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CNQ vs OVV
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) vs. Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CNQ commands a significantly larger market capitalization (total value of all outstanding shares) of $97.6 billion compared to OVV's $17.2 billion, underscoring its scale in the energy sector.
- OVV has demonstrated stronger recent momentum with a year-to-date (YTD) return of 59% versus CNQ's 39%, alongside a one-year gain of 80% compared to 65%.
- CNQ exhibits superior profitability, boasting a 27.9% profit margin and 25.8% return on equity (ROE, a measure of how effectively equity generates profits), far exceeding OVV's 14.3% margin and 11.5% ROE.
- Both stocks offer attractive dividends, with CNQ yielding 3.8% (26 consecutive years of increases) against OVV's 2.0%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Recent market activity has favored energy stocks amid oil price volatility, with OVV benefiting from earnings beats and asset sales, while CNQ eyes production growth in 2026.
Introduction
Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) and Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) are key players in the North American oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) sector, offering investors exposure to crude oil, natural gas, and related commodities. This stock comparison is particularly relevant for traders navigating energy market volatility driven by geopolitical tensions, supply dynamics, and demand shifts. With both companies posting robust gains in recent months, value and growth-oriented investors can assess relative performance, financial health, and strategic positioning to inform portfolio decisions in the current environment.
CNQ Overview and Recent Performance
Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ), one of Canada's premier independent crude oil and natural gas producers, operates a diversified portfolio spanning oil sands, heavy oil, light oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). Shares have traded in a 52-week range of $27.93 to $51.34, recently around $46.75, reflecting resilience amid sector headwinds. In recent market activity, CNQ delivered a YTD return of 39% and one-year gain of 65%, supported by strong free cash flow generation and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.4. Sentiment has improved with a 6.4% dividend hike—marking 26 straight years—and guidance for 3% production growth in 2026 at lower spending levels, alongside solid Q4 profitability that beat estimates. These factors have bolstered investor confidence in its low-cost, long-life assets.
OVV Overview and Recent Performance
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) concentrates on high-quality oil and gas assets in core North American basins like Montney, Permian, and Anadarko, emphasizing efficient drilling and liquids-rich plays. The stock's 52-week range spans $33.26 to $62.60, with recent trading near $60.85 and a P/E ratio of 12.7. Recent weeks have seen impressive momentum, with YTD returns of 59% and one-year performance at 80%, outpacing benchmarks amid favorable oil prices. Key drivers include Q4 earnings beats (EPS of $1.39 versus $1 expected), a $3 billion Anadarko asset sale, and a new 2026 framework committing 75% of free cash flow to shareholders via dividends and buybacks. Surging analyst estimates have further enhanced positive sentiment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CNQ and OVV both thrive in oil and gas E&P but differ in scale and focus: CNQ's vast reserves yield low decline rates and superior margins (27.9% vs. 14.3%), ideal for steady cash returns, while OVV pursues growth via shale innovation and M&A (mergers and acquisitions). Growth drivers include CNQ's planned production ramp and OVV's efficiency gains post-asset optimization. Recent momentum favors OVV, though CNQ offers lower relative risk with its beta of 0.91 versus 0.58. Sector exposure overlaps in North America, but CNQ leans on oil sands stability amid commodity swings. Market sentiment remains bullish for both, with buy ratings and upward EPS revisions, balancing trade-offs in value versus growth.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward OVV for its stronger trend consistency, recent outperformance (59% YTD), and positive earnings momentum, positioning it advantageously in the near term amid supportive energy prices. However, CNQ remains compelling for stability seekers given its profitability edge and capital return discipline—outcomes hinge on broader market dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CNQ is a Hold and OVV is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CNQ’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileOVV’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- CNQ’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- OVV’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CNQ’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OVV’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CNQ’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- OVV’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
CNQ (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а +0.10% price change this week, while OVV (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was -1.10% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was -0.28%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.82%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.24%.
Reported Earning Dates
CNQ is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
OVV is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (-0.28% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| CNQ | OVV | CNQ / OVV | |
| Capitalization | 83.3B | 14.9B | 559% |
| EBITDA | 17.5B | 2.71B | 645% |
| Gain YTD | 17.105 | 36.592 | 47% |
| P/E Ratio | 11.80 | 17.97 | 66% |
| Revenue | 44.5B | 9.06B | 491% |
| Total Cash | 113M | 44M | 257% |
| Total Debt | 17.3B | 7.81B | 222% |
CNQ | OVV | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 56 | 83 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 53 Fair valued | 39 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 39 | 49 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 53 | 80 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
OVV's Valuation (39) in the null industry is in the same range as CNQ (53) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that OVV’s stock grew similarly to CNQ’s over the last 12 months.
CNQ's Profit vs Risk Rating (39) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as OVV (49) in the null industry. This means that CNQ’s stock grew similarly to OVV’s over the last 12 months.
CNQ's SMR Rating (53) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as OVV (80) in the null industry. This means that CNQ’s stock grew similarly to OVV’s over the last 12 months.
OVV's Price Growth Rating (51) in the null industry is in the same range as CNQ (61) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that OVV’s stock grew similarly to CNQ’s over the last 12 months.
OVV's P/E Growth Rating (42) in the null industry is in the same range as CNQ (51) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that OVV’s stock grew similarly to CNQ’s over the last 12 months.
| CNQ | OVV | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 84% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | N/A | 12 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 79% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 67% |
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OVV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OVV has been closely correlated with PR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OVV jumps, then PR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To OVV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVV | 100% | +1.89% | ||
| PR - OVV | 87% Closely correlated | +1.51% | ||
| CHRD - OVV | 86% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| MGY - OVV | 85% Closely correlated | +0.88% | ||
| MTDR - OVV | 84% Closely correlated | +2.32% | ||
| DVN - OVV | 84% Closely correlated | +0.55% | ||
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