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APO vs ARES
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Apollo Global Management (APO) vs. Ares Management (ARES) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both APO and ARES operate as leading alternative asset managers with significant exposure to private credit, making them sensitive to broader market sentiment around credit conditions.
- Year-to-date through late July 2026, APO posted a smaller decline of approximately 12.5% compared to ARES’s roughly 18.9% drop, reflecting relatively stronger resilience in recent market activity.
- APO maintains a substantially larger market capitalization (around $70 billion) and higher trailing revenue than ARES, which has a market cap near $29 billion.
- Recent one-month performance showed both stocks advancing, with ARES recording a stronger rebound of about 12.7% versus APO’s 6% gain amid fluctuating sector dynamics.
- Dividend yields favor ARES at approximately 4.4% compared to APO’s 1.9%, presenting a trade-off between income and growth characteristics.
- Sector-wide concerns over private credit valuations have pressured both names in 2026, though APO’s scale and earnings profile have supported comparatively steadier positioning.
Introduction
Apollo Global Management (APO) and Ares Management (ARES) are two prominent alternative asset managers whose stocks often move in tandem due to shared exposure to private equity, credit, and real assets. This comparison examines their relative performance, business profiles, and market positioning in the current environment. Institutional investors, portfolio managers seeking diversification in alternatives, and traders monitoring sector rotation may find the analysis relevant for assessing risk-adjusted exposure within the financials space.
APO Overview and Recent Performance
Apollo Global Management is a global alternative asset manager with substantial assets under management across private equity, credit, and insurance solutions. In recent market activity, the stock has exhibited relative resilience compared to peers, with a year-to-date decline of approximately 12.5% through late July 2026. Over the most recent one-month period, shares advanced around 6%, supported by the company’s scale and diversified revenue streams. Broader sentiment has been influenced by ongoing caution in private credit markets, yet Apollo’s larger revenue base and earnings profile have helped moderate downside pressure during sector-wide volatility.
ARES Overview and Recent Performance
Ares Management is a leading alternative investment manager focused heavily on private credit, private equity, and real assets. The stock recorded a year-to-date decline of about 18.9% through late July 2026 amid similar sector headwinds. In the most recent one-month window, shares rose approximately 12.7%, outpacing some peers as market participants reassessed credit opportunities. Performance has reflected the firm’s credit-centric model, which offers higher dividend yields but also greater sensitivity to valuation concerns in private markets during 2026.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both firms operate in the alternative asset management sector with meaningful private credit exposure, yet Apollo Global Management (APO) benefits from greater scale, with market capitalization roughly double that of Ares Management (ARES) and significantly higher annual revenue. Growth drivers differ in emphasis: Apollo’s broader platform across insurance and private equity provides diversification, while Ares maintains a more concentrated focus on credit strategies that support elevated dividend yields. Recent momentum has favored Ares in short-term rebounds, but Apollo has demonstrated stronger year-to-date stability. Risk factors include shared sensitivity to credit spreads and valuation adjustments in private markets. Market sentiment remains cautious for the group, with relative performance reflecting trade-offs between size-driven stability at Apollo and yield-oriented positioning at Ares.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, relative year-to-date stability, and scale advantages, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modest probabilistic preference to Apollo Global Management (APO) over Ares Management (ARES). The larger market position and comparatively contained drawdown in 2026 contribute to this assessment, though outcomes remain contingent on evolving credit market dynamics and sector sentiment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is APO is a StrongBuy and ARES is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
APO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileARES’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- APO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ARES’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
APO’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ARES’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- APO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 5 bearish.
- ARES’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
APO (@Investment Managers) experienced а +12.18% price change this week, while ARES (@Investment Managers) price change was +8.16% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was +0.41%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.40%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.74%.
Reported Earning Dates
APO is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
ARES is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Managers (+0.41% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
| APO | ARES | APO / ARES | |
| Capitalization | 84.8B | 33.7B | 252% |
| EBITDA | 7.72B | 2.23B | 347% |
| Gain YTD | 0.010 | -5.333 | -0% |
| P/E Ratio | 51.10 | 68.56 | 75% |
| Revenue | 31.5B | 5.91B | 533% |
| Total Cash | 253B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 14.2B | 14.1B | 101% |
APO | ARES | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 87 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 77 Overvalued | 74 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 42 | 48 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 97 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 86 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ARES's Valuation (74) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as APO (77). This means that ARES’s stock grew similarly to APO’s over the last 12 months.
APO's Profit vs Risk Rating (42) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as ARES (48). This means that APO’s stock grew similarly to ARES’s over the last 12 months.
APO's SMR Rating (92) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as ARES (97). This means that APO’s stock grew similarly to ARES’s over the last 12 months.
APO's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as ARES (47). This means that APO’s stock grew similarly to ARES’s over the last 12 months.
APO's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Investment Managers industry is significantly better than the same rating for ARES (86). This means that APO’s stock grew significantly faster than ARES’s over the last 12 months.
| APO | ARES | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 83% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 77% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 69% | 8 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 69% |
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APO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, APO has been closely correlated with KKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if APO jumps, then KKR could also see price increases.
ARES and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARES has been closely correlated with KKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARES jumps, then KKR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARES | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARES | 100% | +4.99% | ||
| KKR - ARES | 83% Closely correlated | +3.97% | ||
| BX - ARES | 79% Closely correlated | +1.99% | ||
| OWL - ARES | 78% Closely correlated | +5.59% | ||
| APO - ARES | 78% Closely correlated | +3.59% | ||
| TPG - ARES | 77% Closely correlated | +8.51% | ||
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