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ASB vs WAL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Associated Banc-Corp (ASB) vs. Western Alliance Bancorporation (WAL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both ASB and WAL are regional bank holding companies, but WAL manages over $90 billion in assets compared to ASB's smaller Midwest-focused operations.
- ASB provides a higher dividend yield of approximately 3.7%, appealing to income-focused investors, while WAL offers around 2.1% with greater growth potential.
- Recent market activity shows ASB trading near $28.36 with modest gains, reflecting stability, versus WAL around $79.41 amid volatility recovery.
- Analyst price targets suggest upside for both, with WAL at $88–$102 and ASB at $29–$31, indicating relative strength in growth prospects for WAL.
- Over the past 12 months, both stocks have shown similar growth trajectories in a challenging banking sector environment.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines Associated Banc-Corp (ASB) and Western Alliance Bancorporation (WAL), two regional banks navigating interest rate pressures and economic shifts. Investors seeking dividend stability or growth in the financial sector, as well as traders monitoring relative performance and market positioning, will find value in understanding their business models, recent momentum, and sector exposures. With banking stocks sensitive to macroeconomic trends like net interest margins (NIM, the difference between interest income and expense) and loan growth, this analysis highlights key contrasts for informed decision-making in today's market.
ASB Overview and Recent Performance
Associated Banc-Corp (ASB), headquartered in Green Bay, Wisconsin, operates as a bank holding company serving the Midwest with commercial, retail, and wealth management services. In recent weeks, ASB shares have traded around $28, showing resilience with gains of about 0.8% in recent sessions amid broader market fluctuations. Sentiment has been supported by a strong dividend profile, yielding roughly 3.7%, and positive analyst coverage highlighting its position in the Banks-Midwest industry. Key influences include steady net interest income (NII, revenue from loans minus deposit costs) and quarterly earnings that have bolstered confidence, contributing to year-to-date stability despite sector headwinds like deposit competition.
WAL Overview and Recent Performance
Western Alliance Bancorporation (WAL), based in Las Vegas, is a bank holding company with over $90 billion in assets, focusing on national commercial banking, specialty finance, and digital services primarily in the Western U.S. Shares have hovered near $79 in recent market activity, with minimal daily change but recovery from earlier dips, reflecting adaptability to volatility. Developments such as a recent agent bank partnership with Fiserv have enhanced operational reach, while analyst optimism—listing it among top bank stocks—has driven sentiment. Performance has been shaped by robust loan portfolios and NIM expansion, though exposure to commercial real estate introduces some risk variability.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ASB and WAL share regional banking models emphasizing deposits, loans, and fee income, but differ in scale and focus: ASB prioritizes Midwest retail stability, while WAL pursues national growth via specialty lending. Growth drivers favor WAL with larger assets and partnerships, contrasting ASB's conservative deposit growth. Recent momentum shows similar 12-month gains, but WAL exhibits higher volatility tied to CRE exposure versus ASB's steadier profile. Risk factors include interest rate sensitivity for both, with WAL facing greater beta to economic cycles. Sector exposure aligns with banking peers, but market sentiment leans toward WAL for upside potential amid recovery trends.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors WAL due to its larger scale, higher analyst price targets implying greater upside (around 15–25%), and adaptability shown in recent partnerships and momentum recovery. While ASB offers dividend reliability and lower volatility, WAL's trend consistency and growth catalysts position it probabilistically stronger in the current banking environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ASB is a StrongBuy and WAL is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASB’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileWAL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ASB’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- WAL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASB’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WAL’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASB’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- WAL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
ASB (@Regional Banks) experienced а +6.48% price change this week, while WAL (@Regional Banks) price change was +4.39% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was +2.26%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.97%, and the average quarterly price growth was +10.31%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASB is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
WAL is expected to report earnings on Jul 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Regional Banks (+2.26% weekly)Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.
| ASB | WAL | ASB / WAL | |
| Capitalization | 5.58B | 9.14B | 61% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | 16.812 | 0.548 | 3,067% |
| P/E Ratio | 10.26 | 9.74 | 105% |
| Revenue | 1.52B | 3.71B | 41% |
| Total Cash | 465M | 497M | 94% |
| Total Debt | 4.01B | 6.84B | 59% |
ASB | WAL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 87 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 26 Undervalued | 37 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 43 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 22 | 13 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 97 | 57 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ASB's Valuation (26) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as WAL (37). This means that ASB’s stock grew similarly to WAL’s over the last 12 months.
ASB's Profit vs Risk Rating (43) in the Regional Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for WAL (100). This means that ASB’s stock grew somewhat faster than WAL’s over the last 12 months.
WAL's SMR Rating (13) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as ASB (22). This means that WAL’s stock grew similarly to ASB’s over the last 12 months.
ASB's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as WAL (45). This means that ASB’s stock grew similarly to WAL’s over the last 12 months.
WAL's P/E Growth Rating (57) in the Regional Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ASB (97). This means that WAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than ASB’s over the last 12 months.
| ASB | WAL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 60% | 4 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 61% | 8 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 74% |
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| FDV | 32.11 | 0.28 | +0.88% |
| Federated Hermes US Strategic Dvd ETF | |||
| EJAN | 35.79 | 0.04 | +0.11% |
| Innovator Emerging Mkt Pwr Buff ETF™ Jan | |||
| SNPG | 56.51 | N/A | N/A |
| Xtrackers S&P 500 Growth Scrd & Scrn ETF | |||
| MBSX | 26.75 | N/A | N/A |
| Regan Fixed Rate Mbs ETF | |||
| IUSB | 46.05 | -0.03 | -0.07% |
| iShares Core Universal USD Bond ETF | |||
WAL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WAL has been closely correlated with FNB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WAL jumps, then FNB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WAL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAL | 100% | +1.64% | ||
| FNB - WAL | 84% Closely correlated | +1.91% | ||
| ASB - WAL | 83% Closely correlated | +2.07% | ||
| ZION - WAL | 82% Closely correlated | +1.22% | ||
| ONB - WAL | 82% Closely correlated | +1.82% | ||
| EWBC - WAL | 82% Closely correlated | +1.88% | ||
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