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CHRD vs CNQ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) vs. Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both CHRD and CNQ operate in the oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) sector, benefiting from elevated oil prices in recent market activity.
- CNQ demonstrates stronger profitability with a 27.91% profit margin and 25.81% return on equity (ROE), compared to CHRD's 0.97% margin and 0.53% ROE.
- CHRD trades near its 52-week high with year-to-date gains around 58%, driven by merger activity, while CNQ shows steady 40% year-to-date returns and a more attractive price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.46 versus CHRD's 196.03.
- CNQ's larger market capitalization of $97.44 billion provides greater stability, contrasting CHRD's $8.22 billion scale and higher growth potential in the Williston Basin.
- Recent quarterly earnings growth for CNQ surged 366% year-over-year, outpacing CHRD's decline amid sector volatility.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines CHRD and CNQ, two prominent oil and gas E&P companies navigating the current energy market landscape. CHRD focuses on U.S. shale assets, while CNQ offers broader North American and international exposure. Investors seeking energy sector plays—particularly those balancing growth potential against stability—may find value in analyzing their relative performance, valuations, and catalysts. With oil prices supported by geopolitical tensions in recent weeks, this head-to-head highlights key differences in scale, profitability, and momentum for informed decision-making in volatile conditions.
CHRD Overview and Recent Performance
Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) is an independent E&P firm centered on the Williston Basin in the U.S., producing crude oil, natural gas, and liquids. In recent market activity, the stock has climbed near its 52-week high of $148.42, closing at $145.06 with year-to-date gains of approximately 58%. Sentiment has been buoyed by proposed merger and acquisition (M&A) activity with Canada's Enerplus Corporation, aiming to create an $11 billion entity strengthening its Williston position. Analyst upgrades, including Scotiabank raising its target to $135, reflect optimism ahead of Q1 2026 earnings on May 5, despite expected declines from prior quarters where revenue fell 19.4% year-over-year. Elevated oil prices near $100 per barrel have supported performance, though high P/E and low margins signal valuation risks.
CNQ Overview and Recent Performance
Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) is a major integrated E&P company with operations in Western Canada, the North Sea, and Africa, producing synthetic crude, heavy oil, and natural gas. Recent weeks have seen steady gains, with the stock at $46.96, up 40% year-to-date and 66% over the past year, trading within a 52-week range of $27.93 to $51.34. Key drivers include robust Q4 2025 results and year-end 2025 reserves growth to 20.75 billion barrels of oil equivalent, alongside price target increases like Goldman Sachs to $49. Q1 earnings on May 7 are anticipated, following 366% year-over-year earnings growth in the latest quarter and 1.5% revenue rise. Strong margins and free cash flow have sustained positive sentiment amid favorable oil dynamics.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CHRD and CNQ share energy sector exposure but diverge in business models: CHRD emphasizes U.S. shale efficiency in the Williston Basin, while CNQ leverages diversified assets including Canadian heavy oil and international ventures for scale. Growth drivers contrast with CHRD's M&A momentum versus CNQ's organic reserves expansion. Recent momentum is comparable at 65-66% one-year returns, but CNQ edges stability with lower beta (0.91) and debt-to-equity of 44% against CHRD's 19%. Risk factors include CHRD's elevated P/E and earnings volatility versus CNQ's superior margins. Market sentiment favors both amid oil strength, though CNQ's size offers trade-offs in liquidity and downside protection.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI tools would likely favor CNQ in the current environment due to its trend consistency, superior profitability metrics, lower valuation multiples, and relative stability from diversified operations and robust cash flows. While CHRD shows strong momentum from basin-focused catalysts, CNQ's positioning suggests higher probability of outperformance amid energy sector uncertainties.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CHRD is a Hold and CNQ is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CHRD’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileCNQ’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CHRD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- CNQ’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CHRD’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CNQ’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CHRD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- CNQ’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CHRD (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а -4.79% price change this week, while CNQ (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was -1.94% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was -0.38%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.50%, and the average quarterly price growth was +34.97%.
Reported Earning Dates
CHRD is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
CNQ is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (-0.38% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| CHRD | CNQ | CHRD / CNQ | |
| Capitalization | 8B | 98B | 8% |
| EBITDA | 1.64B | 17.5B | 9% |
| Gain YTD | 54.806 | 38.612 | 142% |
| P/E Ratio | 201.57 | 11.80 | 1,709% |
| Revenue | 5.33B | 44.5B | 12% |
| Total Cash | 226M | 113M | 200% |
| Total Debt | 1.62B | 17.3B | 9% |
CHRD | CNQ | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 75 | 77 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 91 Overvalued | 76 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 47 | 25 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 91 | 52 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 1 | 51 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CNQ's Valuation (76) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as CHRD (91). This means that CNQ’s stock grew similarly to CHRD’s over the last 12 months.
CNQ's Profit vs Risk Rating (25) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as CHRD (47). This means that CNQ’s stock grew similarly to CHRD’s over the last 12 months.
CNQ's SMR Rating (52) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CHRD (91). This means that CNQ’s stock grew somewhat faster than CHRD’s over the last 12 months.
CHRD's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as CNQ (43). This means that CHRD’s stock grew similarly to CNQ’s over the last 12 months.
CHRD's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CNQ (51). This means that CHRD’s stock grew somewhat faster than CNQ’s over the last 12 months.
| CHRD | CNQ | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 68% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 67% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 63% | 6 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 56% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| APRP | 32.19 | N/A | N/A |
| PGIM S&P 500 Buffer 12 ETF - Apr | |||
| BSCX | 21.13 | -0.05 | -0.24% |
| Invesco BulletShares 2033 Corp Bd ETF | |||
| OCIO | 36.92 | -0.15 | -0.40% |
| ClearShares OCIO ETF | |||
| GOOW | 78.61 | -0.40 | -0.51% |
| Roundhill GOOGL WeeklyPay ETF | |||
| GRNI | 21.05 | -0.17 | -0.78% |
| Fundstrat Granny Shots Us Large Cap & Income ETF | |||
CHRD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CHRD has been closely correlated with NOG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CHRD jumps, then NOG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CHRD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHRD | 100% | +1.39% | ||
| NOG - CHRD | 88% Closely correlated | +1.02% | ||
| OVV - CHRD | 86% Closely correlated | -1.69% | ||
| MGY - CHRD | 86% Closely correlated | +2.12% | ||
| MTDR - CHRD | 85% Closely correlated | +0.57% | ||
| DVN - CHRD | 85% Closely correlated | +0.09% | ||
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