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APO vs ARES
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Apollo Global Management (APO) vs. Ares Management (ARES) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Apollo Global Management (APO) manages $938 billion in assets under management (AUM), dwarfing Ares Management Corporation's (ARES) $623 billion AUM.
- ARES has delivered stronger year-to-date returns of approximately 25%, compared to APO's 10%, amid robust fundraising.
- ARES offers a higher dividend yield around 4.5-5%, versus APO's roughly 2%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Both firms exhibit similar market sensitivity with a beta of 1.52, reflecting exposure to interest rate fluctuations.
- Recent market activity shows ARES stock rising post-Q1 earnings despite a miss, while APO anticipates its earnings report.
Introduction
Apollo Global Management (APO) and Ares Management Corporation (ARES) are leading alternative asset managers specializing in credit, private equity, and real assets. This comparison evaluates their business models, recent performance, and market positioning in the evolving private markets landscape. Traders seeking momentum plays and investors eyeing high-yield dividends or growth in assets under management (AUM) will find value in understanding their relative strengths amid shifting interest rates and fundraising trends. Both stocks offer exposure to non-traditional investments, but distinct profiles emerge in recent market activity.
APO Overview and Recent Performance
Apollo Global Management (APO) is a global alternative asset manager with $938 billion in AUM, focusing on credit, private equity, and insurance-linked strategies through its Athene platform. In recent weeks, APO shares have rebounded, trading around $130 with a market cap exceeding $75 billion. Influences include a $225 million investment in Pickleball Inc. via Apollo Sports Capital and anticipation for Q1 earnings, where analysts project EPS of $1.98 and revenue of $1.22 billion. Strong fee-related earnings growth and a trailing P/E of 23.55 have supported sentiment, though year-to-date gains lag peers at about 9.5%.
ARES Overview and Recent Performance
Ares Management Corporation (ARES) operates as a diversified alternative investment firm with $623 billion in AUM, emphasizing direct lending, private equity, and infrastructure. Shares recently traded near $119, with a market cap of about $39 billion, following a Q1 earnings release that missed estimates but highlighted record fundraising and year-over-year AUM growth. Despite the earnings shortfall, the stock advanced, buoyed by robust private credit demand. Year-to-date performance stands at roughly 25%, outpacing the sector, with a forward P/E of 19.12 and elevated trailing P/E of 69.59 reflecting expansion dynamics.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both APO and ARES thrive in alternative assets, with heavy credit exposure driving fee-related earnings (FRE), though APO’s scale yields higher TTM revenue at $32 billion versus ARES’s $5.9 billion. Growth drivers differ: ARES emphasizes direct lending amid private credit booms, while APO leverages insurance for stable capital. Recent momentum favors ARES with superior YTD gains, but APO’s lower forward P/E suggests better valuation. Risk factors include interest rate sensitivity and merger & acquisition (M&A) slowdowns; both carry high betas. Sector overlap in financials amplifies correlated sentiment shifts from economic data.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward ARES due to its consistent recent momentum, record fundraising, and attractive dividend yield amid private credit tailwinds. While APO offers scale advantages, ARES’ relative positioning shows higher probability for near-term outperformance based on trend strength and stability.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is APO is a Hold and ARES is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
APO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileARES’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- APO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ARES’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
APO’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ARES’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- APO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- ARES’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
APO (@Investment Managers) experienced а +4.57% price change this week, while ARES (@Investment Managers) price change was +7.36% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was +1.75%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.30%.
Reported Earning Dates
APO is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
ARES is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Managers (+1.75% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
| APO | ARES | APO / ARES | |
| Capitalization | 77.2B | 30.4B | 254% |
| EBITDA | 7.72B | 2.23B | 347% |
| Gain YTD | -6.747 | -15.402 | 44% |
| P/E Ratio | 84.20 | 62.17 | 135% |
| Revenue | 31.5B | 5.91B | 533% |
| Total Cash | 253B | 1.44B | 17,594% |
| Total Debt | 14.2B | 14.1B | 101% |
APO | ARES | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 34 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 85 Overvalued | 15 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 45 | 50 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 97 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 4 | 88 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 40 | 37 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ARES's Valuation (15) in the Investment Managers industry is significantly better than the same rating for APO (85). This means that ARES’s stock grew significantly faster than APO’s over the last 12 months.
APO's Profit vs Risk Rating (45) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as ARES (50). This means that APO’s stock grew similarly to ARES’s over the last 12 months.
APO's SMR Rating (92) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as ARES (97). This means that APO’s stock grew similarly to ARES’s over the last 12 months.
APO's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as ARES (49). This means that APO’s stock grew similarly to ARES’s over the last 12 months.
APO's P/E Growth Rating (4) in the Investment Managers industry is significantly better than the same rating for ARES (88). This means that APO’s stock grew significantly faster than ARES’s over the last 12 months.
| APO | ARES | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 63% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 54% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 81% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 70% | 12 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 58% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 69% |
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ARES and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARES has been closely correlated with KKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARES jumps, then KKR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARES | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARES | 100% | +1.57% | ||
| KKR - ARES | 82% Closely correlated | +0.99% | ||
| OWL - ARES | 78% Closely correlated | -0.41% | ||
| BX - ARES | 77% Closely correlated | +1.58% | ||
| TPG - ARES | 77% Closely correlated | +0.75% | ||
| APO - ARES | 76% Closely correlated | -0.02% | ||
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