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CGAU vs GLDG
Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) vs GoldMining Inc. (GLDG) Earnings Preview: Q1 Momentum and Strategic Positioning
Key Takeaways
- Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) is set to report Q1 2026 earnings on April 29, 2026, with analysts estimating EPS of $0.41, building on a strong Q4 2025 beat.
- GoldMining Inc. (GLDG), an exploration-focused company, reported Q4 FY2025 (ended November 30, 2025) EPS of -$0.04, missing estimates amid ongoing development spending.
- CGAU delivered full-year 2025 gold production of 275,316 ounces, exceeding guidance, with 2026 outlook at 250,000-280,000 ounces.
- GLDG holds a portfolio of gold projects in the Americas, emphasizing resource expansion without current revenue from production.
- Both operate in gold sector, but CGAU's producer status provides cash flow stability versus GLDG's higher-risk exploration profile.
- Analysts project CGAU EPS growth, highlighting operational strength amid favorable gold prices.
Earnings Context and Why This Comparison Matters
Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) and GoldMining Inc. (GLDG) represent contrasting approaches in the gold mining sector. CGAU, a mid-tier producer, generates revenue from operations at Mount Milligan and Öksüt mines, providing earnings visibility. GLDG, focused on exploration and development, invests in projects across the Americas to build future value. Earnings reports offer insights into operational execution for CGAU and resource advancement for GLDG. This comparison highlights producer stability versus exploration upside, relevant as gold prices support sector growth.
Centerra Gold Inc. Focus
Centerra Gold Inc. (CGAU) will release Q1 2026 results on April 29, 2026, followed by a conference call on April 30. Analysts forecast EPS of $0.41 (average of five estimates) and 12.29% year-over-year revenue growth. This preview follows a robust Q4 2025, where adjusted EPS hit $0.41 (beating $0.37 estimate), revenue reached $401.6 million (above $352.4 million expected), and full-year gold production exceeded 275,000 ounces at all-in sustaining costs (AISC, a key metric including sustaining capital) of $1,614 per ounce on a by-product basis. 2026 guidance projects 250,000-280,000 ounces of gold at AISC of $1,650-$1,750 per ounce, supported by $562 million cash and zero debt. Investors eye Q1 production from Mount Milligan (copper-gold) and Öksüt for sustained momentum.
GoldMining Inc. Context
GoldMining Inc. (GLDG) reported fiscal Q4 2025 (ended November 30, 2025) results with EPS of -$0.04, versus -$0.03 estimated, reflecting exploration expenses without production revenue. Full-year net loss narrowed slightly, driven by general and administrative (G&A) costs and project investments. As a pure exploration firm (fiscal year ends November 30), GLDG advances assets like La Mina, Titiribi, and São Jorge, with recent drilling highlighting potential. Next quarter (Q1 FY2026, ended February 28, 2026) EPS is estimated at -$0.03. Fundamentals emphasize resource growth over profitability, with market cap around $274 million versus CGAU's $3.9 billion.
Head-to-Head Earnings and Market Comparison
CGAU outperforms on earnings strength, with consistent beats (e.g., Q4 2025 +12% EPS surprise) and positive EPS TTM of $2.88, fueled by production and high gold prices ($3,415/oz realized Q4). Growth drivers include mine optimization and copper by-products (50 million pounds in 2025). Risks involve cost inflation (AISC up in 2026 guidance) and geopolitical exposure at Öksüt (Türkiye). Sentiment is bullish, trading at low multiples with strong liquidity.
GLDG shows persistent losses (EPS TTM -$0.05), prioritizing exploration amid no revenue. Upside lies in resource upgrades (e.g., Crucero antimony-inclusive MRE), but higher risk from dilution and market volatility. CGAU leads in stability, while GLDG offers speculative growth.
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Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron AI favors CGAU with 65% probability over the next 12 months, citing superior earnings quality, production cash flows, balance sheet strength ($562M cash, zero debt), and trend stability versus GLDG's exploration risks and negative EPS trajectory.
Disclaimer
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To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CGAU is a Hold and GLDG is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CGAU’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileGLDG’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- CGAU’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- GLDG’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CGAU’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GLDG’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CGAU’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- GLDG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
CGAU (@Precious Metals) experienced а -2.12% price change this week, while GLDG (@Precious Metals) price change was -9.62% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -11.03%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14.71%.
Reported Earning Dates
CGAU is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
GLDG is expected to report earnings on Jul 15, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-11.03% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| CGAU | GLDG | CGAU / GLDG | |
| Capitalization | 3.3B | 198M | 1,665% |
| EBITDA | 936M | -27.48M | -3,406% |
| Gain YTD | 15.449 | -26.248 | -59% |
| P/E Ratio | 5.35 | N/A | - |
| Revenue | 1.57B | 0 | - |
| Total Cash | 555M | 52.6M | 1,055% |
| Total Debt | 43.7M | 275K | 15,891% |
CGAU | GLDG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 60 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 16 Undervalued | 40 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 39 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 30 | 95 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 82 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CGAU's Valuation (16) in the null industry is in the same range as GLDG (40). This means that CGAU’s stock grew similarly to GLDG’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's Profit vs Risk Rating (39) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GLDG (100). This means that CGAU’s stock grew somewhat faster than GLDG’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's SMR Rating (30) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GLDG (95). This means that CGAU’s stock grew somewhat faster than GLDG’s over the last 12 months.
CGAU's Price Growth Rating (42) in the null industry is in the same range as GLDG (62). This means that CGAU’s stock grew similarly to GLDG’s over the last 12 months.
GLDG's P/E Growth Rating (82) in the null industry is in the same range as CGAU (99). This means that GLDG’s stock grew similarly to CGAU’s over the last 12 months.
| CGAU | GLDG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 74% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 76% | 9 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 64% |
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