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APO vs ARES
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Apollo Global Management (APO) vs. Ares Management (ARES) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both APO and ARES are large alternative asset managers, but they carry meaningfully different growth, momentum, and risk profiles in the current market.
- APO has crossed $1 trillion in assets under management (AUM), yet faces headline pressure from private credit fund redemptions and analyst caution.
- ARES reported record quarterly fundraising and raised its dividend more than 20%, supporting stronger recent relative momentum.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: On observable trend consistency and recent catalysts, Tickeron's AI currently favors ARES over APO.
- For deeper coverage, explore APO Major News and APO Today's Price Move, as well as ARES Major News and ARES Today's Price Move.
- Interested in automated trading signals? Explore Trending AI Robots to see curated AI trading bots matched to current market conditions.
Introduction
Apollo Global Management and Ares Management are two of the largest publicly traded alternative asset managers in the United States. Both generate revenue primarily from management fees tied to assets under management (AUM) and from performance-based income across credit, private equity, and real assets. Because they compete for similar institutional and wealth-channel capital, investors often compare them directly. This stock comparison is most relevant to those assessing relative performance, growth durability, and risk within the financials and asset management sector. Recent market activity has widened the divergence between the two names, making a side-by-side review particularly timely.
APO Overview and Recent Performance
Apollo Global Management (APO) operates across asset management and retirement services, with a heavy emphasis on credit, private equity, and real assets. The firm has scaled its AUM above $1 trillion and reported record fee-related earnings in recent quarters, driven by strong capital formation and its Athene retirement services platform. However, recent weeks have brought notable headwinds. Reports that Apollo is weighing the sale of a roughly $3 billion publicly traded business development company (BDC, a fund that lends to mid-sized firms) surfaced alongside record redemption requests across private credit funds, as investors grew wary of loans to software companies. Some analysts trimmed ratings and price targets, reflecting near-term caution. The result has been softer share-price momentum even as longer-term returns remain positive.
ARES Overview and Recent Performance
Ares Management (ARES) is a global alternative investment manager with leading franchises in credit, real estate, private equity, and infrastructure. In its most recent quarter, Ares raised more than $31 billion in gross capital and invested roughly $35 billion, ending the period with about $691 billion in AUM. Management highlighted broadening demand outside its core credit business and a strong pipeline into year-end. The firm also raised its quarterly dividend more than 20% year over year. Fee-related earnings (FRE, the recurring earnings from management fees before performance income) held in the low-40% margin range. Several analysts raised price targets following the results, and the stock has outperformed much of its peer group over the past six months, reflecting improving sentiment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
While both firms monetize large AUM bases, their market positioning differs. APO leans heavily into credit and insurance-linked retirement services, giving it enormous scale but also concentrated exposure to private credit sentiment, which has turned cautious recently. ARES is more diversified across credit, real assets, and infrastructure, and has emphasized growth outside its core credit franchise. On valuation, Ares trades at a notably higher price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple, while Apollo carries a richer relative premium versus industry averages. On momentum, Ares has shown stronger recent share-price performance and dividend growth, whereas Apollo has faced downgrades and fund-related headlines. Risk factors differ too: Apollo's credit concentration versus Ares's elevated valuation and rising operating expenses.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable signals, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward ARES over APO. The preference reflects comparatively stronger trend consistency, record quarterly fundraising, dividend growth exceeding 20%, and positive analyst revisions. By contrast, Apollo's recent private credit headlines and rating adjustments introduce greater near-term uncertainty. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive, and conditions can shift as new data emerges.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is APO is a StrongBuy and ARES is a Buy.
Momentum Indicator for APO turns positive, indicating new upward trend
APO saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 28, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 85 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 65 of the 85 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where APO's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for APO just turned positive on October 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where APO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
APO moved above its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +5.13% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where APO advanced for three days, in 248 of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 33 of 61 cases where APO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
The 50-day moving average for APO moved below the 200-day moving average on October 28, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where APO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
APO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for APO entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. APO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.516) is normal, around the industry mean (2.412). P/E Ratio (41.109) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-2.386). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.446) is also within normal values, averaging (1.319). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.270) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.062) is also within normal values, averaging (15.694).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
ARES in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026
The 10-day moving average for ARES crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 21, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ARES as a result. In 71 of 97 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ARES just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where ARES's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
ARES moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +4.38% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ARES advanced for three days, in 254 of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 13 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ARES declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
ARES broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for ARES entered a downward trend on October 26, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ARES’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 91 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ARES's P/B Ratio (12.150) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.412). P/E Ratio (61.459) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-2.386). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.879) is also within normal values, averaging (1.319). Dividend Yield (0.040) settles around the average of (0.270) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.623) is also within normal values, averaging (15.694).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
APO | ARES | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 11 | 41 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | 91 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 52 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 88 | 95 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 52 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
APO's Valuation (83) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as ARES (91). This means that APO’s stock grew similarly to ARES’s over the last 12 months.
APO's Profit vs Risk Rating (50) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as ARES (52). This means that APO’s stock grew similarly to ARES’s over the last 12 months.
APO's SMR Rating (88) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as ARES (95). This means that APO’s stock grew similarly to ARES’s over the last 12 months.
ARES's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as APO (58). This means that ARES’s stock grew similarly to APO’s over the last 12 months.
APO's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Investment Managers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ARES (52). This means that APO’s stock grew somewhat faster than ARES’s over the last 12 months.
| APO | ARES | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 53% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 68% | 17 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 71% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
APO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while ARES’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- APO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ARES’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
APO’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ARES’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- APO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- ARES’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
APO (@Investment Managers) experienced а +8.09% price change this week, while ARES (@Investment Managers) price change was +8.13% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was -0.39%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.16%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3.48%.
Reported Earning Dates
APO is expected to report earnings on Feb 11, 2027.
ARES is expected to report earnings on Feb 11, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Managers (-0.39% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
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APO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, APO has been closely correlated with KKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if APO jumps, then KKR could also see price increases.
ARES and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARES has been closely correlated with KKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARES jumps, then KKR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARES | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARES | 100% | -0.12% | ||
| KKR - ARES | 84% Closely correlated | +2.81% | ||
| BX - ARES | 82% Closely correlated | -1.23% | ||
| APO - ARES | 79% Closely correlated | +0.44% | ||
| TPG - ARES | 79% Closely correlated | -0.59% | ||
| OWL - ARES | 78% Closely correlated | +0.69% | ||
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