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CARR vs IR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Carrier Global (CARR) vs. Ingersoll Rand (IR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CARR has delivered stronger year-to-date returns of approximately 31.85% compared to IR’s 6.59% as of late July 2026, reflecting greater momentum in building solutions demand.
- Both companies operate in adjacent industrial segments, with CARR focused on HVAC and refrigeration systems and IR emphasizing air compressors and power tools, creating distinct yet overlapping exposure to manufacturing and infrastructure spending.
- CARR trades at a lower price-to-earnings multiple than IR, potentially offering relative value amid differing growth profiles.
- IR maintains a more conservative earnings growth outlook for the near term, with Q2 revenue expected to rise 3.8% year-over-year ahead of its July 30 report.
- Recent market activity shows CARR exhibiting higher volatility, with a 1-month decline of about 6.4% following earlier gains, while IR has shown steadier but lower returns.
- Sector sentiment for both remains tied to industrial capital expenditures, though CARR benefits from additional tailwinds in energy-efficient building technologies.
Introduction
Carrier Global (CARR) and Ingersoll Rand (IR) represent two prominent players in the broader industrial and building technologies sectors. This comparison examines their relative performance, business models, and positioning amid current market conditions, providing insights relevant to investors and traders evaluating industrial equities. The analysis draws on observable metrics such as recent returns, upcoming earnings catalysts, and sector dynamics to highlight trade-offs between the two names. Market participants seeking exposure to infrastructure spending, energy efficiency trends, or manufacturing cycles may find this side-by-side review useful for portfolio construction and relative value assessment.
CARR Overview and Recent Performance
Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) provides heating, ventilation, air conditioning (HVAC), and refrigeration solutions for commercial and residential markets. In recent market activity, shares have shown resilience with year-to-date gains near 31.85% as of late July 2026, significantly outpacing the S&P 500’s 8.28% return over the same period. The stock has traded in a range influenced by broader industrial demand and company-specific updates on building efficiency initiatives. Recent weeks reflect some consolidation, including a roughly 6.4% pullback over the prior month, following earlier advances driven by positive sentiment around energy-efficient systems. Upcoming second-quarter results scheduled for July 28 offer a near-term catalyst, with analysts anticipating moderated earnings growth relative to prior periods.
IR Overview and Recent Performance
Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) manufactures air and gas compressors, power tools, and related industrial equipment serving diverse end markets. Shares have posted more modest year-to-date returns of approximately 6.59% through late July 2026, trailing broader market benchmarks. Performance in recent market activity has been characterized by relative stability, with the company guiding full-year adjusted earnings per share between $3.45 and $3.57. Second-quarter results, due July 30, are projected to show revenue growth of 3.8% year-over-year to around $1.96 billion. Sentiment has been supported by consistent demand in industrial technologies, though the stock has traded within a narrower band compared with peers amid varying macroeconomic signals.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CARR and IR differ in primary end-market focus, with CARR emphasizing building climate control systems and IR centering on compressed air and fluid management technologies. Growth drivers for CARR include secular demand for sustainable HVAC upgrades, while IR benefits from manufacturing and infrastructure maintenance cycles. Recent momentum favors CARR on a year-to-date basis, though IR exhibits lower volatility in price action. Risk factors encompass supply-chain sensitivities for both, with CARR additionally exposed to construction spending fluctuations and IR to broader industrial capital expenditure trends. Sector exposure overlaps in industrials, yet CARR carries greater weighting toward commercial real estate recovery themes. Market sentiment reflects CARR’s stronger relative performance amid efficiency-driven narratives, contrasted with IR’s steadier but less pronounced gains.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to CARR over IR. Stronger year-to-date momentum and sector tailwinds in energy-efficient solutions provide a clearer signal of sustained interest, though upcoming earnings outcomes for both names introduce potential variability. IR demonstrates greater earnings stability in guidance, which could support outperformance in more defensive market scenarios. The assessment remains probabilistic and contingent on evolving data rather than a definitive ranking.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CARR is a StrongBuy and IR is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CARR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileIR’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- CARR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- IR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CARR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while IR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CARR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- IR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CARR (@Building Products) experienced а +3.56% price change this week, while IR (@Industrial Machinery) price change was +4.31% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Building Products industry was +36.74%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +16.51%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1.87%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was +1.37%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.77%.
Reported Earning Dates
CARR is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
IR is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Building Products (+36.74% weekly)The industry manufactures products used in the construction of residential and commercial buildings. The process involves using materials and other products, and processing them to create finished items such as doors, windows, light fittings, floor coverings, climate control products and other building components and home improvement products. Masco Corporation, Allegion PLC and Lennox International Inc. are major manufacturers of such products.
@Industrial Machinery (+1.37% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
| CARR | IR | CARR / IR | |
| Capitalization | 52.8B | 33.7B | 157% |
| EBITDA | 3.08B | 2B | 154% |
| Gain YTD | 22.531 | 9.838 | 229% |
| P/E Ratio | 45.72 | 35.94 | 127% |
| Revenue | 22.1B | 7.94B | 278% |
| Total Cash | 1.34B | 1.17B | 114% |
| Total Debt | 12.4B | 4.83B | 257% |
CARR | IR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 18 | 33 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 32 Undervalued | 66 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 66 | 50 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 76 | 75 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 32 | 89 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CARR's Valuation (32) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IR (66) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that CARR’s stock grew somewhat faster than IR’s over the last 12 months.
IR's Profit vs Risk Rating (50) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as CARR (66) in the null industry. This means that IR’s stock grew similarly to CARR’s over the last 12 months.
IR's SMR Rating (75) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as CARR (76) in the null industry. This means that IR’s stock grew similarly to CARR’s over the last 12 months.
IR's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as CARR (59) in the null industry. This means that IR’s stock grew similarly to CARR’s over the last 12 months.
CARR's P/E Growth Rating (32) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IR (89) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that CARR’s stock grew somewhat faster than IR’s over the last 12 months.
| CARR | IR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 56% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 68% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 65% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 65% | 6 days ago 66% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 65% | 4 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 50% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 64% |
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IR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IR has been closely correlated with JCI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IR jumps, then JCI could also see price increases.