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CARR vs IR
Which Stock Would AI Trading Bots Favor? Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) vs. Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CARR shares have shown stronger recent momentum, with YTD gains around 22-24% compared to IR's approximately -4% YTD decline.
- Both companies reported Q1 2026 earnings beats, with CARR revenue at $5.34B (up 2% YoY) and adjusted EPS of $0.57, while IR posted $1.85B revenue (up 8%) and adjusted EPS of $0.77.
- CARR benefits from surging data center orders (up over 500%), boosting commercial HVAC demand, whereas IR faces organic revenue headwinds from delayed projects.
- Market caps stand at ~$54B for CARR and ~$30B for IR, reflecting scale differences in the industrials sector.
- Recent price action shows CARR up ~15-18% over the past month amid positive analyst upgrades, while IR has softened ~2-4% monthly.
- Tickeron's AI bots highlight industrials strength, with some strategies posting up to 93% annualized returns in related tickers.
Introduction
Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) and Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) operate in the industrials sector, focusing on mission-critical equipment for climate control and industrial applications. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, business drivers, and market positioning amid evolving economic conditions. Traders seeking exposure to HVAC (heating, ventilation, and air conditioning) and compression technologies, as well as investors tracking industrials relative performance, will find value in understanding their contrasts—such as growth catalysts like data centers versus project delays. Both stocks offer insights into sector resilience, with recent earnings highlighting operational strengths and challenges in a volatile market.
CARR Overview and Recent Performance
Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) is a leading provider of intelligent climate and energy solutions, including HVAC systems, heat pumps, and refrigeration for residential, commercial, and transport uses across global markets. In recent market activity, CARR shares have demonstrated robust momentum, trading around $64-66 with YTD returns of 22-24%, outperforming broader indices. The stock surged post-Q1 2026 earnings, where revenue reached $5.34 billion (up 2% YoY, beating estimates), driven by a 3% FX tailwind offsetting 1% organic decline, and adjusted EPS of $0.57 exceeded forecasts by 12%. Key sentiment drivers include data center orders skyrocketing over 500%, fully backing expected 2026 sales, alongside 11% total orders growth and 35% in commercial HVAC. Analyst upgrades followed, with price targets raised to $75-85, reflecting optimism on backlog strength and margin potential despite capacity absorption issues. Trading volume has averaged 7 million shares, underscoring heightened interest in its positioning for energy-efficient demand.
IR Overview and Recent Performance
Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) delivers mission-critical flow creation products, including compressors, pumps, and tools for industrial, energy, medical, and specialty vehicle applications through over 40 brands worldwide. Recent weeks have seen IR shares hover near $75-76, with YTD performance down around 4-5% amid broader industrials softening, though 1-year returns remain flat to slightly positive. Q1 2026 results topped expectations, with revenue of $1.85 billion (up 8% YoY) from acquisitions and EMEIA/Asia growth offsetting flat Americas, adjusted EBITDA at $469 million (25.4% margin), and adjusted EPS of $0.77 up 7%. Net income rose to $192 million. Influences include strategic buys like Scinomix ($46.7M) for metering enhancements, robust $200 million operating cash flow, and a strong backlog, tempered by slight organic declines from project delays and tariff impacts. Free cash flow hit $163 million, supporting buybacks, while analyst sentiment remains steady on execution excellence.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CARR and IR share industrials sector exposure but diverge in business models: CARR emphasizes climate solutions with heavy HVAC focus, while IR centers on compression and flow technologies for broader industrial uses. Growth drivers contrast sharply—CARR's data center boom provides clear catalysts, versus IR's acquisition-fueled expansion amid organic softness. Recent momentum favors CARR (monthly gains ~15% vs. IR's ~ -3%), with superior YTD positioning. Risk factors include CARR's margin pressures from under-absorption and IR's project delays/tariffs; both carry betas above 1.1, signaling volatility. Market sentiment tilts toward CARR via upgrades, though IR offers cash flow stability. Trade-offs pit CARR's scale/market cap edge against IR's diversified end-markets.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI analysis currently leans toward CARR due to superior trend consistency, YTD outperformance, explosive data center catalysts, and stronger recent orders/momentum relative to IR. While IR shows acquisition-driven stability and cash generation, CARR's positioning in high-growth HVAC aligns better with industrials bots' success (e.g., 70-93% returns in peers). Probabilistic edge favors CARR for near-term relative strength, though both warrant monitoring amid sector volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CARR is a Hold and IR is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CARR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileIR’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CARR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- IR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CARR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while IR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CARR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
- IR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CARR (@Building Products) experienced а -3.23% price change this week, while IR (@Industrial Machinery) price change was -7.10% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Building Products industry was -1.29%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +13.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.65%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was -1.68%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
CARR is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
IR is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Building Products (-1.29% weekly)The industry manufactures products used in the construction of residential and commercial buildings. The process involves using materials and other products, and processing them to create finished items such as doors, windows, light fittings, floor coverings, climate control products and other building components and home improvement products. Masco Corporation, Allegion PLC and Lennox International Inc. are major manufacturers of such products.
@Industrial Machinery (-1.68% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
| CARR | IR | CARR / IR | |
| Capitalization | 53.7B | 27.5B | 195% |
| EBITDA | 3.16B | 1.69B | 187% |
| Gain YTD | 23.351 | -11.152 | -209% |
| P/E Ratio | 43.11 | 47.53 | 91% |
| Revenue | 21.9B | 7.78B | 281% |
| Total Cash | 1.37B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 12.6B | 4.84B | 260% |
CARR | IR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 88 | 63 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 64 Fair valued | 80 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 54 | 68 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 71 | 83 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 64 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 33 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CARR's Valuation (64) in the null industry is in the same range as IR (80) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that CARR’s stock grew similarly to IR’s over the last 12 months.
CARR's Profit vs Risk Rating (54) in the null industry is in the same range as IR (68) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that CARR’s stock grew similarly to IR’s over the last 12 months.
CARR's SMR Rating (71) in the null industry is in the same range as IR (83) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that CARR’s stock grew similarly to IR’s over the last 12 months.
CARR's Price Growth Rating (48) in the null industry is in the same range as IR (64) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that CARR’s stock grew similarly to IR’s over the last 12 months.
IR's P/E Growth Rating (33) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as CARR (62) in the null industry. This means that IR’s stock grew similarly to CARR’s over the last 12 months.
| CARR | IR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 74% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 62% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 12 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 63% | 5 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 72% |
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CARR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CARR has been closely correlated with IR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CARR jumps, then IR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CARR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARR | 100% | -3.09% | ||
| IR - CARR | 76% Closely correlated | -2.05% | ||
| LII - CARR | 74% Closely correlated | -2.80% | ||
| TT - CARR | 60% Loosely correlated | -3.13% | ||
| BXC - CARR | 58% Loosely correlated | -3.20% | ||
| JCI - CARR | 55% Loosely correlated | -1.34% | ||
More | ||||
IR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IR has been closely correlated with JCI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IR jumps, then JCI could also see price increases.