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IR vs ITW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) vs. Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ITW boasts a larger market capitalization of approximately $77.6 billion compared to IR's $33 billion, reflecting greater scale in the industrials sector.
- Year-to-date (YTD), ITW has outperformed with a gain of about 9.3-10%, while IR is up around 5.8%.
- ITW trades at a more attractive price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 25.7 versus IR's elevated 57.8, suggesting relative value.
- Recent dividend actions highlight stability: ITW raised its payout by 7%, extending a 50-year streak, while IR maintained its quarterly dividend.
- Over the past month, IR showed stronger momentum with an 8.9% gain compared to ITW's 5.1%, amid pre-earnings positioning.
- Both stocks face upcoming Q1 earnings scrutiny, with analysts forecasting growth for each in the current industrial cycle.
Introduction
In the competitive industrials sector, IR and ITW represent distinct approaches to manufacturing and engineering solutions. IR, focused on compression technologies, appeals to growth-oriented traders eyeing industrial recovery plays. Meanwhile, ITW, a diversified conglomerate, attracts value investors seeking defensive stability amid market volatility. This stock comparison analyzes recent performance, financial metrics, and market positioning to aid traders and investors in evaluating relative opportunities in today's environment, where economic cycles and sector rotations influence industrials' trajectories.
IR Overview and Recent Performance
Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) specializes in mission-critical flow creation products, including air compressors and pumps for industrial applications. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around $84, within a 52-week range of $72.45 to $100.96. Over the past month, shares gained approximately 8.9%, outperforming broader indices, though year-to-date returns stand at about 5.8%. Sentiment has been shaped by anticipation for Q1 2026 earnings on April 28, with expected earnings per share (EPS) of $0.74 and revenue of $1.83 billion, alongside a recent quarterly dividend declaration. Analyst price targets average near $99, but recent adjustments reflect cautious outlooks amid industrial demand fluctuations.
ITW Overview and Recent Performance
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) operates a diversified portfolio across seven segments, including automotive, food equipment, and welding products. Shares recently hovered near $269, with a 52-week range of $228.76 to $303.16. The stock posted a 5.1% monthly gain and 9.3% year-to-date, demonstrating resilience in recent weeks. Key influences include a 7% dividend increase for 2026, marking 50 consecutive years of raises, bolstering its defensive appeal. Upcoming Q1 earnings are anticipated to show growth, with analysts viewing ITW as a stable pick amid sector headwinds, supported by a lower beta of 0.81 indicating reduced volatility.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both IR and ITW thrive in industrials but diverge in focus: IR emphasizes specialized compression systems for growth in end-markets like energy, while ITW's broad diversification across consumer and specialty segments provides ballast against cyclical risks. Growth drivers favor IR's exposure to infrastructure spending, contrasting ITW's mature, cash-generative model. Recent momentum tilts to IR monthly, but ITW leads YTD with steadier returns and superior margins. Risk profiles differ, with ITW's lower P/E and dividend yield offering value and income trade-offs over IR's higher valuation amid earnings volatility. Market sentiment positions ITW as defensive in uncertain times, while IR suits momentum plays.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward ITW based on superior relative stability, YTD performance, attractive valuation, and proven dividend growth amid industrial sector rotations. While IR offers momentum potential pre-earnings, ITW's risk-adjusted positioning and catalysts suggest higher probability of outperformance in the near term, subject to market dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IR is a StrongBuy and ITW is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IR’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileITW’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- IR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ITW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ITW’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- IR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- ITW’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
IR (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а +2.42% price change this week, while ITW (@Industrial Machinery) price change was +1.86% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was +1.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.62%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.30%.
Reported Earning Dates
IR is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
ITW is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (+1.88% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
| IR | ITW | IR / ITW | |
| Capitalization | 29B | 74.1B | 39% |
| EBITDA | 1.69B | 4.74B | 36% |
| Gain YTD | -6.543 | 5.180 | -126% |
| P/E Ratio | 50.00 | 23.90 | 209% |
| Revenue | 7.78B | 16.2B | 48% |
| Total Cash | 1.27B | 827M | 154% |
| Total Debt | 4.84B | 9.15B | 53% |
IR | ITW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 32 | 10 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 70 Overvalued | 19 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 62 | 59 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 84 | 12 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 32 | 43 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ITW's Valuation (19) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for IR (70) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that ITW’s stock grew somewhat faster than IR’s over the last 12 months.
ITW's Profit vs Risk Rating (59) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as IR (62) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that ITW’s stock grew similarly to IR’s over the last 12 months.
ITW's SMR Rating (12) in the Industrial Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for IR (84) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that ITW’s stock grew significantly faster than IR’s over the last 12 months.
ITW's Price Growth Rating (53) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as IR (59) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry. This means that ITW’s stock grew similarly to IR’s over the last 12 months.
IR's P/E Growth Rating (32) in the Industrial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as ITW (43) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that IR’s stock grew similarly to ITW’s over the last 12 months.
| IR | ITW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 43% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 56% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 52% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 50% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 49% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 27 days ago 57% | 14 days ago 41% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 42% |
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IR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IR has been closely correlated with JCI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IR jumps, then JCI could also see price increases.
ITW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ITW has been closely correlated with AOS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ITW jumps, then AOS could also see price increases.