Abhoy Sarkar's Avatar
Abhoy Sarkar
published in Blogs
Sep 11, 2020
Oracle (ORCL, $57.01) beats Q1 earnings estimates

Oracle (ORCL, $57.01) beats Q1 earnings estimates

Oracle reported fiscal first quarter earnings that beat analysts; expectations.

The software/cloud giant’s  adjusted earnings came in at 93 cents a share, compared to the 86 cents a share estimated by analysts polled by Refinitiv.

Revenue increased +2% year-over-year to  $9.37 billion, surpassing the $9.19 billion expected by analysts.

Q1 revenue from cloud services and license support grew +2%.

The company’s Fusion Cloud ERP Suite grew +33% year-over-year. Netsuite ERP expanded +23%.

Tickeron's analysis: 

ORCL in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on September 09, 2020

ORCL moved above its 50-day Moving Average on September 09, 2020 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 31 of 46 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

Current price $57.01 is above $56.33 the highest resistance line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 08/10/20 - 09/10/20, the price experienced a +4% Uptrend, while the week of 09/02/20 - 09/10/20 shows a -3% Downtrend.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 31 of 57 cases where ORCL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

The 10-day Moving Average for ORCL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 26, 2020. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 42%.

Following a +3.63% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ORCL advanced for three days, in 162 of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 49%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ORCL moved out of overbought territory on September 03, 2020. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 10 of the 27 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 37%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 10, 2020. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ORCL as a result. In 35 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 41%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ORCL turned negative on September 08, 2020. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 16 of the 39 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 41%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where Apple declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 35%.

ORCL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 26, 2020. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for ORCL entered a downward trend on August 19, 2020. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 77%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1 to 1.03.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 9 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (14.56) is normal, around the industry mean (13.01). P/E Ratio (18.54) is within average values for comparable stocks, (281.78). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (6.68) is also within normal values, averaging (7.14). ORCL has a moderately high Dividend Yield (1.79) as compared to the industry average of (0.33). P/S Ratio (4.35) is also within normal values, averaging (16.11).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ORCL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Related Tickers: ORCL
Related Portfolios: APPLICATION SOFTWARE,Balanced portfolio - High Tech & REITs
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
Sergey Savastiouk
published in Blogs
Mar 07, 2021
4 Tricks Hedge Funds Use to Get Ahead

4 Tricks Hedge Funds Use to Get Ahead

If the stock market were Major League Baseball, hedge funds and institutional investors would be the pros on championship teams while everyday self-directed investors (SDIs) are the benchwarmers in the minors.It’s how they get ahead, and it’s why 90% of SDIs lose money trying to play (invest and trade) in the major leagues. The 4 tricks we discuss below are rooted in one common theme: they all use Artificial Intelligence and algorithms to generate data and ideas.
John Jacques's Avatar
John Jacques
published in Blogs
Mar 22, 2018
A.I. Stock Market Predictions: Head & Shoulders

A.I. Stock Market Predictions: Head & Shoulders

Statistics for the Head-and-Shoulders Bottom Pattern The days where only hedge funds used algorithms to trade stocks are officially over. Now retail investors can use Artificial Intelligence (A.I.  Here’s an example of the algorithm in action: Late last year, Tickeron’s A.I.
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
Sergey Savastiouk
published in Blogs
Jul 10, 2020
3 Stocks to Buy if Coronavirus Second Wave Hits

3 Stocks to Buy if Coronavirus Second Wave Hits

By analyzing market trends from the first wave, you can predict behavior for the second. Technology stocks have performed at historic levels this year, but the market is severely overbought.To compensate for that, look at performance during Q1 and Q2, the height of global Covid shutdowns.
Edward Flores's Avatar
Edward Flores
published in Blogs
Feb 06, 2021
How to Become the Millionaire Next Door

How to Become the Millionaire Next Door

The Golden Gate Bridge is always a fixture of these walks too, one of man's most beautiful creations.  As we were walking, at one point she turned to me and said, "Man, I'll never have a million dollars."" My girlfriend is 27 years old and works as a graphic designer, making about $75,000 a year.
Alla Petriaieva's Avatar
Alla Petriaieva
published in Blogs
Feb 23, 2021
Is Ethereum’s Bomb about to Explode?

Is Ethereum’s Bomb about to Explode?

Ethereum’s software is set for an update in October.Until it is finished, participants in the Ethereum blockchain must determine how to delay the difficulty bomb – code that necessitates a steadily increasing amount of computer power to mine blocks and unlock rewards – that is already in place.
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
Sergey Savastiouk
published in Blogs
Aug 07, 2018
When Is the Next Recession Coming?

When Is the Next Recession Coming?

However, we also know that economists predicted 22 recessions out of 11 that took place since 1945. Are there real recession signs we should watch for?Indeed, the answer is yes, and here are a few very important ones: The first one is almost obvious and known to everyone – it is the Fed.
Abhoy Sarkar's Avatar
Abhoy Sarkar
published in Blogs
May 22, 2020
Central banks have been buying $2.4 billion in assets every hour for the past two months

Central banks have been buying $2.4 billion in assets every hour for the past two months

Some $17.8 billion has been poured into  bond markets over the past week, the biggest move in more than three months.Around $3.5 billion has been invested into gold, the second largest on record. 
Rick Pendergraft's Avatar
Rick Pendergraft
published in Blogs
Feb 07, 2021
Mid-January Short Interest Report Shows 8 Stocks with Good Fundamentals and High Short Interest
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
Sergey Savastiouk
published in Blogs
Mar 10, 2021
How to Start Trading Penny Stocks

How to Start Trading Penny Stocks

Penny stocks have long been marginalized within the professional investment community, oftentimes being painted with a broad brush of simply being “too risky.” Leonardo DiCaprio’s depiction of the penny stock peddling conman, Jordan Belfort, in the Wolf of Wall Street certainly didn’t help.Here are four reasons to start trading them now. Reason #1: Let’s State the Obvious -- Penny Stocks are Cheap A single share of Apple Inc. costs over $350.
Abhoy Sarkar's Avatar
Abhoy Sarkar
published in Blogs
May 08, 2020
US unemployment rate jumps to 14.7%, the highest in series history

US unemployment rate jumps to 14.7%, the highest in series history

The U.S. economy’s employment fell by -20.5 million in April. The coronavirus crisis led to unemployment rate soaring to 14.7% in the U.S, the highest rate in the Bureau of Labor Statistics-tracked series history that goes back to 1948. However, the figures were better compared to several economists'/analysts' forecasts of 22 million job losses and 16% unemployment rate.  Another unemployment measure that includes those who have stopped looking for work as well as those holding part-time jobs for economic reasons also touched an all-time high of 22.8%.