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BURL vs TJX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Burlington Stores (BURL) vs. The TJX Companies (TJX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BURL is posting faster earnings growth, with its 14th consecutive quarter of double-digit EPS (earnings per share) growth, while TJX offers far greater scale, global diversification, and consistent cash returns.
- Both companies are off-price retailers benefiting from consumers trading down, but their recent price behavior has diverged sharply: BURL has pulled back significantly in recent months, while TJX has held up better.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: TJX. The AI currently favors TJX for its trend consistency, stability, and diversified market positioning relative to BURL.
- For deeper coverage, explore BURL Major News and BURL Today's Price Move, plus TJX Major News and TJX Today's Price Move.
- To see how automated systems are positioning across the market, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Off-price retail has been one of the more resilient corners of the consumer economy, and these two names anchor the space from very different positions. BURL (Burlington Stores, Inc.) is a mid-cap, U.S.-focused retailer in an aggressive store-expansion phase, while TJX (The TJX Companies, Inc.) is a large-cap global leader operating banners such as T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods. This stock comparison is relevant for investors weighing faster growth against stability, and for traders tracking relative performance and market positioning within a single sector. The two companies share a business model but diverge on scale, geography, balance-sheet strength, and recent momentum, making them a useful paired study in trade-offs.
BURL Overview and Recent Performance
BURL operates off-price retail focused on branded apparel and home products, primarily in the United States and Puerto Rico. In recent quarters the company has delivered standout earnings growth, reporting a 26% increase in EPS in its fiscal first quarter and a 38% jump in adjusted EPS in its second quarter, while raising full-year EPS guidance to a range implying mid-to-high-teens growth. Management has cited strength in ladies' apparel, beauty, and accessories, supported by improved merchandising and supply-chain productivity.
Despite the strong fundamentals, recent market activity has been punishing. Over recent months the stock has declined substantially, with a three-month drop of roughly 35% at recent levels and a 52-week range well above current trading prices. Sentiment has been pressured by cautious commentary on lower-income consumers, higher fuel costs, and a modest comparable-sales growth rate that lagged internal expectations. Analysts maintain a broadly constructive "Buy" consensus, but the stock's volatility reflects the gap between strong execution and a more uncertain consumer backdrop.
TJX Overview and Recent Performance
TJX is the world's largest off-price retailer, running a diversified portfolio that includes Marmaxx (T.J. Maxx and Marshalls), HomeGoods, TJX Canada, and TJX International (Europe and Australia). Its fiscal first quarter featured 6% comparable-sales growth, a 12.0% pretax profit margin, and EPS up 29% year over year, prompting a full-year guidance raise. The company also increased its share-buyback range and continues to pay a growing dividend.
In more recent results, however, same-store sales at Marmaxx decelerated to roughly 1%, reflecting a pullback among price-sensitive U.S. shoppers, even as HomeGoods, Canada, and international segments posted stronger 6% to 7% growth. The stock has been roughly flat-to-down on the year but remains up double digits over the trailing 52 weeks, a comparatively stable profile. TJX's global reach and cash generation have kept sentiment resilient despite near-term softness in its largest U.S. apparel segment.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron operates hundreds of AI trading bots that collectively trade thousands of different tickers across equities and other markets. Because not every bot is suited to every market environment, Tickeron curates only the strongest performers into its Trending AI Robots section. These featured bots span a wide range of trading styles, strategies, timeframes, performance statistics, and sets of tickers they trade, allowing users to review bots matched to current conditions rather than sifting through the full catalog. The section highlights measurable performance data so readers can evaluate consistency and drawdowns before acting. For traders interested in how algorithmic systems are currently positioning across names like these, exploring the Trending AI Robots page is a practical next step.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast is growth versus scale. BURL is in an earlier expansion phase, adding dozens of net new stores each quarter and converting that unit growth into outsized EPS gains. TJX is a mature global operator with more than 5,000 stores, meaning its growth is steadier but structurally slower. On risk factors, BURL carries a single-country concentration and a higher degree of stock-price volatility, while TJX spreads exposure across North America, Europe, and Australia and returns cash through both buybacks and dividends. In terms of recent momentum, BURL has seen its shares decline sharply despite strong earnings, whereas TJX has held a more stable relative performance even amid a softer U.S. apparel trend. Sector exposure is similar—both depend on continued availability of branded merchandise and consumer demand for value—but the balance-sheet and diversification gap favors the larger company.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Weighing trend consistency, stability, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI currently leans toward TJX. While BURL offers a more compelling earnings-growth trajectory, its sharp recent drawdown and higher volatility weaken its trend profile in a model that prioritizes stability. TJX combines a steadier price trend, diversified revenue streams, consistent shareholder returns, and resilience across its international and home categories, even as its core U.S. apparel segment cools. This assessment is probabilistic and based on observable factors rather than a guarantee of future performance; conditions can shift, and the relative ranking of these two names should be reviewed as new data emerges.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BURL is a StrongBuy and TJX is a Hold.
Momentum Indicator for BURL turns positive, indicating new upward trend
BURL saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on November 09, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 94 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 76 of the 94 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where BURL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BURL just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where BURL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Following a +8.21% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BURL advanced for three days, in 219 of 305 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
BURL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 63 cases where BURL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
BURL moved below its 50-day moving average on November 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BURL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
The Aroon Indicator for BURL entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. BURL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 73 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: BURL's P/B Ratio (7.741) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.858). P/E Ratio (21.722) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.576). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.955) is also within normal values, averaging (0.517). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.067) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.212) is also within normal values, averaging (0.652).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BURL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.
TJX sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
TJX saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 27, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 23 of the 45 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 51%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TJX moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 13 of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 34%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 27, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TJX as a result. In 33 of 72 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 46%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TJX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 37%.
TJX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
TJX moved above its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TJX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Following a +1.92% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TJX advanced for three days, in 193 of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 164 of 292 cases where TJX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 56%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TJX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 93 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TJX's P/B Ratio (13.973) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.858). P/E Ratio (24.735) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.576). TJX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.543) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.517). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.067) among similar stocks. TJX's P/S Ratio (2.210) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.652).
BURL | TJX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 80 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | 93 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 25 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 25 | 18 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 71 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 83 | 77 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BURL's Valuation (73) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as TJX (93). This means that BURL’s stock grew similarly to TJX’s over the last 12 months.
TJX's Profit vs Risk Rating (25) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is significantly better than the same rating for BURL (100). This means that TJX’s stock grew significantly faster than BURL’s over the last 12 months.
TJX's SMR Rating (18) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BURL (25). This means that TJX’s stock grew similarly to BURL’s over the last 12 months.
TJX's Price Growth Rating (60) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BURL (71). This means that TJX’s stock grew similarly to BURL’s over the last 12 months.
TJX's P/E Growth Rating (77) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BURL (83). This means that TJX’s stock grew similarly to BURL’s over the last 12 months.
| BURL | TJX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 34% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 46% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 39% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 38% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 72% | 26 days ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 37% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 3 days ago 45% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 56% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BURL’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while TJX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- BURL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TJX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BURL’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TJX’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BURL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TJX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BURL (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) experienced а +0.44% price change this week, while TJX (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) price change was -1.54% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Apparel/Footwear Retail industry was -3.42%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.35%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.93%.
Reported Earning Dates
BURL is expected to report earnings on Nov 24, 2026.
TJX is expected to report earnings on Nov 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Apparel/Footwear Retail (-3.42% weekly)Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.
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BURL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BURL has been loosely correlated with ROST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BURL jumps, then ROST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BURL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BURL | 100% | -1.72% | ||
| ROST - BURL | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.67% | ||
| TJX - BURL | 50% Loosely correlated | +0.01% | ||
| DBI - BURL | 41% Loosely correlated | -2.72% | ||
| CAL - BURL | 37% Loosely correlated | -1.86% | ||
| BOOT - BURL | 37% Loosely correlated | -1.34% | ||
More | ||||
TJX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TJX has been loosely correlated with BURL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 50% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TJX jumps, then BURL could also see price increases.