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CW vs MRCY
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CW is a Hold and MRCY is a Hold.
CW in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on October 07, 2026
CW may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 28 of 36 cases where CW's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CW just turned positive on October 16, 2026. Looking at past instances where CW's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Following a +0.37% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CW advanced for three days, in 258 of 377 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CW as a result. In 51 of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CW declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
The Aroon Indicator for CW entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 63 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.097) is normal, around the industry mean (6.305). P/E Ratio (36.639) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.116). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.650) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). Dividend Yield (0.002) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.811) is also within normal values, averaging (18.330).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. CW’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
MRCY sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for MRCY moved below the 200-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MRCY as a result. In 64 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MRCY turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 77%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MRCY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
The Aroon Indicator for MRCY entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for MRCY's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.25% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MRCY advanced for three days, in 223 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
MRCY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 32 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MRCY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 96 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.256) is normal, around the industry mean (6.305). MRCY's P/E Ratio (714.286) is considerably higher than the industry average of (58.116). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.788) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.274) is also within normal values, averaging (18.330).
CW | MRCY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 10 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 63 Fair valued | 96 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 36 | 65 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 47 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 78 | 75 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 2 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 32 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CW's Valuation (63) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MRCY (96) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that CW’s stock grew somewhat faster than MRCY’s over the last 12 months.
CW's Profit vs Risk Rating (36) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as MRCY (65) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that CW’s stock grew similarly to MRCY’s over the last 12 months.
CW's SMR Rating (47) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MRCY (91) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that CW’s stock grew somewhat faster than MRCY’s over the last 12 months.
MRCY's Price Growth Rating (75) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as CW (78) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that MRCY’s stock grew similarly to CW’s over the last 12 months.
MRCY's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CW (61) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that MRCY’s stock grew somewhat faster than CW’s over the last 12 months.
| CW | MRCY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 16 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 50% | 4 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 61% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CW’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while MRCY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CW’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- MRCY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CW’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MRCY’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CW’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- MRCY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CW (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -2.01% price change this week, while MRCY (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -6.57% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -6.91%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -13.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was -21.54%.
Reported Earning Dates
CW is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
MRCY is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (-6.91% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
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CW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CW has been closely correlated with BWXT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CW jumps, then BWXT could also see price increases.