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AZO vs ORLY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AutoZone (AZO) vs. O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AZO and ORLY operate in the automotive aftermarket retail sector, with comparable store sales growth serving as a primary performance metric.
- AZO reported fiscal third-quarter results in recent weeks showing solid sales increases but faced post-earnings pressure, contributing to a pullback toward 52-week lows.
- ORLY is scheduled to report second-quarter results shortly, with analysts anticipating year-over-year earnings per share growth amid ongoing sector dynamics.
- Market sentiment for both stocks has been influenced by broader sector rumors, including potential consolidation activity involving competitors.
- Valuation multiples differ notably, with AZO trading at lower price-to-earnings levels compared to ORLY in recent market activity.
- Relative performance in recent weeks reflects shared exposure to consumer spending patterns and supply-chain factors in the auto parts industry.
Introduction
AutoZone (AZO) and O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) represent two leading players in the U.S. automotive aftermarket retail industry. This comparison examines their recent stock behavior, operational metrics, and market positioning to assist institutional investors, portfolio managers, and active traders evaluating sector exposure. The analysis draws on observable financial data and developments from recent market activity to highlight contrasts in performance drivers and risk profiles without forward-looking assumptions.
AZO Overview and Recent Performance
AutoZone (AZO) operates as a specialty retailer of automotive replacement parts and accessories, serving both do-it-yourself consumers and professional installers across domestic and select international markets. In recent weeks, the company released fiscal third-quarter results that included an 8.4% year-over-year increase in net sales to $4.84 billion and a 3.9% rise in total company same-store sales. Earnings per share of $38.07 exceeded analyst estimates, though revenue came in slightly below forecasts, prompting an initial negative market reaction. Additional corporate actions included an expansion of the share repurchase authorization by $1.5 billion and leadership adjustments in finance functions. Stock price activity reflected these updates alongside sector-wide speculation, with shares trading near the lower end of their 52-week range in recent sessions.
ORLY Overview and Recent Performance
O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) functions as a major distributor and retailer of automotive aftermarket products, emphasizing both retail and commercial (do-it-for-me) channels primarily in the United States. Recent market activity has centered on preparations for the second-quarter earnings release scheduled for late July. Analysts project year-over-year earnings per share growth in the range of approximately 9%, supported by revenue expectations near $4.85 billion. Share price movements in recent weeks have mirrored broader sector sentiment, including responses to industry consolidation rumors, resulting in modest declines over one-month and year-to-date periods. The company maintains a focus on comparable store sales and margin management amid fluctuating consumer demand patterns.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AutoZone (AZO) and O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) share core business models as automotive aftermarket retailers yet differ in geographic emphasis, channel mix, and valuation characteristics. AZO maintains a broader international footprint, while ORLY has historically shown strength in commercial segments. Recent momentum for both has been shaped by comparable store sales trends and external factors such as potential industry consolidation. Risk factors include sensitivity to macroeconomic conditions affecting vehicle maintenance spending and competitive pressures. Valuation contrasts stand out, with AZO exhibiting lower trailing price-to-earnings ratios relative to ORLY in recent data. Market sentiment remains tied to sector-specific catalysts rather than company-specific outperformance in the observed period.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, comparable sales momentum, and relative valuation positioning in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI framework would currently assign a probabilistic preference to ORLY for its demonstrated resilience in key operating metrics. AZO presents counterbalancing attributes such as lower multiples and repurchase activity that could support alternative strategies. The assessment remains data-dependent and subject to shifts in broader economic indicators or sector developments.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AZO is a Hold and ORLY is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AZO’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileORLY’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AZO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- ORLY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AZO’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ORLY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AZO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- ORLY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AZO (@Auto Parts: OEM) experienced а +2.10% price change this week, while ORLY (@Auto Parts: OEM) price change was +6.88% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Auto Parts: OEM industry was +4.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.71%.
Reported Earning Dates
AZO is expected to report earnings on Sep 29, 2026.
ORLY is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Auto Parts: OEM (+4.10% weekly)OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.
| AZO | ORLY | AZO / ORLY | |
| Capitalization | 51.1B | 76.3B | 67% |
| EBITDA | 4.28B | 4.1B | 104% |
| Gain YTD | -9.491 | 2.368 | -401% |
| P/E Ratio | 21.51 | 29.69 | 72% |
| Revenue | 20B | 18.2B | 110% |
| Total Cash | 285M | 253M | 113% |
| Total Debt | 12.4B | 8.73B | 142% |
AZO | ORLY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 33 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 96 Overvalued | 98 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 46 | 20 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | 1 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 76 | 75 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AZO's Valuation (96) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as ORLY (98). This means that AZO’s stock grew similarly to ORLY’s over the last 12 months.
ORLY's Profit vs Risk Rating (20) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as AZO (46). This means that ORLY’s stock grew similarly to AZO’s over the last 12 months.
ORLY's SMR Rating (1) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for AZO (100). This means that ORLY’s stock grew significantly faster than AZO’s over the last 12 months.
ORLY's Price Growth Rating (52) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as AZO (62). This means that ORLY’s stock grew similarly to AZO’s over the last 12 months.
ORLY's P/E Growth Rating (75) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as AZO (76). This means that ORLY’s stock grew similarly to AZO’s over the last 12 months.
| AZO | ORLY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 57% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 4 days ago 56% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 48% | 10 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 42% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 38% | N/A |
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AZO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AZO has been closely correlated with ORLY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AZO jumps, then ORLY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AZO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZO | 100% | +0.12% | ||
| ORLY - AZO | 79% Closely correlated | -0.07% | ||
| AAP - AZO | 49% Loosely correlated | -2.79% | ||
| GPC - AZO | 39% Loosely correlated | +1.12% | ||
| TSCO - AZO | 34% Loosely correlated | +2.04% | ||
| MUSA - AZO | 34% Loosely correlated | -7.70% | ||
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ORLY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ORLY has been closely correlated with AZO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ORLY jumps, then AZO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ORLY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORLY | 100% | -0.07% | ||
| AZO - ORLY | 79% Closely correlated | +0.12% | ||
| CPRT - ORLY | 45% Loosely correlated | +0.35% | ||
| AAP - ORLY | 44% Loosely correlated | -2.79% | ||
| LKQ - ORLY | 37% Loosely correlated | +1.49% | ||
| MUSA - ORLY | 36% Loosely correlated | -7.70% | ||
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