's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as GGG (60). This means that KMT’s stock grew similarly to GGG’s over the last 12 months.
KMT's P/E Growth Rating (30) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GGG (70). This means that KMT’s stock grew somewhat faster than GGG’s over the last 12 months.
| GGG | KMT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 49% | 8 days ago 61% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 68% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| PSCW | 29.95 | 0.08 | +0.27% |
| Pacer Swan SOS Conservative (April) ETF | |||
| FTHI | 24.04 | 0.06 | +0.25% |
| First Trust BuyWrite Income ETF | |||
| VYLD | 29.49 | 0.02 | +0.08% |
| Inverse Vix Short-Term Futures Etns Due March 22, 2045 | |||
| JUNW | 34.28 | -0.06 | -0.17% |
| AllianzIM US Equity Buffer20 Jun ETF | |||
| PMBS | 49.19 | -0.11 | -0.21% |
| PIMCO Mortgage-Backed Securities Act ETF | |||
KMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KMT has been closely correlated with HLIO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KMT jumps, then HLIO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KMT | 100% | -2.42% | ||
| HLIO - KMT | 70% Closely correlated | +2.12% | ||
| MIDD - KMT | 69% Closely correlated | -3.31% | ||
| TNC - KMT | 68% Closely correlated | -0.66% | ||
| THR - KMT | 68% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| SXI - KMT | 65% Loosely correlated | +1.73% | ||
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