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CNC vs MOH
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Centene Corporation (CNC) vs. Molina Healthcare (MOH) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both CNC and MOH have delivered strong rebounds of over 25% in recent weeks amid healthcare sector recovery.
- MOH surged post-Q1 earnings beat on EPS, while CNC faces headwinds from projected membership declines.
- CNC's larger market cap ($20.6B) provides scale advantages over MOH ($9.2B) in managed care operations.
- Year-to-date performance remains flat for both at around 1-2%, with longer-term declines reflecting sector pressures.
- Analyst consensus leans "Hold" for CNC, while MOH shows momentum from reaffirmed guidance.
Introduction
Centene Corporation (CNC) and Molina Healthcare (MOH) are leading players in the managed healthcare sector, specializing in government-sponsored programs like Medicaid and Medicare. This comparison is relevant for investors tracking relative performance in a space sensitive to enrollment trends, regulatory changes, and medical cost pressures. Traders may find value in understanding their recent rebounds and contrasting risk profiles amid broader market volatility. With both stocks showing sharp gains in recent market activity, this analysis highlights key differences in scale, momentum, and catalysts to inform stock comparison decisions.
CNC Overview and Recent Performance
Centene Corporation (CNC) is one of the largest managed care organizations, serving over 20 million members primarily through Medicaid, Medicare, and commercial plans. In recent market activity, CNC shares have surged approximately 31% over the past month, rebounding from multi-year lows amid cautious optimism. The stock trades around $42 with a market cap of $20.6 billion and a forward P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) of 14. Sentiment has been influenced by challenges like declining memberships due to Medicaid redeterminations (post-pandemic eligibility reviews) and elevated medical costs, with Q1 EPS (earnings per share) projections down 36% year-over-year. Recent community investments and analyst notes on valuation have supported the recovery, though risks persist from sector headwinds.
MOH Overview and Recent Performance
Molina Healthcare (MOH) focuses on government-sponsored healthcare for underserved populations, operating Medicaid, Medicare, and Marketplace segments. Shares have climbed about 34% in recent weeks, trading near $176 with a $9.2 billion market cap and trailing P/E of 47. Performance was boosted by a Q1 earnings beat, where adjusted EPS exceeded estimates despite revenue shortfalls and membership declines, leading to a 17% single-day surge and reaffirmed full-year guidance. Factors driving sentiment include lower-than-expected medical costs and strategic exits like Medicare Part D, though volatility persists from regulatory and enrollment dynamics in managed care.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both CNC and MOH operate in managed health care, emphasizing Medicaid with exposure to Medicare and Marketplace, but CNC benefits from greater scale and diversification. Growth drivers differ: MOH has shown faster recent revenue expansion (up to 16% LTM vs. CNC's 13%), though both face Medicaid pressures. Recent momentum is comparable with monthly gains over 30%, but MOH edges on earnings catalysts. Risk factors include regulatory changes and MLR (medical loss ratio) fluctuations, with CNC's lower beta (0.59) suggesting relative stability. Market sentiment favors short-term upside for both, though CNC's valuation appears more attractive on forward metrics.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MOH due to stronger trend consistency from its recent earnings surprise, guidance reaffirmation, and superior short-term momentum relative to CNC's upcoming challenges. While both exhibit positive positioning in recent market activity, MOH's catalysts suggest higher probability of continued outperformance in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CNC is a StrongBuy and MOH is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CNC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMOH’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CNC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MOH’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CNC’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MOH’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CNC’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MOH’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CNC (@Managed Health Care) experienced а +4.59% price change this week, while MOH (@Managed Health Care) price change was +4.94% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Managed Health Care industry was +8.85%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.99%, and the average quarterly price growth was +31.11%.
Reported Earning Dates
CNC is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
MOH is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Managed Health Care (+8.85% weekly)Managed healthcare industry focuses on providing health/medical and disability insurance plans, generally intended to reduce the cost of for-profit health care. The insurance products might be provided through employer-paid (fully or partly) insurance and benefit programs, or through Medicare/Medicaid. Some of the largest providers of managed health care include Aetna, Humana Inc., and Cigna, and UnitedHealthcare.
| CNC | MOH | CNC / MOH | |
| Capitalization | 32.2B | 10.4B | 310% |
| EBITDA | -4.44B | 617M | -720% |
| Gain YTD | 58.420 | 15.409 | 379% |
| P/E Ratio | 9.06 | 53.69 | 17% |
| Revenue | 198B | 45.1B | 439% |
| Total Cash | 23.7B | 9.25B | 256% |
| Total Debt | 16.4B | 3.95B | 416% |
CNC | MOH | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 67 | 10 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 58 Fair valued | 78 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 87 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 5 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 71 | 4 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CNC's Valuation (58) in the Managed Health Care industry is in the same range as MOH (78). This means that CNC’s stock grew similarly to MOH’s over the last 12 months.
CNC's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Managed Health Care industry is in the same range as MOH (100). This means that CNC’s stock grew similarly to MOH’s over the last 12 months.
MOH's SMR Rating (87) in the Managed Health Care industry is in the same range as CNC (98). This means that MOH’s stock grew similarly to CNC’s over the last 12 months.
CNC's Price Growth Rating (5) in the Managed Health Care industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MOH (47). This means that CNC’s stock grew somewhat faster than MOH’s over the last 12 months.
MOH's P/E Growth Rating (4) in the Managed Health Care industry is significantly better than the same rating for CNC (71). This means that MOH’s stock grew significantly faster than CNC’s over the last 12 months.
| CNC | MOH | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 60% | 6 days ago 67% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 63% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 71% |
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CNC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CNC has been closely correlated with MOH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CNC jumps, then MOH could also see price increases.
MOH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MOH has been loosely correlated with CNC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MOH jumps, then CNC could also see price increases.