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BURL vs ROST
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Burlington Stores (BURL) vs. Ross Stores (ROST) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BURL and ROST operate similar off-price retail models focused on value apparel and home goods amid varying consumer spending patterns.
- ROST delivered stronger recent momentum with Q1 fiscal 2026 results showing 21% sales growth and 17% comparable-store sales increase, prompting an 8.11% stock surge on May 22, 2026.
- BURL trades near recent highs around $324 with upcoming Q1 fiscal 2026 earnings on May 28, 2026, following solid prior-quarter beats and analyst upgrades.
- ROST posted superior year-to-date returns of approximately 30.63% compared to BURL’s 12.35% as of late May 2026.
- Both companies benefit from inventory management strengths in the off-price sector, yet ROST shows more pronounced recent outperformance relative to the S&P 500.
- Market sentiment favors ROST following its earnings beat and raised guidance, while BURL awaits its next catalyst amid stable positioning.
Introduction
BURL and ROST represent leading off-price retailers competing in the value-driven apparel and home goods segment. Investors and traders often compare these stocks to assess relative performance within the consumer discretionary sector, particularly as economic conditions influence discretionary spending. This analysis examines recent price behavior, operational developments, and market positioning to provide a factual basis for understanding their trajectories. Portfolio managers and active traders monitoring retail sector rotation may find the comparison relevant for evaluating momentum and risk factors in the current environment.
BURL Overview and Recent Performance
Burlington Stores, Inc. operates off-price retail stores offering branded apparel, footwear, and home products at discounted prices. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around the $324 level, reflecting modest gains amid broader sector movements. Developments in recent weeks include analyst coverage initiations and upgrades, with some firms noting the company’s earnings prospects. BURL is scheduled to report first-quarter fiscal 2026 results on May 28, 2026. Prior results showed earnings beats, and management has highlighted store expansion plans. Sentiment has been influenced by positioning ahead of earnings and comparisons within the off-price retail group, contributing to measured price stability rather than sharp moves.
ROST Overview and Recent Performance
Ross Stores, Inc. runs a network of off-price stores specializing in apparel, home fashions, and related merchandise at value prices. Recent market activity featured a notable stock advance, with shares closing at $234.81 on May 22, 2026, following an 8.11% gain. The company reported robust first-quarter fiscal 2026 results, including sales of $6.0 billion (up 21%) and comparable-store sales growth of 17%, alongside an earnings-per-share beat. Management raised full-year guidance, supporting positive sentiment. Over recent weeks, ROST has demonstrated stronger relative performance, with year-to-date returns significantly outpacing the broader market and peers in the sector.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both BURL and ROST follow off-price retail business models that emphasize opportunistic inventory purchases and cost-efficient operations, exposing them to similar consumer spending cycles and supply-chain dynamics. Growth drivers differ in emphasis, with ROST recently demonstrating stronger comparable-store sales momentum. In recent market activity, ROST exhibited greater price appreciation and momentum following its earnings release, while BURL has shown more contained movement ahead of its report. Risk factors for both include inventory valuation and macroeconomic pressures on discretionary retail, though ROST’s recent results suggest relatively stronger execution. Sector exposure remains aligned within consumer discretionary off-price retail, yet market sentiment has tilted more favorably toward ROST in the short term based on observable performance differentials and analyst reactions.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency and recent catalysts, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favorable positioning to ROST. The stock’s post-earnings surge, raised guidance, and superior year-to-date returns relative to BURL and the broader market provide measurable support for this assessment. BURL maintains stable fundamentals with an upcoming earnings event that could influence its trajectory. The verdict reflects probabilistic evaluation of relative momentum and stability rather than certainty.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BURL is a Buy and ROST is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BURL’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileROST’s FA Score has 4 green FA rating(s).
- BURL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- ROST’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BURL’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ROST’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BURL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ROST’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
BURL (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) experienced а +1.09% price change this week, while ROST (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) price change was +0.08% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Apparel/Footwear Retail industry was +0.11%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +9.48%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
BURL is expected to report earnings on Aug 20, 2026.
ROST is expected to report earnings on Aug 13, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Apparel/Footwear Retail (+0.11% weekly)Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.
| BURL | ROST | BURL / ROST | |
| Capitalization | 21.4B | 76B | 28% |
| EBITDA | 1.33B | 3.6B | 37% |
| Gain YTD | 17.802 | 32.086 | 55% |
| P/E Ratio | 35.01 | 33.10 | 106% |
| Revenue | 11.9B | 23.8B | 50% |
| Total Cash | 747M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 5.87B | 5.21B | 113% |
BURL | ROST | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 73 | 73 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 94 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 93 | 20 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 24 | 24 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 14 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 30 | 15 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BURL's Valuation (82) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as ROST (94). This means that BURL’s stock grew similarly to ROST’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's Profit vs Risk Rating (20) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is significantly better than the same rating for BURL (93). This means that ROST’s stock grew significantly faster than BURL’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's SMR Rating (24) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BURL (24). This means that ROST’s stock grew similarly to BURL’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's Price Growth Rating (14) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BURL (42). This means that ROST’s stock grew similarly to BURL’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BURL (30). This means that ROST’s stock grew similarly to BURL’s over the last 12 months.
| BURL | ROST | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 45% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 53% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 12 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 68% | 6 days ago 54% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 42% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 67% |
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BURL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BURL has been loosely correlated with ROST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 50% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BURL jumps, then ROST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BURL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BURL | 100% | +0.99% | ||
| ROST - BURL | 50% Loosely correlated | +1.79% | ||
| DBI - BURL | 41% Loosely correlated | -3.32% | ||
| TJX - BURL | 39% Loosely correlated | +0.22% | ||
| BOOT - BURL | 38% Loosely correlated | +2.43% | ||
| CAL - BURL | 35% Loosely correlated | -3.58% | ||
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ROST and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ROST has been loosely correlated with TJX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 56% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ROST jumps, then TJX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ROST | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROST | 100% | +1.79% | ||
| TJX - ROST | 56% Loosely correlated | +0.22% | ||
| BURL - ROST | 50% Loosely correlated | +0.99% | ||
| CAL - ROST | 43% Loosely correlated | -3.58% | ||
| BOOT - ROST | 38% Loosely correlated | +2.43% | ||
| GCO - ROST | 37% Loosely correlated | +0.34% | ||
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