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CF vs UAN
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CF is a Hold and UAN is a Hold.
CF in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026
The 10-day moving average for CF crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 50 of 68 cases where CF's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
CF broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for CF entered a downward trend on October 20, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CF's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 16 of 20 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CF as a result. In 67 of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CF just turned positive on October 14, 2026. Looking at past instances where CF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Following a +1.92% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CF advanced for three days, in 244 of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CF’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 64 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.168) is normal, around the industry mean (-0.403). P/E Ratio (8.920) is within average values for comparable stocks, (8.767). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.498) is also within normal values, averaging (0.867). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.126) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.667) is also within normal values, averaging (1.476).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
UAN in +1.78% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on October 30, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where UAN advanced for three days, in 234 of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 39 of 54 cases where UAN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for UAN moved out of overbought territory on October 16, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 22 of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 52%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UAN as a result. In 52 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UAN turned negative on October 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 24 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 55%.
UAN moved below its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for UAN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UAN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
UAN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 20 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.801) is normal, around the industry mean (-0.403). P/E Ratio (8.230) is within average values for comparable stocks, (8.767). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.450) is also within normal values, averaging (0.867). Dividend Yield (0.195) settles around the average of (0.126) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.073) is also within normal values, averaging (1.476).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UAN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
CF | UAN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 88 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 64 Fair valued | 20 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 18 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 26 | 21 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 66 | 77 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 55 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
UAN's Valuation (20) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CF (64). This means that UAN’s stock grew somewhat faster than CF’s over the last 12 months.
UAN's Profit vs Risk Rating (18) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is in the same range as CF (37). This means that UAN’s stock grew similarly to CF’s over the last 12 months.
UAN's SMR Rating (21) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is in the same range as CF (26). This means that UAN’s stock grew similarly to CF’s over the last 12 months.
UAN's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is in the same range as CF (43). This means that UAN’s stock grew similarly to CF’s over the last 12 months.
CF's P/E Growth Rating (66) in the Chemicals Agricultural industry is in the same range as UAN (77). This means that CF’s stock grew similarly to UAN’s over the last 12 months.
| CF | UAN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 72% | 5 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 69% | 8 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | N/A |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CF’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while UAN’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- CF’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- UAN’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CF’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UAN’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CF’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- UAN’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
CF (@Chemicals: Agricultural) experienced а -0.42% price change this week, while UAN (@Chemicals: Agricultural) price change was +0.36% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Agricultural industry was -0.02%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.93%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19.29%.
Reported Earning Dates
CF is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
UAN is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Agricultural (-0.02% weekly)The agricultural chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemical products for the agricultural industry applications like crop protection, animal health, biotechnology and pharmaceutical-related products. Some of the largest agricultural chemicals producers include Nutrien Ltd., Corteva Inc., and FMC Corporation.
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