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ATI vs MEC
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ATI is a Hold and MEC is a Hold.
ATI in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026
ATI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 32 of 39 cases where ATI's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ATI's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ATI just turned positive on October 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where ATI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Following a +1.18% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ATI advanced for three days, in 276 of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 42 of 62 cases where ATI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ATI as a result. In 56 of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ATI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
The Aroon Indicator for ATI entered a downward trend on October 20, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ATI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 89 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ATI's P/B Ratio (13.734) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.143). ATI has a moderately high P/E Ratio (54.235) as compared to the industry average of (10.324). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.100) is also within normal values, averaging (0.744). Dividend Yield (0.002) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.599) is also within normal values, averaging (5901.087).
MEC sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for MEC moved below the 200-day moving average on September 24, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MEC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
The Aroon Indicator for MEC entered a downward trend on October 19, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +9.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MEC advanced for three days, in 224 of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
MEC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 8 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.092) is normal, around the industry mean (3.137). MEC has a moderately low P/E Ratio (-16.795) as compared to the industry average of (10.165). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.200) is also within normal values, averaging (0.744). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.621) is also within normal values, averaging (5901.087).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MEC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MEC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock worse than average.
ATI | MEC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 16 | 66 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 89 Overvalued | 8 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 36 | 92 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 5 | 99 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MEC's Valuation (8) in the Industrial Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for ATI (89) in the Steel industry. This means that MEC’s stock grew significantly faster than ATI’s over the last 12 months.
ATI's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Steel industry is significantly better than the same rating for MEC (100) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that ATI’s stock grew significantly faster than MEC’s over the last 12 months.
ATI's SMR Rating (36) in the Steel industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MEC (92) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that ATI’s stock grew somewhat faster than MEC’s over the last 12 months.
ATI's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Steel industry is in the same range as MEC (50) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that ATI’s stock grew similarly to MEC’s over the last 12 months.
ATI's P/E Growth Rating (5) in the Steel industry is significantly better than the same rating for MEC (99) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that ATI’s stock grew significantly faster than MEC’s over the last 12 months.
| ATI | MEC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 2 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 81% | 19 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 64% | 5 days ago 80% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 2 days ago 78% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ATI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while MEC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ATI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MEC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ATI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MEC’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ATI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MEC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
ATI (@Metal Fabrication) experienced а -3.55% price change this week, while MEC (@Metal Fabrication) price change was -5.89% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Metal Fabrication industry was -3.99%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.98%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.62%.
Reported Earning Dates
ATI is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
MEC is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Metal Fabrication (-3.99% weekly)The industry is involved in value-added processes including creation of metal structures like machines and parts by cutting, bending and assembling, using various raw materials. A fabrication shop often bids on a project/job, and then builds the product if awarded the contract. Robotics and automation are making their way into the industry apparently to fill in skills gap[s19] . RBC Bearings Incorporated, Timken Company and Valmont Industries, Inc. are some of the largest metal fabrication companies in the U.S.
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MEC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MEC has been loosely correlated with ESAB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 38% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MEC jumps, then ESAB could also see price increases.