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BWXT vs MRCY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BWX Technologies (BWXT) vs. Mercury Systems (MRCY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BWX Technologies (BWXT) specializes in nuclear components and naval propulsion systems, while Mercury Systems (MRCY) focuses on aerospace and defense electronics and mission-critical subsystems.
- Both companies operate in the broader aerospace and defense sector and stand to benefit from sustained government spending on national security and advanced technologies.
- BWXT has demonstrated stronger long-term stock returns compared with MRCY over multi-year periods amid consistent demand for its nuclear capabilities.
- Recent market activity shows BWXT trading near multi-month highs ahead of its quarterly results, whereas MRCY has experienced more volatile price swings following prior earnings reports.
- Key differentiators include BWXT’s exposure to commercial nuclear and environmental restoration alongside defense work, versus MRCY’s emphasis on open-architecture electronics and signal processing for multiple platforms.
- Upcoming earnings releases provide near-term catalysts that could influence relative momentum for both equities.
Introduction
This comparison examines BWXT and MRCY to help investors and traders evaluate two specialized players in the aerospace and defense industry. The analysis highlights differences in business models, recent price behavior, and market positioning within a sector supported by ongoing defense budgets. Portfolio managers, sector-focused traders, and investors seeking exposure to nuclear and electronics technologies may find the relative performance and risk profiles useful when assessing allocation decisions in the current environment.
BWX Technologies Overview and Recent Performance
BWX Technologies, Inc. (BWXT) provides nuclear solutions, including precision components and reactors for naval vessels, commercial nuclear power, and environmental services. The company maintains a leading position in U.S. naval nuclear propulsion and supplies fuel and components for clean energy applications. In recent market activity, BWXT shares have shown resilience, trading near elevated levels as investors anticipate the company’s second-quarter 2026 results. Broader defense and nuclear demand, along with analyst attention on revenue growth forecasts, have supported sentiment. Year-to-date performance has been relatively stable compared with broader market indices, while longer-term returns reflect sustained operational execution in its core government and commercial segments.
Mercury Systems Overview and Recent Performance
Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) develops secure, high-performance electronics, signal processing modules, and subsystems primarily for aerospace and defense applications. Its open-architecture solutions support radar, electronic warfare, and embedded computing needs across air, sea, land, and space platforms. Recent market activity for MRCY has featured price fluctuations following earlier earnings beats and subsequent adjustments in analyst estimates. The stock has recorded gains over multi-year horizons but has also experienced pullbacks amid sector rotation and company-specific updates. Upcoming fourth-quarter and full-year fiscal 2026 results scheduled for mid-August represent a near-term focus point that could shape short-term momentum.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BWXT operates with a vertically integrated nuclear manufacturing model that combines defense contracts with commercial nuclear and environmental restoration revenue streams, offering diversification within the broader energy and security sectors. In contrast, MRCY concentrates on modular electronics and processing technologies, positioning it as a supplier to multiple prime contractors across platforms. Growth drivers for BWXT include naval modernization and clean-energy initiatives, while MRCY benefits from demand for advanced signal processing and open systems architectures. Recent momentum has favored BWXT in relative stability, whereas MRCY has shown greater sensitivity to quarterly results and estimate revisions. Risk factors for both include execution on large contracts and shifts in federal budgets, though BWXT’s multi-segment exposure may provide a buffer compared with MRCY’s more concentrated electronics focus. Market sentiment remains constructive for the sector overall, with each company’s positioning reflecting distinct trade-offs between scale in nuclear systems and agility in electronics subsystems.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings visibility, and relative positioning within defense supply chains, Tickeron’s AI models may currently assign a modest preference to BWXT. The company’s broader revenue base and established role in naval nuclear programs have contributed to steadier performance patterns in recent periods. MRCY presents compelling opportunities tied to electronics demand but carries higher variability around results. Any edge remains probabilistic and subject to new data from upcoming earnings releases and sector developments.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BWXT is a Buy and MRCY is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BWXT’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileMRCY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- BWXT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- MRCY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BWXT’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MRCY’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BWXT’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- MRCY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BWXT (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +2.54% price change this week, while MRCY (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +3.91% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +3.57%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.89%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.44%.
Reported Earning Dates
BWXT is expected to report earnings on Nov 09, 2026.
MRCY is expected to report earnings on Aug 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+3.57% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| BWXT | MRCY | BWXT / MRCY | |
| Capitalization | 15.6B | 6.59B | 237% |
| EBITDA | 569M | 88.4M | 644% |
| Gain YTD | 0.110 | 52.911 | 0% |
| P/E Ratio | 44.13 | N/A | - |
| Revenue | 3.38B | 967M | 349% |
| Total Cash | 512M | 332M | 154% |
| Total Debt | 2.02B | 654M | 309% |
BWXT | MRCY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 41 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 92 Overvalued | 98 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 34 | 47 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 35 | 92 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 73 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 72 | 2 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 42 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BWXT's Valuation (92) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as MRCY (98) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that BWXT’s stock grew similarly to MRCY’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's Profit vs Risk Rating (34) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as MRCY (47) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that BWXT’s stock grew similarly to MRCY’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's SMR Rating (35) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MRCY (92) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that BWXT’s stock grew somewhat faster than MRCY’s over the last 12 months.
MRCY's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BWXT (73) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that MRCY’s stock grew somewhat faster than BWXT’s over the last 12 months.
MRCY's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is significantly better than the same rating for BWXT (72) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that MRCY’s stock grew significantly faster than BWXT’s over the last 12 months.
| BWXT | MRCY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 55% | 16 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 59% |
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BWXT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BWXT has been closely correlated with CW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BWXT jumps, then CW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BWXT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BWXT | 100% | +1.68% | ||
| CW - BWXT | 75% Closely correlated | +2.51% | ||
| AIR - BWXT | 59% Loosely correlated | +1.86% | ||
| KRMN - BWXT | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.05% | ||
| GE - BWXT | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.74% | ||
| HWM - BWXT | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.10% | ||
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MRCY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MRCY has been loosely correlated with CW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MRCY jumps, then CW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MRCY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRCY | 100% | +2.28% | ||
| CW - MRCY | 59% Loosely correlated | +2.51% | ||
| KTOS - MRCY | 57% Loosely correlated | +0.14% | ||
| BWXT - MRCY | 55% Loosely correlated | +1.68% | ||
| DRS - MRCY | 55% Loosely correlated | +1.14% | ||
| KRMN - MRCY | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.05% | ||
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