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AMCR vs CCK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Amcor (AMCR) vs. Crown Holdings (CCK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AMCR (Amcor plc) is a diversified flexible and rigid packaging leader that recently transformed its scale through the all-stock acquisition of Berry Global, while CCK (Crown Holdings, Inc.) is a focused global leader in rigid metal packaging, particularly beverage cans.
- Amcor's growth narrative is centered on acquisition integration and synergy capture, whereas Crown Holdings is driven more by organic volume recovery, pricing, and free cash flow generation.
- Crown Holdings posted record adjusted free cash flow of roughly $1.15 billion in 2025, while Amcor is carrying elevated leverage following its transformational merger.
- Both names benefit from defensive, consumer-linked demand, but they carry different risk profiles around balance-sheet strength, volume trends, and geographic exposure.
- Relative performance and market positioning diverge, making the pair a useful contrast for packaging-sector and dividend-oriented investors.
Introduction
Packaging companies sit at the intersection of consumer staples demand and industrial cost discipline, making them a useful lens for assessing defensive growth in an uncertain market. Amcor and Crown Holdings are two of the sector's most widely followed names, yet their business models and recent trajectories differ meaningfully. Amcor has leaned heavily on mergers and acquisitions (M&A) to expand its flexible-packaging footprint, while Crown Holdings concentrates on metal cans and value-added transit and protective packaging. For traders evaluating sector exposure and for longer-term investors weighing balance-sheet quality against growth catalysts, this stock comparison clarifies how each company is positioned in the current market environment and where their relative performance has diverged.
AMCR Overview and Recent Performance
AMCR, or Amcor plc, is a global supplier of flexible and rigid packaging serving food, beverage, healthcare, personal care, and industrial markets. Its most significant recent development has been the completion of the all-stock acquisition of Berry Global, a deal that substantially increased the company's scale and reshaped its portfolio. In recent quarters, reported sales and adjusted earnings per share (EPS, or profit allocated to each outstanding share) rose sharply, driven primarily by the acquired business and cost synergies rather than organic volume growth. Management has guided for meaningful EPS growth and expects free cash flow to roughly double, while separately reviewing roughly $2.5 billion of annual sales it considers non-core—including its North American beverage operations. These restructuring efforts, combined with elevated net debt from the acquisition and soft volumes in certain segments, have kept sentiment mixed even as the integration progresses ahead of schedule.
CCK Overview and Recent Performance
CCK, or Crown Holdings, Inc., is a leading global supplier of rigid packaging products—most notably aluminum beverage cans—as well as transit and protective packaging equipment and services. The company reported a strong 2025, with adjusted EPS up 22% and record adjusted free cash flow of approximately $1.15 billion. Recent quarters have been supported by improved shipments in European Beverage and North American tinplate businesses, improved manufacturing performance, and disciplined capital allocation. Management has issued 2026 guidance for continued adjusted EPS growth and free cash flow of roughly $900 million, with capital spending directed toward capacity expansions in Brazil, Greece, and Spain. A comparatively strong balance sheet has also allowed Crown Holdings to return capital to shareholders through share repurchases, positioning it as the more cash-generative, organically focused counterpart to Amcor's acquisition-driven model.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Although both companies operate in packaging, their business models create different trade-offs. Amcor's exposure spans flexible films, pouches, and rigid containers across consumer and healthcare end markets, giving it broad diversification but also complexity as it integrates Berry Global. Crown Holdings is more concentrated in metal beverage cans, where it benefits from a structurally stable, recyclable product but carries higher sensitivity to beverage volume trends and raw-material cost pass-throughs. On growth drivers, Amcor's near-term story hinges on synergy execution and portfolio pruning, while Crown Holdings relies on volume recovery, pricing discipline, and geographic expansion. Risk profiles also differ: Amcor carries elevated leverage following its acquisition, whereas Crown Holdings maintains a stronger balance sheet and buyback capacity. From a market-sentiment standpoint, analysts have generally framed both names constructively, but the catalysts are distinct—restructuring-driven for Amcor versus cash-flow- and demand-driven for Crown Holdings.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, balance-sheet stability, and cash-flow generation, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward CCK in the current environment. Crown Holdings' combination of record free cash flow, a stronger balance sheet, and steady, organically driven earnings growth presents a more stable and predictable profile for trend-based models. Amcor's integration and divestiture catalysts offer meaningful upside potential, but its elevated leverage and soft organic volumes introduce greater variability that systematic models tend to penalize. The assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive; a shift in Amcor's synergy delivery or a reacceleration of volume growth could narrow or reverse the gap.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMCR is a StrongBuy and CCK is a Hold.
AMCR in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026
AMCR moved above its 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 26 of 43 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AMCR as a result. In 55 of 97 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AMCR just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where AMCR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 54 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 48%.
Following a +3.46% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMCR advanced for three days, in 127 of 286 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 44%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMCR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
AMCR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for AMCR entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. AMCR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 58 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.775) is normal, around the industry mean (1.311). P/E Ratio (18.941) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.417). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.991) is also within normal values, averaging (1.023). AMCR has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.057) as compared to the industry average of (0.033). P/S Ratio (0.828) is also within normal values, averaging (1.259).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AMCR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.
Momentum Indicator for CCK turns positive, indicating new upward trend
CCK saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 84 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 54 of the 84 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 64%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CCK just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where CCK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
CCK moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CCK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 6 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 46%.
Following a +4.46% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CCK advanced for three days, in 186 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CCK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
CCK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for CCK entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CCK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 74 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.409) is normal, around the industry mean (1.311). P/E Ratio (16.627) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.417). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.637) is also within normal values, averaging (1.023). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.956) is also within normal values, averaging (1.259).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CCK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock better than average.
AMCR | CCK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 36 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 58 Fair valued | 74 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 76 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 73 | 35 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 22 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 72 | 14 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AMCR's Valuation (58) in the null industry is in the same range as CCK (74) in the Containers Or Packaging industry. This means that AMCR’s stock grew similarly to CCK’s over the last 12 months.
CCK's Profit vs Risk Rating (76) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as AMCR (100) in the null industry. This means that CCK’s stock grew similarly to AMCR’s over the last 12 months.
CCK's SMR Rating (35) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMCR (73) in the null industry. This means that CCK’s stock grew somewhat faster than AMCR’s over the last 12 months.
AMCR's Price Growth Rating (22) in the null industry is in the same range as CCK (43) in the Containers Or Packaging industry. This means that AMCR’s stock grew similarly to CCK’s over the last 12 months.
CCK's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMCR (72) in the null industry. This means that CCK’s stock grew somewhat faster than AMCR’s over the last 12 months.
| AMCR | CCK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 46% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 55% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 58% | 23 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 51% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMCR’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while CCK’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AMCR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- CCK’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMCR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CCK’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMCR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- CCK’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AMCR (@Containers/Packaging) experienced а +7.07% price change this week, while CCK (@Containers/Packaging) price change was +4.61% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Containers/Packaging industry was +2.42%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.76%, and the average quarterly price growth was +10.27%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMCR is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
CCK is expected to report earnings on Feb 09, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Containers/Packaging (+2.42% weekly)The containers/packing sector includes companies that manufacture containers (like plastic and aluminum food containers, glass bottles, metal cans, cardboard, storage and waste bags, giftwraps etc.) and provide packing services. Food-and-beverage and household products are major markets for this business. Several companies in this industry cater to international markets in addition to serving domestic customers. Consumer spending habits could potentially affect this industry’s performance. Some products, that use oil-based materials as inputs, are likely to see their costs of production get impacted (to some extent) by energy price movements. The ever-expanding e-commerce market has only supercharged the amount/frequency of goods shipped domestically and across borders, thereby creating ample potential opportunities for containers and packaging businesses. Ball Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor Plc and Packaging Corporation of America are some of the largest U.S. companies in this industry.
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AMCR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMCR has been closely correlated with SW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AMCR jumps, then SW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMCR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMCR | 100% | +2.23% | ||
| SW - AMCR | 67% Closely correlated | +2.34% | ||
| AVY - AMCR | 63% Loosely correlated | +3.14% | ||
| CCK - AMCR | 61% Loosely correlated | +2.62% | ||
| GEF - AMCR | 61% Loosely correlated | +1.50% | ||
| IP - AMCR | 60% Loosely correlated | +0.15% | ||
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CCK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CCK has been loosely correlated with AMCR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CCK jumps, then AMCR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CCK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCK | 100% | +2.62% | ||
| AMCR - CCK | 61% Loosely correlated | +2.23% | ||
| GEF - CCK | 60% Loosely correlated | +1.50% | ||
| AMBP - CCK | 55% Loosely correlated | +3.05% | ||
| SON - CCK | 53% Loosely correlated | -1.35% | ||
| SW - CCK | 51% Loosely correlated | +2.34% | ||
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