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Mar 25, 2021

KB Home (KBH, $43.360 misses fiscal Q1 revenue estimates

KB Home  posted its fiscal-first-quarter revenue that grew from the year-ago period but fell short of analysts’ expectations.

The homebuilding company’s earnings came in at $1.02 a share compared with 63 cents a share in the year-earlier quarter. Analysts polled by FactSet had expected 92 cents a share.

Revenue climbed +6.1% year-over-year to  $1.14 billion, shy of the $1.21 billion predicted by analysts.

Number of homes delivered by KB rose +4% from the year-ago period to 2,864 -- the most in a Q1 since 2008. The homes sold for an average price of $397,100, up +2% year-over-year.

Net orders increased +23% year-over-year to nearly 4,300 homes in the quarter.

“Millennials, the largest adult population in the U.S., are now in their prime homebuying years and continue to represent our largest cohort of buyers,” the executive said.

According to Jeffrey Mezger, chairman, president and chief executive, KB has a “competitive advantage in serving first-time buyers and … building homes in desirable locations at affordable price points.” Millenials continue to represent the company’ largest cohort of buyers, Mezger said.

 

Related Ticker: KBH

KBH sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

KBH saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on March 15, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for KBH moved out of overbought territory on March 14, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 40 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 21, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on KBH as a result. In of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KBH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

KBH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 29, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 57 cases where KBH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KBH advanced for three days, in of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 300 cases where KBH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 54, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.360) is normal, around the industry mean (6.218). P/E Ratio (9.477) is within average values for comparable stocks, (88.953). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.436). KBH has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.011) as compared to the industry average of (0.043). P/S Ratio (0.872) is also within normal values, averaging (75.188).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KBH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 6.9B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 66.68K to 53.77B. DHI holds the highest valuation in this group at 53.77B. The lowest valued company is ASCK at 66.68K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 28%. DFH experienced the highest price growth at 8%, while STHI experienced the biggest fall at -10%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -17%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -6% and the average quarterly volume growth was -13%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 39
P/E Growth Rating: 36
Price Growth Rating: 43
SMR Rating: 55
Profit Risk Rating: 53
Seasonality Score: -28 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a constructor and seller single family homes as well as condominium complexes

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
10990 Wilshire Boulevard
Phone
+1 310 231-4000
Employees
2205
Web
https://www.kbhome.com
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