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AZO vs TSCO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AutoZone (AZO) vs. Tractor Supply (TSCO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- TSCO has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at approximately 10%, outpacing AZO's 5.6% gain, amid broader retail sector pressures.
- AZO commands a higher price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 25.1 compared to TSCO's 21.8, signaling market premium for its profitability and EPS (earnings per share) trajectory.
- Both stocks benefit from analyst buy ratings, with TSCO showing greater upside potential to targets around $56 from current levels near $45.
- Recent earnings momentum favors AZO with beats and expansion, while TSCO faced a Q1 miss, pressuring near-term sentiment.
- AZO exhibits greater stability in recent market activity, trading within a tighter range relative to its 52-week spectrum.
Introduction
AutoZone (AZO) and Tractor Supply (TSCO) represent specialty retailers in distinct consumer niches: automotive aftermarket parts and rural lifestyle products, respectively. Both operate in the consumer discretionary sector, sensitive to economic cycles and spending trends. This comparison is particularly relevant for traders seeking relative performance insights and investors evaluating resilient retail plays amid shifting market conditions. By examining recent momentum, valuations, and sector dynamics, readers can gauge positioning in the current environment, where auto repair demand contrasts with variable rural consumer patterns.
AZO Overview and Recent Performance
AutoZone (AZO), a leading retailer of automotive replacement parts and accessories, primarily serves do-it-yourself (DIY) customers through over 7,000 stores across North America and select international markets. The company benefits from steady demand for vehicle maintenance amid aging car fleets and high new-auto prices. In recent market activity, AZO shares have shown resilience, posting modest YTD gains of about 5.6% while trading around $3,580, within a 52-week range of $3,210 to $4,388. Influences include positive analyst outlooks, with average price targets near $4,200 implying upside, and recent quarterly earnings beats, such as Q2 FY2026 EPS of $27.63 exceeding estimates. Occasional dips reflect broader market volatility, but sentiment remains supported by store expansions and robust EPS growth.
TSCO Overview and Recent Performance
Tractor Supply (TSCO), the largest U.S. operator of retail farm and ranch stores, offers products for pet care, livestock, hardware, and outdoor living to recreational landowners and rural residents via nearly 2,300 locations. Recent performance reflects YTD strength at around 10%, outperforming peers, with shares near $45 in a 52-week band of $43 to $64. However, sentiment has softened following a Q1 CY2026 earnings miss, with EPS at $0.31 versus expected $0.34 and sales below forecasts, amid softer comparable store sales. Broader pressures include mixed rural demand and economic uncertainty, though analysts maintain outperform ratings with targets around $56. Upcoming fiscal guidance will shape near-term trajectory.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AZO and TSCO both thrive in niche retail but diverge in business models: AZO focuses on essential auto parts with recurring DIY needs, while TSCO targets more discretionary rural lifestyle items like pet supplies and fencing. Growth drivers include store expansions for both, but AZO leverages aggressive share buybacks boosting EPS, contrasting TSCO's dividend emphasis. Recent momentum tilts YTD to TSCO, yet AZO displays steadier trends post-earnings. Risk factors encompass consumer spending slowdowns, with auto repairs more recession-resistant than farm extras. Sector exposure overlaps in consumer discretionary, but valuations show AZO's premium P/E for superior margins versus TSCO's relative value. Market sentiment favors both via buy ratings, highlighting trade-offs in stability versus growth potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward AZO in this matchup, driven by more consistent trend stability, elevated profitability metrics like TTM EPS over $142, and positive catalysts such as upcoming earnings and global expansion. While TSCO offers compelling YTD momentum and valuation appeal, its recent earnings shortfall introduces short-term uncertainty. This probabilistic edge for AZO reflects relative positioning in volatile conditions, though both warrant monitoring for shifts in retail dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AZO is a StrongBuy and TSCO is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AZO’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileTSCO’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AZO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- TSCO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AZO’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TSCO’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AZO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- TSCO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AZO (@Auto Parts: OEM) experienced а -5.04% price change this week, while TSCO (@Specialty Stores) price change was -3.47% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Auto Parts: OEM industry was -2.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.30%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.65%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Stores industry was -1.60%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.83%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.40%.
Reported Earning Dates
AZO is expected to report earnings on Sep 29, 2026.
TSCO is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Auto Parts: OEM (-2.34% weekly)OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.
@Specialty Stores (-1.60% weekly)The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.
| AZO | TSCO | AZO / TSCO | |
| Capitalization | 48.1B | 15.6B | 308% |
| EBITDA | 4.2B | 1.95B | 215% |
| Gain YTD | -13.046 | -39.639 | 33% |
| P/E Ratio | 20.28 | 14.68 | 138% |
| Revenue | 19.6B | 15.6B | 126% |
| Total Cash | 285M | 224M | 127% |
| Total Debt | 12.4B | 6.41B | 193% |
AZO | TSCO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 11 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 17 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 46 | 90 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | 22 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 65 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 71 | 91 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TSCO's Valuation (17) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for AZO (84). This means that TSCO’s stock grew significantly faster than AZO’s over the last 12 months.
AZO's Profit vs Risk Rating (46) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TSCO (90). This means that AZO’s stock grew somewhat faster than TSCO’s over the last 12 months.
TSCO's SMR Rating (22) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for AZO (100). This means that TSCO’s stock grew significantly faster than AZO’s over the last 12 months.
AZO's Price Growth Rating (62) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as TSCO (65). This means that AZO’s stock grew similarly to TSCO’s over the last 12 months.
AZO's P/E Growth Rating (71) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as TSCO (91). This means that AZO’s stock grew similarly to TSCO’s over the last 12 months.
| AZO | TSCO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 66% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 61% | 13 days ago 61% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 48% | 8 days ago 55% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 64% |
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TSCO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TSCO has been loosely correlated with CPRT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 56% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TSCO jumps, then CPRT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TSCO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSCO | 100% | -1.42% | ||
| CPRT - TSCO | 56% Loosely correlated | -2.48% | ||
| HD - TSCO | 45% Loosely correlated | -2.29% | ||
| LOW - TSCO | 43% Loosely correlated | -3.51% | ||
| AZO - TSCO | 41% Loosely correlated | -3.77% | ||
| HNST - TSCO | 39% Loosely correlated | -7.96% | ||
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