Investors seeking large-cap value exposure often arrive at the same shortlist, and two names that repeatedly surface are the Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV) and the Vanguard Value ETF (VTV). Although both are classified as large value exchange-traded funds (ETFs, or baskets of securities that trade like stocks), they take fundamentally different routes to the same destination. This stock comparison examines their business models, recent relative performance, risk profiles, and market positioning. It is most relevant for long-term investors and traders who want a diversified core holding but are weighing active management against a low-cost, rules-based index approach in today's shifting market.
CGDV is the Capital Group Dividend Value ETF, an actively managed fund launched in 2022 by Capital Group, one of the largest asset managers in the world. The fund seeks income above the average yield on U.S. stocks while pursuing growth of principal, investing at least 80% of assets in dividend-paying companies with market capitalizations above $4 billion. It is non-diversified and holds a relatively concentrated portfolio of roughly 50 to 60 names, with total assets in the range of $37 billion to $38 billion and an expense ratio of 0.33%.
Recent market activity has highlighted a defining trait of CGDV: despite its value and dividend label, its largest positions in recent weeks have included major technology names such as Microsoft, Nvidia, and Broadcom, along with Meta Platforms and Alphabet. This gives the fund a heavier technology tilt than many of its large-value peers. As a result, its performance has been closely tied to the fortunes of mega-cap tech, and its beta (a measure of sensitivity to broad-market moves) of roughly 0.88 has left it somewhat more volatile than the typical value fund during recent rotations.
VTV is the Vanguard Value ETF, a passively managed index fund launched in 2004 that seeks to track the CRSP US Large Cap Value Index. It holds more than 300 large-cap value stocks, with assets well in excess of $180 billion, making it one of the largest and most liquid value ETFs in the market. Its expense ratio is just 0.03%, among the lowest available.
The fund's composition is markedly different from CGDV. Its top holdings in recent weeks have included Berkshire Hathaway, JPMorgan Chase, ExxonMobil, Johnson & Johnson, and Walmart, with sector exposure concentrated in financials, healthcare, industrials, and energy. Technology represents only a mid-teens percentage of assets. This broader, more traditional value profile has served VTV well in recent months, as investors rotated out of concentrated mega-cap growth and into dividend-paying, old-economy sectors, supporting stronger year-to-date relative performance than the broader market.
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The core contrast between these two funds is active versus passive management. CGDV gives a portfolio manager discretion to select a concentrated set of dividend-paying large caps, and its managers have leaned meaningfully into technology, blurring the line between "value" and "growth." This can enhance returns when tech leads, but it also introduces higher sector concentration and a higher fee (0.33%). VTV, by contrast, is rules-based, holds hundreds of stocks across financials, healthcare, industrials, and energy, and costs only 0.03% annually.
Risk profiles also differ. VTV's lower beta (around 0.57 to 0.67) and broad diversification tend to produce smoother behavior, while CGDV's higher beta and tech concentration make it more reactive to growth-stock sentiment. On yield, VTV currently offers a higher distribution (around 1.8%) than CGDV (roughly 1.2%). The trade-off, in short, is concentrated active conviction versus cheap, diversified index exposure.
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would currently favor VTV. Its relative strength has been more consistent during recent market rotation, its lower beta and 300-plus holdings provide greater stability, and its ultra-low expense ratio supports long-term compounding. CGDV remains a credible actively managed option, but its technology-heavy positioning has introduced more volatility and greater sensitivity to the same mega-cap dynamics that have pressured the broader market. On balance, the trend consistency, cost efficiency, and diversification of VTV give it the probabilistic edge in the current environment.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
On November 10, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for CGDV moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 35 of the 41 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 85%.
Following a +1.85% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CGDV advanced for three days, in 278 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
CGDV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CGDV as a result. In 47 of 74 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CGDV turned negative on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 69%.
CGDV moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CGDV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The Aroon Indicator for CGDV entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
On November 10, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for VTV moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 45 of the 52 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 87%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on VTV as a result. In 71 of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VTV just turned positive on November 11, 2026. Looking at past instances where VTV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 49 of 57 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
VTV moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for VTV crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Following a +1.17% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VTV advanced for three days, in 294 of 349 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 278 of 351 cases where VTV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 79%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for VTV moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 39 of the 51 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 76%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VTV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
VTV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
| CGDV | VTV | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 87% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 81% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 86% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 81% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 85% | 1 day ago 84% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 66% | 7 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 79% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CGDV has been closely correlated with TSM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CGDV jumps, then TSM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CGDV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGDV | 100% | +1.24% | ||
| TSM - CGDV | 70% Closely correlated | +4.25% | ||
| SWK - CGDV | 63% Loosely correlated | -0.70% | ||
| MS - CGDV | 61% Loosely correlated | +1.63% | ||
| GE - CGDV | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.43% | ||
| MRVL - CGDV | 57% Loosely correlated | +9.33% | ||
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