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CW vs MRCY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) vs. Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CW boasts a year-to-date gain of 29.41%, significantly outpacing MRCY's 7.59%.
- CW trades at a trailing P/E of 55.54 with positive EPS of $12.84 (TTM), while MRCY has negative EPS of -$0.52 (TTM).
- Both companies operate in the aerospace and defense sector, benefiting from increased defense spending, but CW offers broader diversification into nuclear power and industrial markets.
- CW's market cap stands at $26.32B, dwarfing MRCY's $4.71B, reflecting greater scale and stability.
- Recent market activity shows CW with strong backlog growth and analyst price target upgrades, while MRCY faces profitability challenges despite revenue beats.
- Tickeron's AI tools highlight momentum in related sectors like space and industrials, aligning with both stocks' exposure.
Introduction
Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) and Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) are key players in the aerospace and defense sector, providing critical technologies amid rising global defense budgets and geopolitical tensions. This stock comparison analyzes their recent market performance, financial health, and positioning, offering insights for investors tracking defense spending trends and sector rotation opportunities. Traders focused on momentum and stability in industrials and technology subsectors may find value in evaluating their relative strengths in the current environment.
CW Overview and Recent Performance
Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) designs and manufactures engineered products and services for aerospace & defense, commercial nuclear power, and industrial markets. Its segments include Aerospace & Industrial, Defense Electronics, and Naval & Power, encompassing sensors, controls, embedded computing, and nuclear technologies. In recent market activity, CW has demonstrated robust momentum, with shares trading around $713 and a market cap of $26.32B. Year-to-date performance stands at 29.41%, driven by a strong Q4 FY2025 earnings beat (EPS $3.79 vs. estimate $3.66) and positive full-year outlook reflecting higher sales and EPS growth. Sentiment has been bolstered by backlog expansion, analyst upgrades (e.g., targets up to $823), and outperformance versus aerospace peers, amid favorable defense contract visibility.
MRCY Overview and Recent Performance
Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY) is a technology firm specializing in components, modules, and subsystems for defense primes, OEMs, and aerospace applications, including power amplifiers, embedded processing, and radar simulation systems. Shares recently hover near $78.55, with a market cap of $4.71B. Recent weeks have seen mixed results, with YTD gains of 7.59% following a Q2 FY2026 revenue beat at $232.87M, though trailing twelve-month EPS remains negative at -$0.52. Performance reflects sector tailwinds but pressure from profitability concerns, as highlighted by a recent analyst hold rating with a lowered price target. Upcoming earnings are anticipated to shed light on execution amid competitive dynamics in defense electronics.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CW and MRCY both leverage aerospace and defense exposure, but differ in business models: CW's diversified portfolio across nuclear and industrial applications provides revenue stability, while MRCY concentrates on specialized electronics subsystems, heightening sensitivity to defense program funding. Growth drivers include sustained U.S. defense budgets, with CW showing superior recent momentum (1-year return 103.95% vs. 57.01%) and backlog strength. Risk factors for CW involve elevated valuation (P/E 55.54), contrasted by MRCY's negative earnings and higher volatility. Market sentiment favors CW amid broader industrials rotation, positioning it ahead in relative performance.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI analysis leans toward CW in the current environment, citing consistent upward trends, profitability, expanding backlog, and stronger relative positioning versus MRCY. Factors like superior YTD gains and analyst momentum suggest higher probability of near-term outperformance, though both benefit from sector catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CW is a Hold and MRCY is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CW’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileMRCY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MRCY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CW’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MRCY’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CW’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
- MRCY’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CW (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +0.88% price change this week, while MRCY (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +11.27% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +2.07%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.71%, and the average quarterly price growth was +45.34%.
Reported Earning Dates
CW is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
MRCY is expected to report earnings on Aug 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+2.07% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| CW | MRCY | CW / MRCY | |
| Capitalization | 27.2B | 5.54B | 491% |
| EBITDA | 818M | 88.4M | 925% |
| Gain YTD | 33.436 | 26.435 | 126% |
| P/E Ratio | 53.87 | N/A | - |
| Revenue | 3.61B | 967M | 373% |
| Total Cash | 343M | 332M | 103% |
| Total Debt | 1.15B | 654M | 176% |
CW | MRCY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 68 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 72 Overvalued | 98 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 3 | 81 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 16 | 2 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CW's Valuation (72) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as MRCY (98) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that CW’s stock grew similarly to MRCY’s over the last 12 months.
CW's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is significantly better than the same rating for MRCY (81) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that CW’s stock grew significantly faster than MRCY’s over the last 12 months.
CW's SMR Rating (46) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MRCY (91) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that CW’s stock grew somewhat faster than MRCY’s over the last 12 months.
MRCY's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as CW (42) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that MRCY’s stock grew similarly to CW’s over the last 12 months.
MRCY's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as CW (16) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that MRCY’s stock grew similarly to CW’s over the last 12 months.
| CW | MRCY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 87% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 47% | 9 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 62% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| DCRE | 51.78 | -0.04 | -0.08% |
| DoubleLine Commercial Real Estt Dbt ETF | |||
| DIPS | 39.03 | -0.10 | -0.25% |
| YieldMax Short NVDA Option Inc Strgy ETF | |||
| DVQQ | 31.02 | -0.27 | -0.85% |
| WEBs QQQ Defined Volatility ETF | |||
| FNDC | 49.88 | -0.73 | -1.44% |
| Schwab Fundamental International SmEqETF | |||
| FCUS | 44.69 | -0.99 | -2.17% |
| Pinnacle Focused Opportunities ETF | |||
CW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CW has been closely correlated with BWXT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CW jumps, then BWXT could also see price increases.
MRCY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MRCY has been loosely correlated with KTOS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MRCY jumps, then KTOS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MRCY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRCY | 100% | +0.39% | ||
| KTOS - MRCY | 57% Loosely correlated | +0.60% | ||
| CW - MRCY | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.93% | ||
| KRMN - MRCY | 51% Loosely correlated | +6.22% | ||
| BWXT - MRCY | 50% Loosely correlated | -1.88% | ||
| DRS - MRCY | 47% Loosely correlated | +3.30% | ||
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