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AZO vs ORLY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AutoZone (AZO) vs. O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AZO (AutoZone) and ORLY (O'Reilly Automotive) are two of the largest automotive aftermarket parts retailers in the United States, competing across both do-it-yourself and professional repair channels.
- O'Reilly has shown stronger recent comparable store sales (same-store sales) momentum, with growth of 6% in its latest quarter and 33 consecutive years of comparable store sales growth.
- AutoZone posted double-digit earnings growth but saw domestic do-it-yourself sales turn slightly negative, and its share price has declined meaningfully over the past year.
- Both companies generate substantial free cash flow and return capital through large, ongoing share repurchase programs.
- AutoZone is expanding aggressively into Mexico and Brazil, while O'Reilly is concentrating its growth on North America and professional (do-it-for-me) market share gains.
- For more detail on company-specific developments and daily price action, explore AZO Major News and AZO Today's Price Move, as well as ORLY Major News and ORLY Today's Price Move.
- To see how automated strategies are currently positioning across the market, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
AutoZone and O'Reilly Automotive are direct rivals in the automotive aftermarket, an industry known for its resilience across economic cycles as consumers and professional repair shops continue maintaining an aging U.S. vehicle fleet. Because both companies operate similar business models yet pursue distinct growth strategies, they offer a useful stock comparison for investors evaluating relative performance and market positioning. Traders and long-term investors alike may find this comparison relevant when deciding how to allocate capital between two high-quality, cash-generative retailers that differ in geographic focus, channel mix, and recent momentum.
AZO Overview and Recent Performance
AZO, AutoZone, is a leading retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories across the United States, Mexico, and Brazil. In its most recent fiscal year, total sales surpassed $20 billion for the first time, and the company crossed the 8,000-store threshold globally. In its latest quarter, diluted earnings per share rose more than 15% year over year, supported by gross margin expansion, while domestic commercial sales grew at a high-single-digit rate.
Recent market activity has been more cautious, however. Domestic do-it-yourself same-store sales turned slightly negative as financially pressured customers deferred repairs and traded down, while selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A, the operating costs of running the business) grew faster than sales. The share price has pulled back substantially over the past year despite solid long-term fundamentals. Analysts have trimmed price targets, and sentiment has been shaped by softer same-store sales and questions about near-term expense discipline, even as the company continues investing in store openings and its Mega Hub distribution network.
ORLY Overview and Recent Performance
ORLY, O'Reilly Automotive, is one of the largest specialty retailers of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, and supplies, serving both do-it-yourself and professional service provider customers across the United States, Puerto Rico, Mexico, and Canada. The company reported comparable store sales growth of 6% in its latest quarter, with its professional segment again growing at a double-digit rate, and it raised full-year guidance for both comparable store sales and earnings per share.
O'Reilly's recent performance reflects broad-based strength across both customer channels, with the professional segment accounting for slightly more than half of quarterly revenue. The company has now delivered comparable store sales growth for 33 consecutive years, underscoring the consistency of its execution. Recent market activity has been relatively stable, with analysts maintaining or modestly raising price targets and highlighting healthy underlying demand. Growth remains focused on North America, including new store openings and a recently added distribution center supporting expansion in the Southeast.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron maintains hundreds of AI trading bots that collectively trade thousands of different tickers, each with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance profile, and universe of stocks. Because not every bot is suited to every market environment, Tickeron curates only the strongest, most relevant strategies into its Trending AI Robots section. This page highlights the robots best aligned with current market conditions, allowing users to review performance statistics, trade frequency, and the specific tickers each strategy follows. For traders seeking a data-driven approach to stock selection and timing, exploring these curated strategies can provide a useful complement to fundamental analysis.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies differ most clearly in geographic exposure and channel mix. AutoZone is pursuing meaningful international growth, with more than 1,000 stores in Mexico and a growing presence in Brazil, while O'Reilly is concentrated in North America. On the commercial side, both are gaining share, but O'Reilly's professional segment has posted four consecutive quarters of double-digit comparable sales growth, giving it stronger recent momentum in the higher-frequency do-it-for-me channel.
Risk profiles also diverge. AutoZone's reliance on the more discretionary do-it-yourself segment leaves it more exposed to consumer financial pressure, which contributed to its recent domestic do-it-yourself sales decline. O'Reilly's more balanced channel mix has supported steadier comparable sales. Both companies operate with leverage and use buybacks aggressively, but AutoZone's pullback has left it trading at a lower valuation relative to earnings, while O'Reilly commands a premium consistent with its faster recent comparable sales growth and longer track record of consistency.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, comparable sales momentum, and relative market positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward ORLY. O'Reilly's stronger and more consistent comparable store sales growth, its multi-decade record of same-store sales gains, and its balanced professional and do-it-yourself mix suggest more stable near-term positioning. AutoZone's discounted valuation and aggressive expansion offer a potentially attractive longer-term setup, but softer do-it-yourself trends and recent expense deleverage introduce greater near-term uncertainty. This reflects a probabilistic assessment of current conditions rather than a definitive forecast.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AZO is a Buy and ORLY is a Buy.
Momentum Indicator for AZO turns positive, indicating new upward trend
AZO saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 78 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 55 of the 78 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 71%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AZO just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where AZO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
AZO moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AZO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Following a +3.70% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AZO advanced for three days, in 189 of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 101 of 240 cases where AZO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 42%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for AZO moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 67%.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AZO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
AZO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 3 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: AZO's P/B Ratio (-18.398) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (0.719). P/E Ratio (22.196) is within average values for comparable stocks, (40.168). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.318) is also within normal values, averaging (1.494). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.426) is also within normal values, averaging (49.456).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AZO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
ORLY's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ORLY turned positive on November 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where ORLY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
ORLY moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ORLY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
Following a +2.99% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ORLY advanced for three days, in 208 of 383 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 129 of 260 cases where ORLY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 50%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ORLY moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 45%.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ORLY as a result. In 41 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
ORLY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 3 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ORLY's P/B Ratio (-40.317) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (0.719). P/E Ratio (28.953) is within average values for comparable stocks, (40.168). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.620) is also within normal values, averaging (1.494). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.798) is also within normal values, averaging (49.456).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ORLY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
AZO | ORLY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 36 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 3 Undervalued | 3 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 41 | 17 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | 3 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 61 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AZO's Valuation (3) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as ORLY (3). This means that AZO’s stock grew similarly to ORLY’s over the last 12 months.
ORLY's Profit vs Risk Rating (17) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as AZO (41). This means that ORLY’s stock grew similarly to AZO’s over the last 12 months.
ORLY's SMR Rating (3) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for AZO (100). This means that ORLY’s stock grew significantly faster than AZO’s over the last 12 months.
AZO's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as ORLY (49). This means that AZO’s stock grew similarly to ORLY’s over the last 12 months.
AZO's P/E Growth Rating (61) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as ORLY (61). This means that AZO’s stock grew similarly to ORLY’s over the last 12 months.
| AZO | ORLY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 45% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 48% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 56% | 5 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 50% | N/A |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 50% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 42% | 1 day ago 50% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AZO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while ORLY’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- AZO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ORLY’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AZO’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ORLY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AZO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ORLY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AZO (@Auto Parts: OEM) experienced а +5.35% price change this week, while ORLY (@Auto Parts: OEM) price change was +3.88% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Auto Parts: OEM industry was -5.54%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.31%, and the average quarterly price growth was -23.43%.
Reported Earning Dates
AZO is expected to report earnings on Dec 08, 2026.
ORLY is expected to report earnings on Feb 10, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Auto Parts: OEM (-5.54% weekly)OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.
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AZO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AZO has been closely correlated with ORLY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AZO jumps, then ORLY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AZO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZO | 100% | -0.50% | ||
| ORLY - AZO | 78% Closely correlated | -0.92% | ||
| AAP - AZO | 50% Loosely correlated | -5.18% | ||
| GPC - AZO | 38% Loosely correlated | -1.55% | ||
| TSCO - AZO | 34% Loosely correlated | +0.08% | ||
| MUSA - AZO | 34% Loosely correlated | +2.41% | ||
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