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AZO vs ORLY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AutoZone (AZO) vs. O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AutoZone (AZO) and O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) are direct competitors in the aftermarket auto parts retail sector, benefiting from aging vehicle fleets and steady demand.
- AZO has outperformed ORLY year-to-date (YTD, performance from January 1 to current date) with +5.56% versus +2.26%.
- AZO trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 25.08 compared to ORLY's 31.41, suggesting relatively better valuation.
- Both stocks have upcoming earnings reports, with analysts projecting growth in earnings per share (EPS, profit allocated to each share) for each.
- Market caps stand at approximately $59B for AZO and $78B for ORLY, reflecting ORLY's larger scale.
- Analyst price targets indicate potential upside of around 17% for AZO and 13% for ORLY.
Introduction
AutoZone (AZO) and O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) dominate the U.S. aftermarket auto parts retail industry, serving do-it-yourself (DIY) customers and professional repair shops amid rising vehicle age and repair costs. This stock comparison is relevant for sector-focused investors and traders assessing relative performance, valuation, and momentum in a resilient but competitive market. With both companies posting solid long-term returns yet varying recent trajectories, understanding their head-to-head dynamics aids in portfolio allocation decisions during periods of market volatility and economic uncertainty.
AZO Overview and Recent Performance
AutoZone (AZO), the largest U.S. auto parts retailer by store count, operates over 7,000 locations primarily in the Americas, focusing on DIY and commercial sales. In recent market activity, AZO shares have experienced volatility, with occasional declines amid broader gains but maintaining positive YTD momentum at +5.56%. Key influences include the completion of a three-year cloud migration to Google Cloud, enhancing operational efficiency, and anticipation for Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings on May 26. Analysts project EPS of $36.09, supporting sentiment despite short-term pressures from sector rotation. The stock trades around $3,588 with a market cap of $59B.
ORLY Overview and Recent Performance
O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) is a leading auto parts distributor with about 6,200 stores across the U.S. and Mexico, emphasizing professional service providers alongside DIY channels. Recent weeks have seen ORLY shares underperform YTD at +2.26%, reflecting cautious investor positioning ahead of Q1 2026 earnings. Positive factors include projected EPS growth to $0.69 and revenue of $4.47B, alongside strong historical profitability trends. The stock hovers near $93 with a $78B market cap, buoyed by analyst upgrades but tempered by broader retail sector dynamics.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both AZO and ORLY share similar business models centered on aftermarket parts distribution, with growth driven by store expansions, e-commerce, and commercial sales amid aging U.S. vehicle fleets averaging over 12 years. ORLY edges in scale with a larger market cap and stronger five-year returns (163% vs. 146%), but AZO offers better recent momentum and valuation via lower P/E. Risk factors include supply chain vulnerabilities and economic slowdowns impacting discretionary repairs, though both exhibit low beta for stability. Market sentiment favors AZO short-term on earnings catalysts, while ORLY benefits from superior sales growth trends.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward AZO based on superior YTD relative performance, attractive valuation metrics, and positive positioning ahead of earnings. Factors like trend consistency and higher implied upside from analyst targets provide probabilistic edge over ORLY in the near term, though both remain solid in a defensive sector.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AZO is a StrongBuy and ORLY is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AZO’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileORLY’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AZO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- ORLY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AZO’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ORLY’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AZO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- ORLY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AZO (@Auto Parts: OEM) experienced а -5.04% price change this week, while ORLY (@Auto Parts: OEM) price change was -5.13% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Auto Parts: OEM industry was -2.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.30%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.65%.
Reported Earning Dates
AZO is expected to report earnings on Sep 29, 2026.
ORLY is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Auto Parts: OEM (-2.34% weekly)OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.
| AZO | ORLY | AZO / ORLY | |
| Capitalization | 49.7B | 72.5B | 69% |
| EBITDA | 4.2B | 4.1B | 102% |
| Gain YTD | -13.046 | -6.118 | 213% |
| P/E Ratio | 20.28 | 27.89 | 73% |
| Revenue | 19.6B | 18.2B | 108% |
| Total Cash | 285M | 253M | 113% |
| Total Debt | 12.4B | 8.73B | 142% |
AZO | ORLY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 9 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 98 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 46 | 20 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | 1 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 71 | 68 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AZO's Valuation (84) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as ORLY (98). This means that AZO’s stock grew similarly to ORLY’s over the last 12 months.
ORLY's Profit vs Risk Rating (20) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as AZO (46). This means that ORLY’s stock grew similarly to AZO’s over the last 12 months.
ORLY's SMR Rating (1) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for AZO (100). This means that ORLY’s stock grew significantly faster than AZO’s over the last 12 months.
ORLY's Price Growth Rating (60) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as AZO (62). This means that ORLY’s stock grew similarly to AZO’s over the last 12 months.
ORLY's P/E Growth Rating (68) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as AZO (71). This means that ORLY’s stock grew similarly to AZO’s over the last 12 months.
| AZO | ORLY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 49% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 52% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 45% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 44% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 61% | 14 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 45% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 44% |
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AZO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AZO has been closely correlated with ORLY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AZO jumps, then ORLY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AZO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZO | 100% | -3.77% | ||
| ORLY - AZO | 78% Closely correlated | -1.39% | ||
| AAP - AZO | 42% Loosely correlated | -7.79% | ||
| GPC - AZO | 39% Loosely correlated | -3.30% | ||
| TSCO - AZO | 34% Loosely correlated | -1.42% | ||
| MUSA - AZO | 34% Loosely correlated | +0.01% | ||
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ORLY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ORLY has been closely correlated with AZO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ORLY jumps, then AZO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ORLY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORLY | 100% | -1.39% | ||
| AZO - ORLY | 78% Closely correlated | -3.77% | ||
| CPRT - ORLY | 45% Loosely correlated | -2.48% | ||
| GPC - ORLY | 44% Loosely correlated | -3.30% | ||
| AAP - ORLY | 43% Loosely correlated | -7.79% | ||
| MUSA - ORLY | 36% Loosely correlated | +0.01% | ||
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